The Great Recession lasted from December 2007 to June 2009, making it the longest downturn since World War II. The Great Recession was particularly painful in various ways, despite its short duration. From its peak in 2007Q4 to its bottom in 2009Q2, real gross domestic product (GDP) plummeted 4.3 percent, the greatest drop in the […]
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To listen to the podcast, press play on the player above and follow along with the transcript below. In its current form, this transcript was created automatically and then edited for clarity. Between the audio and the text, there may be some discrepancies. Republican attempts to invalidate state-ordered congressional districting schemes in North Carolina and
Are We Near Another Recession? Read More »
The risk-free rate of return, an inflation premium, and a credit risk premium are all factors that go into the yield a bond pays. Separating this element from the others is the first step in calculating the inflation premium. Check current rates for Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities of the same maturity. Because these
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There are around 40 different futures contracts that mirror U.S. and worldwide stock market indexes in total. Equity futures begin trading at 6 p.m. Eastern time on Sunday and end at 4:15 p.m. Eastern time on Friday. During the week, stock futures cease trading between 4:15 and 4:30 p.m. Eastern time. When do the S&P
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The United States’ annual inflation rate has risen from 3.2 percent in 2011 to 4.7 percent in 2021. This suggests that the dollar’s purchasing power has deteriorated in recent years. What will be the rate of inflation in 2020? In 2020, the inflation rate was 1.23 percent. Inflation is presently 7.87 percent higher than it
What’s Inflation This Year? Read More »
A fresh and unsurprising political crisis has erupted in Italy, as two ministers from the minor party Viva Italia have resigned from the government. In the middle of a pandemic, the last thing Italians needed was this. The year 2020 will be remembered as a watershed moment in Italy’s history. And it was, without a
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Inflation, or the gradual increase in the price of goods and services over time, has a variety of positive and negative consequences. Inflation reduces purchasing power, or the amount of something that can be bought with money. Because inflation reduces the purchasing power of currency, customers are encouraged to spend and store up on products
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Recessions typically last eight to nine months, putting the next one around the middle of 2024. If the current market follows its historical trajectory, the current turmoil should be viewed as a one-time blip in risk markets. “The playbook is historically accurate,” he argues. Is a recession expected in 2021? Unfortunately, a worldwide economic recession
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Bonds’ deadliest enemy is inflation. The purchasing power of a bond’s future cash flows is eroded by inflation. Bonds are typically fixed-rate investments. Inflation (or rising prices) reduces the return on a bond in real terms, which means adjusted for inflation. When a bond pays a 4% yield and inflation is 3%, the bond’s real
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According to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts, GDP of Jamaica is predicted to reach $14.90 billion by the end of 2021. According to our econometric models, the Jamaican GDP is expected to trend around 17.00 USD billion in 2022. Is Jamaica wealthy or impoverished? With 2.93 million people, Jamaica is the largest and
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