In theory, oil futures contracts are straightforward. They keep the time-honored practice of certain market participants selling risk to others who willingly buy it in the expectation of profiting. To put it another way, buyers and sellers agree on a price for oil (or soybeans, or gold) that will be traded at some point in the future, rather than today. While no one knows what price oil will trade at in nine months, futures market participants believe they can.
What’s the deal with oil futures?
Oil futures are agreements to exchange a specific amount of oil at a specific price on a specific date. They’re traded on exchanges and reflect distinct forms of oil demand. Oil futures are a popular way to purchase and sell oil since they allow you to trade increasing and decreasing prices.
How do oil futures generate revenue?
Market bubbles are frequently blamed on speculators. They raise asset values until they burst, profit from negative bets on the way down, and then switch their bets when the market bottoms. Oil speculators are frequently blamed for the current price volatility. Oil speculators have continued to migrate in and out of the market in quest of enormous returns, and this time has been no different. Here’s one of the more bizarre ways traders are trying to profit from the current oil market turbulence.
Typically, oil speculators earn money by speculating on crude oil futures. These bullish or bearish paper or electronic bets entail buying or selling a futures contract for a fixed quantity of oil at a price agreed upon today with a future delivery date. Someone negative on oil, for example, could sell short a futures contract, then buy back the contract at the now-lower pricing and pocket the difference if oil fell. It’s worth noting, though, that futures traders almost never take physical delivery of the oil, preferring instead to buy or sell contracts.
These negative bets flooded the market in the fall of 2014, as oil speculators became increasingly gloomy on the commodity, with some predicting that oil prices would plummet to $0. Traders proceeded to cover their short positions and create fresh bullish bets, intending to benefit if oil prices soon returned, and those bearish transactions began to flip more recently. Another bullish wager is reported to be in the works, in which some oil speculators are buying real oil and storing it at sea for a year in order to profit handsomely when oil prices rise in the future.
A bizarre oil trade is being set up by some of the world’s major oil trading corporations, including Royal Dutch Shell Plc, according to a recent Reuters exclusive.
How do oil futures contracts become purchased?
There are a few different ways to get your hands on crude oil futures. The following are a few of the most common:
- Directly purchase oil futures. The first alternative is to buy and sell oil futures on a commodities exchange directly. The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are two of the most well-known (CME or CME Group). You can also use a broker, such as TradeStation, to make your purchase.
- ETFs can be bought and sold. You can invest in oil-related exchange-traded funds if you’d prefer let someone else handle the buying and selling of oil futures while paying minimum costs (ETFs). However, before you acquire a fund, make sure you read the fine print. Some of these funds invest in oil futures and other oil-related derivatives, while others invest in oil producing firms, so you won’t have any direct exposure to physical oil.
There are a few things to bear in mind regardless of how you choose to get into the futures industry:
- Price fluctuations are frequent. Oil futures prices are notorious for their extreme volatility. As a result, it’s critical that you stick to your trading plan, even if that means occasionally accepting a loss – an unpleasant truth that all investors must embrace.
- It’s essential to conduct research on a daily basis. The price of oil is affected by a number of factors, each of which can produce significant price changes on its own. Not only should you conduct daily research, but you should also keep up with the news, not only to keep track of how oil is performing at the present, but also to keep track of the state of geopolitical and economic situations, weather events, and the other elements stated above.
- If you don’t know what you’re doing, don’t use margins. The attraction of the enormous rewards that successful margin trades can give is difficult to ignore as a newbie. You should avoid trading on margin until you are an experienced oil futures trader, no matter how challenging it may be. Sure, there’s the possibility for massive returns, but there’s also the risk of large loses.
What does buying oil futures imply?
Crude oil futures are contracts in which buyers and sellers of crude oil coordinate and agree to deliver certain volumes of physical crude oil at a future date. The benchmark crude oil futures contract in the United States is for West Texas Intermediate, a type of oil with a low density and sulfur content that makes it relatively easy to refine. Many traders refer to the contracts as NYMEX WTI crude oil futures since they have historically traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude oil futures, which feature a different grade of oil found in the North Sea off the European mainland, are also widely traded around the world.
The specifications for crude oil futures contracts are specified in such a way that they can be traded evenly by market participants. Each contract includes 1,000 barrels, with delivery dates ranging from three to nine years in the future. The seller must deliver the oil to the buyer at a pipeline or storage facility in the energy hub of Cushing, Oklahoma, at some point during the delivery month, with a legal transfer of title accompanying the actual physical transportation of oil.
Are futures a high-risk investment?
Futures are no riskier than other types of investments such as stocks, bonds, or currencies in and of themselves. This is because the values of futures, whether they are futures on stocks, bonds, or currencies, are determined by the prices of the underlying assets.
To trade oil futures, how much money do you need?
The amount of money you’ll need in your account to day trade a crude oil futures contract varies depending on your futures broker, but you’ll need at least $1,000. Keep in mind that you’ll need enough funds in your account to cover any possible losses. If you don’t want to risk more than 1% of your cash on every single trade, you can limit yourself to $10 per trade.
Are oil futures delivered physically?
The underlying asset of an option or derivatives contract is physically delivered on a fixed delivery date with a physical delivery. Let’s take a look at a physical delivery scenario. Assume two parties agree to a one-year Crude Oil futures contract at a price of $58.40 in March 2019. The buyer is committed to acquire 1,000 barrels of crude oil (unit for 1 crude oil futures contract) from the seller regardless of the commodity’s spot price on the settlement date. The long contract holder loses if the spot price on the specified settlement day in March is less than $58.40, while the short contract holder benefits. If the spot price is higher than the $58.40 futures price, the long position profits, while the selling loses.
How can I make a little investment in oil?
Your brokerage account is usually the best location to search if you want to invest in oil with a small amount of money. You can now buy stock without worrying about costs cutting into your investment thanks to the recent introduction of no-fee stock trades at all of the major brokerage firms.
You can buy fractional shares from some brokers if you don’t have enough money to buy a whole share.
What is the best way to short oil futures?
If you’re negative on crude oil, a short position in the crude oil futures market can help you profit from a drop in the price. Selling (shorting) one or more crude oil futures contracts on a futures exchange is one way to do so.
Example: Short Crude Oil Futures Trade
At USD 44.20/barrel, you decide to sell one near-month NYMEX Brent Crude Oil Futures contract. The value of a Brent Crude Oil futures contract is USD 44,200 since each contract represents 1000 barrels of crude oil. You must put up an initial margin of USD 12,825 to initiate the short futures transaction.
The price of crude oil decreases a week later, and the price of NYMEX Brent Crude Oil futures falls to USD 39.78 per barrel as a result. Each contract now only has a value of USD 39,780. So, by closing your futures position now, you can profit USD 4,420 on your short position in Brent Crude Oil Futures.
Where can I buy and sell crude oil futures?
Crude oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) are the most actively traded physical commodities futures contract in the world. The contract is utilized as a primary international pricing benchmark due to its strong liquidity and price transparency. Trading in heating oil and gasoline futures is also available on the NYMEX.
Crude oil futures are a simple and accessible option for individual investors to engage in one of the world’s most important commodities markets. Furthermore, crude oil futures contracts can be used by a wide range of energy organizations, from those involved in exploration and production to refiners, to hedge their price risk. Because of its low sulfur level and relatively high yields of gasoline, diesel fuel, heating oil, and jet fuel, refiners choose light, sweet crude. Even large purchasers of energy products can utilize crude oil futures to hedge against price changes.