The tax advantages of muni bonds continue to shine, as the assets are generally free of federal interest taxes and, depending on where investors live, are exempt from state and local yield taxes.
While several of President Joe Biden’s planned tax rises have failed to get traction in Congress, levies will rise after 2025 as provisions from the Republican tax code expire.
“Munis provides a counterbalance to anticipated tax rate inflation,” said Ian Weinberg, CFP, CEO of Family Wealth and Pension Management in Woodbury, New York.
Are municipal bonds currently a good investment?
- Municipal bonds were one of the most stable fixed income asset classes in 2021, with positive returns and minimal volatility across a wide range of credit and maturity.
- New issuance slightly exceeded the record set in 2020, but supply was quickly absorbed by surprisingly continuous fund inflows.
- Record state and local revenues, stimulus spending, minimal defaults, and idiosyncratic strength helped credit outperform by the largest margin in more than a decade.
Despite substantially higher interest rates, municipal bonds kept their value throughout 2021, generating among of the highest relative returns among fixed income assets. The asset class is poised for a great technical and fundamental year in 2022. Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) appears to be refocusing on fighting inflation, which could create headwinds for fixed income in the near term.
In 2021, are municipal bonds a decent investment?
- Municipal bond interest is tax-free in the United States, however there may be state or local taxes, or both.
- Be aware that if you receive Social Security, your bond interest will be recognized as income when determining your Social Security taxable amount. This could result in you owing more money.
- Municipal bond interest rates are often lower than corporate bond interest rates. You must decide which deal offers the best genuine return.
- On the bright side, compared to practically any other investment, highly-rated municipal bonds are often relatively safe. The default rate is quite low.
- Interest rate risk exists with any bond. You’ll be stuck with a bad performer if your money is locked up for 10 or 20 years and interest rates climb.
Is it wise to invest in municipal bonds in 2022?
The municipal market enters 2022 with a strong credit foundation and a favorable technical environment. However, the rate of credit improvement is expected to decelerate in 2022, and weaker demand and greater bond supply are more likely in 2022 than in 2021.
Low default rates, an upward ratings bias, substantial revenue growth, extensive federal backing, and recovering pension funds characterize the credit market. The credit issues presented by the Omicron version are doable. However, given emerging risks such as climate change, inflation, labor shortages, disruptions in public schools, a more entrenched remote work culture, and a return to a less reliable federal funding environment, the favorable credit environment could deteriorate later in the year, especially if Republicans retake the House or Senate in the November 2022 midterm elections.
In terms of market technicals, the year 2021 was marked by robust municipal bond fund inflows (demand) and limited supply growth. In 2021, strong inflows combined with a restricted supply of tax-exempt bonds resulted in historically low ratios and narrow credit spreads.
In 2022, we don’t expect any notable changes in ratios or spreads. Higher tax rates are still being debated in Congress, and the increased money supply is unlikely to grow significantly. If the Federal Reserve (Fed) raises rates as expected, issuers continue to see value in tax-exempt refundings and taxable advance refundings, and the market endures bouts of outflows and weak demand, periods of somewhat reduced demand and greater supply are possible. In short maturities, we prefer assuming a little more credit risk and opportunistic buying if ratios or spreads widen.
Are municipal bonds in jeopardy?
- Municipal bonds are a wonderful option for consumers who want to keep their money while earning tax-free income.
- General obligation bonds are used to quickly raise funds to meet expenses, whereas revenue bonds are used to fund infrastructure projects.
- Both general obligation and revenue bonds are tax-free and low-risk investments, with issuers who are quite likely to repay their loans.
- Municipal bonds are low-risk investments, but they are not risk-free because the issuer may fail to make agreed-upon interest payments or be unable to repay the principal at maturity.
Why are municipal bonds falling in value?
Some economists predict a reduction in muni demand this year due to a predicted slowing in household savings, which grew during the pandemic, particularly among the wealthy. The demand for tax-exempt debt has long outstripped annual issuance.
What will happen to bonds in 2022?
- Bond markets had a terrible year in 2021, but historically, bond markets have rarely had two years of negative returns in a row.
- In 2022, the Federal Reserve is expected to start rising interest rates, which might lead to higher bond yields and lower bond prices.
- Most bond portfolios will be unaffected by the Fed’s activities, but the precise scope and timing of rate hikes are unknown.
- Professional investment managers have the research resources and investment knowledge needed to find opportunities and manage the risks associated with higher-yielding securities if you’re looking for higher yields.
The year 2021 will not be remembered as a breakthrough year for bonds. Following several years of good returns, the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index, as well as several mutual funds and ETFs that own high-quality corporate bonds, are expected to generate negative returns this year. However, history shows that bond markets rarely have multiple weak years in a succession, and there are reasons for bond investors to be optimistic that things will get better in 2022.
What are the prospects for municipal bonds?
Credit conditions for most municipal issuers are expected to remain positive in 2022, and defaults are expected to stay low. Increases in business and income taxes have boosted revenues. Issuers with higher revenues have more financial freedom. Furthermore, because property taxes are typically the main source of revenue for local governments, the improved property market should benefit them.
When is it OK to invest in municipal bonds?
Municipal bonds are an excellent method to keep your money safe while earning interest. The majority of them are tax-free at the federal level, and several are also tax-free at the state and local levels. Munis are frequently treated as a unique asset class, therefore understanding the fundamentals of muni bonds is essential.
Do municipal debts result in higher taxes?
