In addition to updated fourth-quarter projections, today’s announcement includes revised third-quarter 2021 wages and salaries, personal taxes, and government social insurance contributions, all based on new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program. Wages and wages climbed by $306.8 billion in the third quarter, up $27.7 billion from the previous estimate. With the addition of this new statistics, real gross domestic income is now anticipated to have climbed 6.4 percent in the third quarter, a 0.6 percentage point gain over the prior estimate.
GDP for 2021
In 2021, real GDP climbed by 5.7 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major components of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
PCE increased as both products and services increased in value. “Other” nondurable items (including games and toys as well as medications), apparel and footwear, and recreational goods and automobiles were the major contributors within goods. Food services and accommodations, as well as health care, were the most significant contributors to services. Increases in equipment (dominated by information processing equipment) and intellectual property items (driven by software as well as research and development) partially offset a reduction in structures in nonresidential fixed investment (widespread across most categories). The rise in exports was due to an increase in products (mostly non-automotive capital goods), which was somewhat offset by a drop in services (led by travel as well as royalties and license fees). The increase in residential fixed investment was primarily due to the development of new single-family homes. An increase in wholesale commerce led to an increase in private inventory investment (mainly in durable goods industries).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP climbed by 10.1 percent (revised), or $2.10 trillion, to $23.00 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous forecast, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to a 1.2 percent gain. With food and energy prices excluded, the PCE price index grew 3.3 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
Real GDP grew 5.6 (revised) percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a fall of 2.3 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 5.6 percent (revised), compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index grew 5.5 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, versus a 1.2 percent increase. The PCE price index grew 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
Is the US economy bigger than the EU’s?
The European Union’s economy is the combined economy of the European Union’s member states (EU). It is the world’s second-largest economy in nominal terms, after the United States, and the world’s third-largest economy in purchasing power parity (PPP), after China and the United States. In 2020, the European Union’s nominal GDP is expected to be over $17.1 trillion, accounting for around 1/6 of the global economy.
Is the US economy expanding?
Retail and wholesale trade industries led the increase in private inventory investment. The largest contributor to retail was inventory investment by automobile dealers. Increases in both products and services contributed to the increase in exports. Consumer products, industrial supplies and materials, and foods, feeds, and beverages were the biggest contributions to the growth in goods exports. Travel was the driving force behind the increase in service exports. The rise in PCE was mostly due to an increase in services, with health care, recreation, and transportation accounting for the majority of the increase. The increase in nonresidential fixed investment was mostly due to a rise in intellectual property items, which was partially offset by a drop in structures.
The reduction in federal spending was mostly due to lower defense spending on intermediate goods and services. State and local government spending fell as a result of lower consumption (driven by state and local government employee remuneration, particularly education) and gross investment (led by new educational structures). The rise in imports was mostly due to a rise in goods (led by non-food and non-automotive consumer goods, as well as capital goods).
After gaining 2.3 percent in the third quarter, real GDP increased by 6.9% in the fourth quarter. The fourth-quarter increase in real GDP was primarily due to an increase in exports, as well as increases in private inventory investment and PCE, as well as smaller decreases in residential fixed investment and federal government spending, which were partially offset by a decrease in state and local government spending. Imports have increased.
In the fourth quarter, current dollar GDP climbed 14.3% on an annual basis, or $790.1 billion, to $23.99 trillion. GDP climbed by 8.4%, or $461.3 billion, in the third quarter (table 1 and table 3).
In the fourth quarter, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 6.9%, compared to 5.6 percent in the third quarter (table 4). The PCE price index climbed by 6.5 percent, compared to a 5.3 percent gain in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 4.9 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 4.6 percent overall.
Personal Income
In the fourth quarter, current-dollar personal income climbed by $106.3 billion, compared to $127.9 billion in the third quarter. Increases in compensation (driven by private earnings and salaries), personal income receipts on assets, and rental income partially offset a decline in personal current transfer receipts (particularly, government social assistance) (table 8). Following the end of pandemic-related unemployment programs, the fall in government social benefits was more than offset by a decrease in unemployment insurance.
In the fourth quarter, disposable personal income grew $14.1 billion, or 0.3 percent, compared to $36.7 billion, or 0.8 percent, in the third quarter. Real disposable personal income fell 5.8%, compared to a 4.3 percent drop in the previous quarter.
In the fourth quarter, personal savings totaled $1.34 trillion, compared to $1.72 trillion in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the personal saving rate (savings as a percentage of disposable personal income) was 7.4 percent, down from 9.5 percent in the third quarter.
