Fees on bond funds might be deceptively modest. Although the average bond fund has a lower expense ratio than the average stock fund, fees can quickly pile up.
The projected return on bonds is lower than the expected return on equities. If we suppose that bonds have a long-term return of 4% or 5%, a fund with a 1% expense ratio would eat up 20% to 25% of pre-fee gains. That’s simply excessive.
What is a reasonable fee to pay? Although everything is relative, according to the Investment Company Institute, the typical bond index fund has a cost ratio of 0.10 percent each year. That would be a nice category for a bond fund to fall into, because bonds’ lower returns need lower costs.
Overall, if you keep the four points above in mind, you can avoid the most common bond ETF errors. Always compare a bond ETF’s yield to a bond fund’s credit and interest rate risk, make sure you understand the index a bond ETF aims to mimic, and, perhaps most significantly, make sure you aren’t paying too much to hold a bond ETF. You’ll be alright if you do those four things.
What criteria do you use to select BOND ETFs?
It’s not only about finding the ETF with the best yield when it comes to buying a decent bond ETF. It is undoubtedly true that high profits can only be reached by accepting larger risks.
I like to look at the ETF’s holdings by credit rating when I’m researching a bond ETF. Bonds are rated on a sliding scale from D (defaulted bonds) to AAA (excellent bonds) (the lowest-risk bonds). While credit rating organizations make mistakes from time to time — certain highly rated bonds underperformed during the financial crisis — bond ratings, on the whole, are extremely accurate in anticipating relative risk. Bonds with better ratings have defaulted at a lower rate than those with lower ratings.
Are bond ETFs currently a smart investment?
Bond ETFs can be a great way for investors to diversify their portfolio fast by purchasing just one or two securities. However, investors must consider the drawbacks, such as a high expense ratio, which might eat into returns in this low-interest-rate environment.
Is it possible to lose money on a bond ETF?
- Market transparency is lacking. Bonds are traded over-the-counter (OTC), which means they are not traded on a single exchange and have no official agreed-upon price. The market is complicated, and investors may find that different brokers offer vastly different prices for the same bond.
- High profit margins. Broker markups on bond prices can be significant, especially for smaller investors; according to one US government research, municipal bond markups can reach 2.5 percent. The cost of investing in individual bonds can quickly pile up due to markups, bid/ask gaps, and the price of the bonds themselves.
- Liquidity issues. Liquidity of bonds varies greatly. Some bonds are traded daily, while others are traded weekly or even monthly, and this is when markets are at their best. During times of market turmoil, some bonds may cease to trade entirely.
A bond ETF is a bond investment in the form of a stock. A bond ETF attempts to replicate the performance of a bond index. Despite the fact that these securities only contain bonds, they trade on an exchange like stocks, giving them some appealing equity-like characteristics.
Bonds and bond ETFs may have the same underlying investments, however bond ETFs’ behavior is affected by exchange trading in numerous ways:
- Bond ETFs do not have a maturity date. Individual bonds have a definite, unchanging maturity date when investors receive their money back; each day invested brings that day closer. Bond ETFs, on the other hand, maintain a constant maturity, which is the weighted average of all the bonds in the portfolio’s maturities. Some of these bonds may be expiring or leaving the age range that a bond ETF is targeting at any given time (e.g., a one- to three-year Treasury bond ETF kicks out all bonds with less than 12 months to maturity). As a result, fresh bonds are regularly purchased and sold in order to maintain the portfolio’s maturity.
- Even in illiquid markets, bond ETFs are liquid. Single bonds have a wide range of tradability. Some issues are traded on a daily basis, while others are only traded once a month. They may not trade at all during times of stress. Bond ETFs, on the other hand, trade on an exchange, which means they can be purchased and sold at any time during market hours, even if the underlying bonds aren’t trading.
This has real-world ramifications. According to one source, high-yield corporate bonds trade on less than half of the days each month, but the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG | B-64) trades millions of shares per day.
