Are REITs Recession Proof?

Parts of the real estate industry may provide some protection against economic downturns. Even though the economy is still growing, the recovery from the pandemic is slowing, with investors worried about inflation risks and the chronic delta version of the coronavirus eroding and possibly reversing that progress. If cautious investors take defensive positions before economic cycles alter, they can be ahead of the game. Income-generating real estate investment trusts, which buy property, collect rent, and distribute at least 90% of their taxable income to shareholders, can be a good defensive investment. REITs are an excellent gauge for how REITs are performing since they produce consistent income through dividend payouts, which boost investment returns. Because their prices are unlikely to see substantial variations during an economic crisis, it’s preferable to concentrate on REITs in solid areas like storage, distribution, and data centers, as well as health care facilities. During more difficult economic circumstances, these seven REITs have the potential to offer favorable results.

COLD is a publicly traded real estate investment trust that specializes on connecting food farmers with supermarkets, restaurants, and other food service providers. It’s also noted for being a market leader in temperature-controlled warehouse management, acquisition, and development. The business model of Americold is what sets it apart. The company provides supply chain solutions as well as digital solutions to provide inventory insight to food producers, retailers, and service providers throughout the world. COLD also provides transportation consolidation to ensure that inventory is delivered quickly. The REIT exhibited a strong recovery from the depths of pandemic shutdowns, with revenue up 33% year over year in the first half of 2021. COLD is also a REIT to consider during a downturn because it has the most experience in supply chain services in its industry.

CONE is a data center REIT with a strong rate of expansion. Health care, technology, retail, energy, entertainment, and finance are among the industries in which it operates. CONE has a global footprint, with data centers throughout North and South America, as well as Europe. CONE announced expansions in Madrid and Frankfurt, Germany, two of Europe’s strongest data center markets, in its most recent earnings release. CONE’s financial performance in 2021 was impressive. The company saw a 21 percent growth in revenue year over year in the first quarter, followed by an 11 percent increase in the second quarter. With a gross asset value of more than $9 billion and long-term debt of $3.5 billion, the company has a healthy financial sheet. ESG, or environmental, social, and governance, principles such as energy efficiency and renewable alternatives are part of the company’s mission statement.

Life Storage has been in the self-storage market for a long time. Since its founding in 1985, LSI has grown to become one of the world’s largest storage companies. During the pandemic, the company experienced significant growth, which explains its geographically diverse portfolio and growth approach. Life Storage has over 1,000 facilities in 34 states and a diverse customer base that includes both residential and commercial clients. Asset recycling is used by LSI to assist generate new properties with stronger revenue growth. In addition, LSI just increased its dividend by 16 percent, which could appeal to income investors.

CCI is a leader in the business when it comes to expediting network connections, scaling networks, and constructing industrial networks. With a presence in most major U.S. cities, the firm manages and leases more than 40,000 cell towers. This infrastructure connects communities and businesses across the country to wireless services. With the rise in smartphone data usage and the need for new 5G networks, the company’s industry expertise in accelerating network connections and enhancing technological infrastructure is helping to fuel this expansion. CCI has a higher forward dividend yield than the market median of 2.3 percent.

Construction, development, property management, and leasing are among DRE’s supply chain specialties. Duke Realty is an e-commerce favored developer that stands out as a distribution leader, which offers it an advantage because industrial warehouses that store merchandise from e-commerce transactions will continue to be in demand. In addition, Amazon is one of DRE’s largest tenants. Duke will gain from the industry’s need for large-scale warehouses and distribution centers as e-commerce continues to grow. Duke Realty offers assets strategically positioned across the country that provide access to industrial development sites and mixed-use developments.

WELL is known for investing in properties that provide services including elder housing, outpatient medical facilities, and rehabilitation centers, all of which are aimed at keeping patients out of hospitals and lowering health-care expenses. Sunrise Senior Living, Cogir Real Estate, and Brandywine Living are just a few of Welltower’s key partners. WELL is well positioned to profit from the predicted spike in senior health-care costs. Indeed, the health-care industry is thought to be recession-proof since it is always a priority, regardless of economic conditions.

Are REITs a decent investment during a downturn?