In 2021, real GDP climbed 5.7 percent (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major subcomponents of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP expanded by 10.0 percent, or $2.10 trillion, to $22.99 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in the previous quarter. The PCE price index climbed 3.3 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Real GDP rose 5.5 percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a 2.3 percent fall from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases grew 5.5 percent, compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index climbed by 5.5 percent, compared to 1.2 percent for the year. The PCE price index increased 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Source Data for the Advance Estimate
A Technical Note that is issued with the news release on BEA’s website contains information on the source data and major assumptions utilized in the advance estimate. Each version comes with a thorough “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file. Refer to the “Additional Details” section below for information on GDP updates.
What is the GDP of the United States in 2022?
According to our econometric models, the US GDP will trend around 22790.00 USD Billion in 2022 and 23420.00 USD Billion in 2023 in the long run.
How much debt does America have?
“Parties in power have built up the deficit through increased spending and poorer tax collection, regardless of political affiliation,” says Brian Rehling, head of Global Fixed Income Strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute.
While it’s easy to suggest that a specific president or president’s administration led the federal deficit and national debt to move in a given direction, it’s crucial to remember that only Congress has the power to pass legislation that has the greatest impact on both figures.
Here’s how Congress responded during four major presidential administrations, and how their decisions affected the deficit and national debt.
Franklin D. Roosevelt
FDR served as the country’s last four-term president, guiding the country through a series of economic downturns. His administration spanned the Great Depression, and his flagship New Deal economic recovery plan aided America’s rebound from its financial abyss. The expense of World War II, however, contributed nearly $186 billion to the national debt between 1942 and 1945, making it the greatest substantial rise to the national debt. During FDR’s presidency, Congress added $236 billion to the national debt, a rise of 1,048 percent.
Ronald Reagan
Congress passed two major tax cuts during Reagan’s two administrations, the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 and the Tax Reform Act of 1986, both of which reduced government income. Between 1982 and 1990, Congress passed Acts that reduced revenue as a percentage of GDP by 1.7 percent, resulting in a revenue shortfall that contributed to the national debt rising 261 percent ($1.26 trillion) during his presidency, from $924.6 billion to $2.19 trillion.
Barack Obama
The Obama administration oversaw both the Great Recession and the recovery that followed the collapse of the mortgage market throughout his two years in office. The Economic Stimulus Act of 2009, which pumped $831 billion into the economy and helped many Americans avoid foreclosure, was passed by Congress in 2009. When passed by a strong bipartisan vote, congressional tax cuts added extra $858 billion to the national debt. During Obama’s two terms in office, Congress increased the national deficit by 74% and added $8.6 trillion to the national debt.
Donald Trump
Congress approved the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2017, slashing corporate and personal income tax rates, during his single term. The cuts, which were seen as a bonanza for the wealthiest Americans and corporations at the time of their passage, were expected by the Congressional Budget Office to increase the government deficit by $1.9 trillion at the time of their passing.
The federal deficit climbed from $665 billion in 2017 to $3.13 trillion in 2020, despite the Treasury Secretary’s prediction that the tax cuts would reduce it. Some of the rise was due to tax cuts, but the majority of the increase was due to successive Covid relief programs.
The public’s share of the federal debt has risen from $14.6 trillion in 2017 to more than $21 trillion in 2020. The national debt is made up of public debt and intragovernmental debt (amounts owed to federal retirement trust funds such as the Social Security Trust Fund). It refers to the amount of money owed by the United States to external debtors such as American banks and investors, corporations, people, state and municipal governments, the Federal Reserve, and foreign governments and international investors such as Japan and China. The money is borrowed in order to keep the United States running. Treasury banknotes, notes, and bonds are included. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), US savings bonds, and state and local government series securities are among the other holders of public debt.
“The national debt is growing at a rate it hasn’t seen in decades,” says James Cassel, chairman and co-founder of Cassel Salpeter, an investment bank. “This is the outcome of the basic principle of spending more money than you earn.” Cassel also points out that while both major political parties have spoken seriously about reducing the national debt at times, discussions and strategies have stopped.
When both sides pose discussing raising the debt ceiling each year, the national debt is more typically utilized as a bargaining chip. The United States would default on its debt obligations if the debt ceiling was not raised. As a result, Congress always votes to raise the debt ceiling (the maximum amount of money the US government may borrow), but only after parties have reached an agreement on other legislation.
Which country owes the most money?
