What Kind Of Inflation Does Government Spending Cause?

We observed essentially little influence of government expenditure on inflation across the board. For example, we discovered that a 10% increase in government spending resulted in an 8 basis point decrease in inflation in our benchmark specification. Furthermore, the effect is not statistically significant. Does this mean that countercyclical government expenditure is inefficient at boosting […]

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What Is 5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate?

The 5-year, 5-year forward inflation expectation rate is 2.27 percent, down from 2.31 percent the day before and 2.09 percent the year before. This is greater than the 2.24 percent long-term average. What is the 5 year breakeven point? The difference between the 5 year Treasury rate and the 5 year Treasury inflation-indexed security rate […]

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