Municipal bonds (also known as municipal debt) are a type of debt “State, city, county, and other local agencies issue debt securities to support day-to-day commitments as well as capital projects such as the construction of schools, roadways, and sewer systems. When you buy municipal bonds, you’re effectively lending money to the bond issuer in exchange for a promise of regular interest payments, usually semi-annually, and the return of the original investment, or a combination of the two “I am the principle.” The maturity date of a municipal bond (the day on which the bond’s issuer repays the principal) could be years away. Short-term bonds will mature in one to three years, whereas long-term bonds will take a decade or more to maturity.
Municipal bond interest is generally tax-free in the United States. If you live in the state where the bond was issued, the interest may be free from state and local taxes. Bond investors are often looking for a consistent stream of income payments and, when compared to stock investors, are more risk conservative and concerned with preserving rather than developing capital. Due to the tax benefits, tax-exempt municipal bonds typically have lower interest rates than taxable fixed-income assets such as corporate bonds with equal maturities, credit quality, and other characteristics.
- States, cities, and counties issue general obligation bonds that are not backed by any assets. General obligations, on the other hand, are backed by the government “the issuer’s “full faith and credit,” which includes the ability to tax inhabitants in order to pay bondholders.
- Revenue bonds are backed by earnings from a specific project or source, such as highway tolls or lease fees, rather by the government’s taxing power. Some revenue bonds are available “The term “non-recourse” refers to the fact that bondholders have no claim to the underlying revenue source if the revenue stream ceases to exist.
Municipal borrowers also occasionally issue bonds on behalf of private businesses such as non-profit universities and hospitals. The issuer, who pays the interest and principal on the bonds, often agrees to reimburse these “conduit” borrowers. The issuer is usually not compelled to pay the bonds if the conduit borrower fails to make a payment.
Where can investors find information about municipal bonds?
The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board’s Electronic Municipal Market Access (EMMA) website makes municipal securities documentation and data available to the public for free. You will have access to:
- Economic reports and events that may have an influence on the municipal bond market are listed on this calendar.
It’s worth noting that many issuers have dedicated websites or webpages for municipal bond investors. Some issuers link to those pages from their EMMA main page. Learn how to use EMMA to locate issuer homepages.
In 2009, the Securities and Exchange Commission recognized EMMA as the official depository for municipal securities disclosures. The MSRB is supervised by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The MSRB is a self-regulatory body whose objective is to promote a fair and efficient municipal securities market in order to safeguard investors, state and local governments, and other municipal entities, as well as the public interest. The disclosure materials are not reviewed by the SEC or the MSRB before they are posted on EMMA.
What are some of the risks of investing in municipal bonds?
Municipal bonds, like any other investment, carry certain risk. Municipal bond investors are exposed to a number of dangers, including:
Call it a gamble. Call risk refers to the possibility of an issuer repaying a bond before its maturity date, which could happen if interest rates fall, similar to how a homeowner might refinance a mortgage loan to take advantage of reduced rates. When interest rates are constant or rising, bond calls are less likely. Many municipal bonds are “callable,” thus investors who plan to hold a bond to maturity should look into the bond’s call conditions before buying it.
There is a credit risk. This is the risk that the bond issuer will run into financial difficulties, making it difficult or impossible to pay interest and principal in full (the inability to do so is known as “default”). For many bonds, credit ratings are available. Credit ratings attempt to measure a bond’s relative credit risk in comparison to other bonds, yet a high grade does not imply that the bond would never default.
Interest rate risk is a concern. Bonds have a set face value, which is referred to as the “par” value. If bonds are held to maturity, the investor will get the face value of the bond plus interest, which might be fixed or variable. The market price of the bond will grow as interest rates fall and fall as interest rates rise, hence the market value of the bond may be greater or lesser than the par value. Interest rates in the United States have been historically low. If interest rates rise, investors who hold a cheap fixed-rate municipal bond and try to sell it before it matures may lose money due to the bond’s lower market value.
There is a chance of inflation. Inflation is defined as a widespread increase in prices. Inflation diminishes purchasing power, posing a risk to investors who are paid a fixed rate of interest. It may also result in higher interest rates and, as a result, a decrease in the market value of existing bonds.
There’s a danger of running out of cash. This refers to the possibility that investors may be unable to locate an active market for the municipal bond, prohibiting them from buying or selling the bond when they want and at a specific price. Because many investors purchase municipal bonds to hold rather than trade them, the market for a given bond may be less liquid, and quoted values for the same bond may range.
In addition to the risks, what other factors should you consider when investing in municipal bonds?
There are tax implications. Consult a tax specialist to learn more about the bond’s tax ramifications, such as whether it’s subject to the federal alternative minimum tax or qualified for state income tax benefits.
Brokerage commissions. The majority of brokers are compensated by a markup on the bond’s cost to the firm. It’s possible that this markup will be revealed on your confirmation statement. If you are charged a commission, it will appear on your confirmation statement. You should inquire about markups and commissions with your broker.
What are municipal bonds with a high yield?
- The high-yield muni market is substantially smaller than the investment-grade market in terms of liquidity. It has a lot less “liquid” in it. This translates to fewer trade volumes. This isn’t a concern for investors in mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs); it only applies to investors in individual stocks. However, when bond prices fall, high-yield munis face a greater risk of default.
- A distinct collection of dangers: Interest rate risk has a greater impact on investment-grade municipal bonds than credit risk. When it comes to high yield, however, the contrary is frequently true. In other words, rather than interest rate changes, the financial strength of the underlying issuers drives performance. It means that high-yield munis are more susceptible to economic volatility than investment-grade bonds. As a result, high-yield munis can help to diversify a portfolio that is strongly weighted in higher-quality bonds.