Venezuela has the highest debt-to-GDP ratio in the world as of December 2020, by a wide margin. Venezuela may have the world’s greatest oil reserves, but the state-owned oil corporation is thought to be poorly managed, and the country’s GDP has fallen in recent years. Simultaneously, Venezuela has taken out large loans, increasing its debt burden, and President Nicolas Maduro has tried dubious measures to curb the country’s spiraling inflation.
Is China’s economy larger than America’s?
China’s GDP is expected to reach $15.92 trillion in 2020, according to market research firm IHS Markit, with export manufacturing growth and funding for new projects pushing it over $18 trillion last year. According to the market research organization, the US GDP hit $23 trillion last year.
Economists predict that the country, which has already been recognized for rapid economic growth over the previous 20 years, would see the government acquire more control over important industries after intervening in others, including the internet, in 2021.
Is Europe wealthier than the United States?
In nominal terms, the United States and the European Union are the world’s two largest economies. In nominal and PPP terms, they account for 42.4 percent and 30.7 percent of world GDP, respectively, as of 2021.
According to IMF forecasts for 2021, the United States will be ahead by $5,548 billion, or 1.32 times, on an exchange rate basis. The gap is narrower on a purchasing power parity basis, with the United States leading by Int. $ 1,757 or 1.08 times. According to World Bank estimations, the US has had a greater gdp for 41 years while the European Union has had a higher gdp for 12 years from 1966 to 2019. The last time the European Union had a larger GDP than the United States was in 2011. In 1985, the ratio between these two was at its maximum, 1.62x, in favor of the United States. In 1980, the EU had the largest ratio in favor of the US, with 1.16x of the US gdp. Since 1994, the EU has been closely following the US in terms of ppp.
In nominal and PPP terms, the United States’ per capita income is 1.86 and 1.44 times more than that of the European Union in 2021. For statistics accessible since 1966, the US had a higher GDP per capita than the EU.
The European Union’s GDP growth rate reaches a high of 6.03 percent in 1973 and a low of -4.33 percent in 2009. Only once between 1966 and 2019 did the European Union grow by more than 5%. In 1984, the US hit an all-time high of 7.24 percent, while in 2009, it hit a new low of -2.54 percent. Over the course of nine years, the United States increased by more than 5%. For the first time in eight years, the United States’ GDP growth rate was negative. In the last five years, the European Union has experienced negative growth.
What are Europe’s top five economies?
Europe’s economy is made up of 748 million people living in 50 countries. The establishment of the European Union (EU) and the adoption of an united currency, the Euro, in 1999, has brought participating European countries closer together through the convenience of a shared currency, resulting in a stronger European cash flow. It’s vital to understand that the European Union is not a country; rather, it’s a worldwide, one-of-a-kind organization that houses the world’s largest economy. The Single Market also “regulates” the global market for the European Union. The disparity in income across Europe can be broadly compared to the former Cold War split, with some countries bridging it (Greece, Estonia, Portugal, Slovenia and the Czech Republic). While most European countries have a higher GDP per capita than the rest of the world and are very developed, some European economies, despite being higher on the Human Development Index than the rest of the world, are poorer. Europe’s banking assets reach more than $50 trillion, with more than $20 trillion in global assets under control.
Throughout this article, “Europe” and variants of the word are used to refer to states whose territory is only partially in Europe, such as Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Georgia, as well as states that are geographically in Asia but culturally adherent to Europe, such as Armenia and Cyprus.
The following are Europe’s largest national economies, each with a nominal GDP of more than $1 trillion:
Switzerland, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Norway, Ireland, and Denmark are among the other major European economies. With a GDP of almost $16 trillion, the European Union accounts for roughly two-thirds of Europe’s GDP.
The EU as a whole is the world’s second wealthiest and largest economy, trailing the United States by around $5 trillion.
184 of the top 500 largest firms by revenue (according to the Fortune Global 500 in 2010) are headquartered in Europe. 161 are from the European Union, 15 from Switzerland, 6 from Russia, 1 from Turkey, and 1 from Norway.
The average level of living in Western Europe is very high, as highlighted by Spanish sociologist Manuel Castells in 2010: “The bulk of the population in Western Europe still enjoys the best living standards in the world, and in the world’s history.”
What country does not owe money?
Brunei is one of the least indebted countries in the world. It has a debt-to-GDP ratio of 2.46 percent, making it the world’s debt-free country with a population of 439,000 people. Brunei is a tiny island nation in Southeast Asia. Despite this, Brunei has been recognized as one of the richest countries in the world due to its oil and gas development. Since gaining independence from the United Kingdom in 1984, the country has experienced remarkable economic growth in the 1990s.