Since 1991, U.S. REITs have outperformed the S&P 500 by more than 7% annually in late-cycle periods and have provided considerable downside protection in recessions, highlighting the potential value of conservative, lease-based revenues and high dividend yields in an uncertain environment (see chart below).

In 2021, are REITs a viable investment?

REITs provide investors with a number of advantages that make them an excellent addition to any investment portfolio. Competitive long-term performance, attractive income, liquidity, transparency, and diversification are just a few of them.

Competitive long-term performance

REITs have historically outperformed stocks, especially over lengthy periods of time. REITs, as assessed by the FTSE Nareit Composite Index, have generated a compound annual average total return (stock price appreciation plus dividend income) of 11.4 percent over the last 45 years. That’s only a smidgeon less than the S&P 500’s annual return of 11.5 percent over the same time period.

During various occasions, REITs have outperformed stocks. For example, during the last three, five, ten, fifteen, twenty, twenty-five, twenty-five, thirty, thirty-five, and forty years, they have outperformed small-cap equities as assessed by the Russell 2000 Index. Small-cap companies have only outperformed REITs once in the last year. Meanwhile, during the last 20 years, 25 years, and 30 years, REITs have outperformed large-cap equities (the Russell 1000 Index). Finally, they’ve outperformed bonds over the previous 40 years in every historical period.

Attractive income

The fact that most REITs pay attractive dividends is one of the reasons they have earned strong total returns over time. In mid-2021, for example, the average REIT yielded over 3%, more than double the dividend yield of the S&P 500. Over time, the income mounts up because it accounts for the majority of a REIT’s total return.

REITs pay high dividends because they are required to release 90% of their taxable income to comply with IRS laws. Most REITs, on the other hand, pay out more than 90% of their taxable income since their cash flows, as measured by funds from operations (FFO), are sometimes significantly greater than net income due to REITs’ proclivity for recording significant amounts of depreciation each year.

Many REITs have a strong track record of raising dividends over time. Federal Realty Investment Trust, for example, raised its dividend for the 53rd year in a row in 2021, the longest streak in the REIT business. Several other REITs have a long history of boosting their payouts at least once a year.

Liquidity

Real estate is an illiquid investment, which means that it is difficult to convert into cash. Consider the case of a single-family rental (SFR) property owner who needs to sell to finance a large expense. In that situation, they’d have to put the house on the market, wait for a suitable offer, and hope that nothing goes wrong on the way to closing. Depending on market conditions, it could take months before they can convert the property into cash. A real estate agent charge, as well as other closing costs, would almost certainly be required.

If a REIT investor needed money, on the other hand, they could click into their online brokerage account and sell REIT shares whenever the market was open. A REIT investor would also avoid paying commissions when selling because most brokers do not charge commissions.

Transparency

Many private real estate investments are run with little or no supervision. As a result, real estate sponsors may make judgments that aren’t necessarily in their investors’ best interests.

REITs, on the other hand, are quite transparent. The performance of REITs is monitored by independent directors, analysts, auditors, and the financial media. They must also file financial reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This oversight provides a layer of safety for REIT investors, ensuring that management teams are unable to take advantage of them for personal gain.

Diversification

REITs allow investors to diversify their portfolios throughout the commercial real estate industry, reducing their reliance on stock and bond markets. This diversification reduces an investor’s risk profile while not lowering rewards.

For example, with a Sharp Ratio of 0.27 and a standard deviation of 10, a typically balanced portfolio of 60% equities and 40% bonds has historically earned a bit higher than 7.8% return over the past 20 years. The Sharp Ratio compares risk to a risk-free investment, such as a US Treasury bond, with a higher number reflecting a better risk-adjusted return. The standard deviation, on the other hand, is a statistical measure of volatility, with a greater figure indicating a riskier investment. For the sake of comparison, a more aggressive strategy of 80 percent stocks and 20 percent bonds has historically produced around 8.3%, but with a Sharp Ratio of 0.17 and a standard deviation of more than 13.