- Bond ETFs pay a monthly dividend. One of the most appealing features of bonds is that they pay out interest to investors on a regular basis. These coupon payments are usually made every six months. Bond ETFs, on the other hand, hold a variety of issues at once, and some of the bonds in the portfolio may be paying their coupons at any one time. As a result, bond ETFs often pay interest monthly rather than semiannually, and the amount paid can fluctuate from month to month.
- Diversification. You may own hundreds, even thousands, of bonds in an index with an ETF for a fraction of the cost of buying each issue individually. At retail prices, it’s institutional-style diversification.
- Trading convenience. There’s no need to sift through the murky OTC markets to argue over rates. With the click of a button, you may purchase and sell bond ETFs from your regular brokerage account.
- Bond ETFs can be bought and sold at any time during the trading day, even in foreign or smaller markets where individual securities may trade infrequently.
- Transparency in pricing. There’s no need to guess how much your bond ETF is worth because ETF values are published openly on the market and updated every 15 seconds during the trading day.
- More consistent revenue. Instead of six-monthly coupon payments, bond ETFs often pay interest monthly. Monthly payments provide bond ETF holders with a more consistent income stream to spend or reinvest, even if the value varies from month to month.
- There’s no assurance that you’ll get your money back. Bond ETFs never mature, so they can’t provide the same level of security for your initial investment as actual bonds may. To put it another way, there’s no guarantee that you’ll get your money back at some point in the future.
Some ETF providers, however, have recently began creating ETFs with defined maturity dates, which hold each bond until it expires and then disperse the proceeds once all bonds have matured. Under its BulletShares brand, Guggenheim offers 16 investment-grade and high-yield corporate bond target-maturity-date ETFs with maturities ranging from 2017 to 2018; iShares offers six target-maturity-date municipal ETFs. (See “I Love BulletShares ETFs” for more information.)
- If interest rates rise, you may lose money. Rates of interest fluctuate throughout time. Bonds’ value may fall as a result of this, and selling them could result in a loss on your initial investment. Individual bonds allow you to reduce risk by simply holding on to them until they mature, at which point you will be paid their full face value. However, because bond ETFs don’t mature, there’s little you can do to avoid the pain of rising rates.
Individual bonds are out of reach for the majority of investors. Even if it weren’t, bond ETFs provide a level of diversification, liquidity, and price transparency that single bonds can’t match, plus intraday tradability and more regular income payouts. Bond ETFs may come with some added risks, but for the ordinary investor, they’re arguably a better and more accessible option.
Is bond investing a wise idea in 2021?
Because the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates in reaction to the 2020 economic crisis and the following recession, bond interest rates were extremely low in 2021. If investors expect interest rates will climb in the next several years, they may choose to invest in bonds with short maturities.
A two-year Treasury bill, for example, pays a set interest rate and returns the principle invested in two years. If interest rates rise in 2023, the investor could reinvest the principle in a higher-rate bond at that time. If the same investor bought a 10-year Treasury note in 2021 and interest rates rose in the following years, the investor would miss out on the higher interest rates since they would be trapped with the lower-rate Treasury note. Investors can always sell a Treasury bond before it matures; however, there may be a gain or loss, meaning you may not receive your entire initial investment back.
Also, think about your risk tolerance. Investors frequently purchase Treasury bonds, notes, and shorter-term Treasury bills for their safety. If you believe that the broader markets are too hazardous and that your goal is to safeguard your wealth, despite the current low interest rates, you can choose a Treasury security. Treasury yields have been declining for several months, as shown in the graph below.
Bond investments, despite their low returns, can provide stability in the face of a turbulent equity portfolio. Whether or not you should buy a Treasury security is primarily determined by your risk appetite, time horizon, and financial objectives. When deciding whether to buy a bond or other investments, please seek the advice of a financial counselor or financial planner.
Do BOND ETFs hold bonds until they expire?
