The Fisher Effect, coined by economist Irving Fisher, describes the relationship between inflation and both real and nominal interest rates. The real interest rate is equal to the nominal interest rate minus the predicted inflation rate, according to the Fisher Effect. As a result, unless nominal rates rise at the same rate as inflation, real […]
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The theoretical calculation of how a futures stock index contract should be priced considering the current index value, dividends paid on stocks in the index, days till the futures contract expires, and current interest rates is known as the fair value. What is the difference between futures and fair value? While futures forecast where the
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When calculating the gross domestic product, economists ignore intermediate products (GDP). The market worth of all final goods and services generated in the economy is measured by GDP. These items are not included in the computation because they would be tallied twice. What are the intermediary goods that aren’t counted in the GDP? What are
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Because of the multiple ways the CPI is used, it has an impact on practically everyone in the United States. Here are some instances of how it’s used: As a measure of the economy. The CPI is the most generally used metric of inflation, and it is sometimes used as a gauge of government economic
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Stock index futures, such as the S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES), reflect expectations for a stock index’s price at a later date, based on dividends and interest rates. Index futures are two-party agreements that are considered a zero-sum game because when one party wins, the other loses, and there is no net wealth transfer. While
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Average consumer price inflation rate in the United States of America. Inflation in the United States of America was 1.2 percent in 2020. Though the inflation rate in the United States of America has changed significantly in recent years, it has tended to decline from 2001 to 2020, ending at 1.2 percent in 2020. What
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Recessions typically last eight to nine months, putting the next one around the middle of 2024. If the current market follows its historical trajectory, the current turmoil should be viewed as a one-time blip in risk markets. “The playbook is historically accurate,” he argues. Is a recession in 2022 expected? To listen to the podcast,
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They claim supply chain challenges, growing demand, production costs, and large swathes of relief funding all have a part, although politicians tends to blame the supply chain or the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 as the main reasons. A more apolitical perspective would say that everyone has a role to play in
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From the gold rush in the 1840s to the present day, mining has contributed to Australia’s high level of economic growth. Pastoralism and mining attracted significant amounts of British capital, and expansion was aided by massive government outlays for transportation, communication, and urban infrastructures, all of which were strongly reliant on British funds. Large-scale immigration
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Futures are traded on margin, with investors paying as little as ten percent of the contract’s value to possess it and control the right to sell it until it expires. Profits are magnified by margins, but they also allow you to gamble money you can’t afford to lose. It’s important to remember that trading on
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