Bond ETFs provide many of the same characteristics as actual bonds, such as a consistent coupon payment. One of the most important advantages of bond ownership is the ability to receive fixed payments on a regular basis. Traditionally, these payments are made every six months. Bond ETFs, on the other hand, own assets with varying maturities. As a result, some bonds in the portfolio may be due for a coupon payment at any given time. As a result, bond ETFs pay interest every month, with the coupon value fluctuating from month to month.
The fund’s assets are constantly changing and do not mature. Instead, bonds are purchased and sold as they approach or leave the fund’s designated age range. Despite the absence of liquidity in the bond market, the difficulty for the architect of a bond ETF is to guarantee that it closely matches its appropriate index in a cost-effective manner. Because most bonds are held until they mature, there is usually no active secondary market for them. This makes ensuring that a bond ETF has enough liquid bonds to mirror an index difficult. Corporate bonds face a greater challenge than government obligations.
Bond ETF providers get around the liquidity issue by utilizing representative sampling, which basically means tracking a small enough number of bonds to form an index. The representative sample bonds are often the largest and most liquid in the index. Tracking mistakes will be less of a concern with ETFs that represent government bond indices due to the liquidity of government bonds.
Bond ETFs are a terrific way to get exposure to the bond market, but they have a few drawbacks. For one reason, in an ETF, an investor’s initial investment is at greater risk than in a single bond. Because a bond ETF never matures, there is no certainty that the principal will be fully repaid. Furthermore, when interest rates rise, the ETF’s price, like the price of an individual bond, tends to fall. However, because the ETF does not mature, it is difficult to manage interest rate risk.
Why do bond ETFs fall in value?
The closer a bond’s maturity date approaches, the more vulnerable it is to rate increases. When all other factors are equal, a 10-year bond has a higher interest rate risk than a five-year bond since your money is exposed to rising interest rates for a longer length of time.
A time-weighted measure of interest-rate risk is called duration. Duration predicts how a bond’s price will fluctuate in reaction to interest rate fluctuations. More interest-rate risk is associated with longer periods. A duration of 3.5, for example, suggests that if interest rates rise by 1%, the value of a bond will fall by 3.5 percent.
- The duration is a guess, not a guarantee. Bond prices rise when interest rates fall, but this isn’t a one-to-one relationship. Price increases from dropping rates are undervalued by duration, whereas price declines from rising yields are overestimated.
- Duration is based on a simplified interest-rate scenario. When interest rates move by 1% across all maturities, duration is calculated; in other words, when rates change, the entire yield curve shifts by 1% up or down. It’s rare that reality is so exact.
Bond ETFs typically pay out income on a monthly basis. One of the most appealing features of bonds is that they pay interest to investors on a regular basis, usually every six months. Bond ETFs, on the other hand, hold a variety of issues at once, and some of the bonds in the portfolio may be paying their coupons at any one time. As a result, bond ETFs often make monthly rather than semiannual coupon payments. This payment’s amount varies from month to month.
Traditional bond indexes are excellent benchmarks but poor portfolio builders. The majority of equities ETFs hold all of the securities in their index. However, with bonds, this is usually not achievable. Hundreds, if not thousands, of individual securities are frequently included in bond indexes. It’s not only tough, but also expensive to buy all those bonds for an ETF’s portfolio. Even if the purchase of thousands of bonds in illiquid markets has a minor impact on the index, the cost of doing so can significantly erode returns.
Managers of bond ETFs frequently tweak their indexes. To keep expenses down, fund managers must often pick and select which bonds from the bond index to include in the ETF. They’ll choose bonds that, based on credit quality, exposure, correlations, duration, and risk, provide the best representative sample of the index. The term “optimization” or “sampling” refers to this process.
Optimizing saves money, but it comes with its own set of hazards. Over time, an ETF’s returns may diverge from those of its index, depending on how aggressively its portfolio was optimized. The majority of ETFs closely track their underlying indexes; nevertheless, a few have fallen short of their benchmark by a few percentage points or more per year. (For further information, see “How To Run An Index Fund: Full Replication vs. Optimization.”)
Individual bond values are difficult to estimate. There is no one agreed-upon price for the value of every bond without an official exchange. Many bonds, in reality, do not trade on a daily basis; particular forms of municipal bonds, for example, can go weeks or months without trading.
To calculate NAV, fund managers need precise bond prices. Bond pricing services, which estimate the value of individual bonds based on recorded trades, trading desk surveys, matrix models, and other factors, are used by both mutual fund and ETF managers. Of course, nothing is certain. But it’s a reasonable guess.
The share price of an ETF isn’t the same as its NAV. The share price of a bond mutual fund is always the same as its net asset value, or the value of the underlying assets in the portfolio. The share price of a bond ETF, on the other hand, can fluctuate depending on market supply and demand. When share prices rise above NAV, premiums form, and when prices fall below NAV, discounts form. However, there is a natural mechanism in place to maintain the share price and NAV of a bond ETF in sync: arbitrage.
Arbitrage is used by APs to keep ETF share prices and NAV in sync. Authorized participants (APs), an unique class of institutional investors, have the right to create or destroy shares of the ETF at any moment. If an ETF’s share price falls below its NAV, APs can profit from the difference by purchasing ETF shares on the open market and trading them into the issuer in exchange for a “in kind” exchange of the underlying bonds. The AP only needs to liquidate the bonds in order to profit. Similarly, if the share price of an ETF increases above NAV, APs can buy individual bonds and exchange them for ETF shares. Arbitrage produces natural purchasing or selling pressure, which helps keep the share price and NAV of an ETF from drifting too far apart.
An ETF’s price may be significantly below its declared NAV in stressed or illiquid markets, or for an extended length of time. When this happens, it simply signifies that the ETF industry believes the bond pricing service is incorrect, and that the prices for the fund’s underlying bonds are being overestimated. In other words, the APs don’t think they’ll be able to sell the underlying bonds for their stated valuations. This means that the ETF price falls below its NAV, which is good news for ETF investors. (Any premiums that may accrue follow the same procedure.)
Large premiums and discounts in a bond ETF don’t always indicate mispricing. Highly liquid bond ETFs can perform price discovery for the bonds they hold, and an ETF’s market price can actually be a better approximation of the aggregate value of the underlying bonds than its own NAV.
When is the best time to buy a bond?
It’s better to buy bonds when interest rates are high and peaking if your goal is to improve overall return and “you have some flexibility in either how much you invest or when you may invest.” “Rising interest rates can potentially be a tailwind” for long-term bond fund investors, according to Barrickman.
Where can you find the most dangerous bond?
Thousands of governments, government agencies, corporations, and municipalities issue millions of bonds each year. The following table examines the degree of risk associated with each major bond type.
Treasury Department: Politicians prefer to raise money by selling bonds rather than raising taxes since voters despise taxation. The Treasury of the United States issues a variety of debt products, including savings bonds and Treasuries. Most investors believe bonds to be the safest investment because they are backed by the United States government’s full faith and credit.
Federal agencies and government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) issue a significant portion of the market’s bonds. Federal agencies issue bonds that are backed by the US government’s full faith and credit. GSEs aren’t quite government and not quite private companies; their bonds include an implicit promise that the US government will bail them out in the event of a default. As a result, they are riskier than government agency bonds.
Bonds issued by for-profit firms are riskier than government bonds, but they tend to compensate for this risk by paying higher interest rates. In recent years, corporate bonds have tended to pay approximately a percentage point more than similar-maturity Treasury bonds.
Municipalities: Municipal bonds (munis) are issued by cities, states, and counties to raise funds for general public needs (schools, roads, and sewer systems) as well as specific projects (a new bridge, a sports stadium). Munis, at least those rated by major rating agencies (such as Moody’s), which account for the great majority of munis, are generally quite safe animals. Furthermore, around two-thirds of today’s municipal bonds are insured; you won’t lose your principal unless the insurer and its insurance company fail, which is extremely improbable.