  • With a Sharp Ratio of 0.34 and a standard deviation of around 10.5, a 55 percent stock/35 percent bond/10 percent REIT portfolio has historically provided a yearly return of around 8.3 percent.
  • A 40 percent stock/40 percent bond/20 percent REIT portfolio has historically had an annualized return of slightly more than 8.4%, with a Sharp Ratio of 0.46 and a standard deviation of less than 10.
  • With a Sharp Ratio of 0.49 and a standard deviation of roughly 11.5, a 33.3 percent spread across stocks, bonds, and REITs has yielded an almost 9% average annual rate of return.

As a result, adding REITs to a portfolio should help it produce superior risk-adjusted returns by reducing volatility.

In 2022, are REITs a viable investment?

To summarize, we believe that REITs provide some of the strongest risk-to-reward opportunities in today’s market because:

We’re in a period of rising inflation and ultra-low interest rates, which is great for landlords and borrowers.

REIT valuations have just recently recovered to pre-COVID levels, which were also historically low.

REITs have consistently outperformed during rising interest rate cycles, and they are particularly well-positioned to tackle another one today.

After years of undersupply, several property industries now have above-average growth potential, both internal and external.

Some REIT property sectors are currently mispriced, presenting chances for diligent investors to earn alpha-rich returns.

You may put your money into a REIT ETF (VNQ) and expect good returns in the next years. Those who can spot the biggest mispricings, on the other hand, are likely to make the most money. That’s what we’re aiming towards.

Is Warren Buffett a REIT Owner?

STORE Capital (STOR -2.56 percent ) is not just a stock in Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK. A 0.83 percent )(BRK. B 0.70 percent ) stock portfolio, but it is also the only real estate investment trust (REIT) in which Warren Buffett’s conglomerate has invested its own money.

Which REITs are the safest?

These three REITs are unlikely to appeal to investors with a value inclination. When things are uncertain, though, it is generally wise to stick with the biggest and most powerful names. Within the REIT industry, Realty Income, AvalonBay, and Prologis all fall more generally into that category, as well as within their specific property specialties.

These REITs are likely to have the capital access they need to outperform at the company level in both good and bad times. This capacity should help them expand their leadership positions and back consistent profits over time. That’s the kind of investment that will allow you to sleep comfortably at night, which is probably a cost worth paying for conservative sorts.

In 2021, how will REITs fare?

Real estate investment trusts will be one of the sectors that investors will remember in 2021. (REITs). REITs increased 40 percent as a group, compared to a 27 percent rise for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. That’s a remarkable outperformance for a market segment that is supposed to pay dividends rather than develop at a breakneck speed.

But there are a few points to keep in mind here that will help explain the massive profits and why investors shouldn’t expect a repeat performance in 2022.

Is it wise to put money into REITs?

Are Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) a Good Investment? REITs are a good method to diversify your portfolio beyond standard equities and bonds, and they can be appealing because of their high dividends and long-term capital appreciation.

Is it a smart time to buy a REIT ETF now?

REITs are particularly appealing today since they are currently undervalued, despite the fact that we are entering a lengthy period of low interest rates and increased inflation.

As a result, most investors think that now is an excellent time to buy REITs, whether for inflation protection, income, upside potential, or just diversity. How should you invest in REITs, on the other hand, is a more challenging issue to answer.

An ETF makes a lot of sense if you’re a passive investor with little time or interest in learning about REITs. At a low cost, it delivers instant diversification and passive portfolio management.

Many market sectors, including large-cap stocks (SPY) and bonds, are well-served by ETFs, and I am one of them (IEF).

When it comes to REITs, though, I prefer to take a more active approach and buy individual REITs rather than ETFs. I’ve listed five reasons why:

REITs: How safe are they?

REITs aren’t thought to be particularly dangerous in general, especially when they have diversified holdings and are part of a diversified portfolio. REITs, on the other hand, are subject to interest rate fluctuations and may not be as tax-efficient as other investments. If a REIT is concentrated in a single industry (for example, hotels), and that industry is badly impacted (for example, by a pandemic), losses can be exacerbated.

What is the typical REIT return?

According to Cohen & Steers, active managed REIT investors earned an annualized 10.6 percent return over a 15-year period. Opportunistic real estate funds came in second among the active strategies, with 9.8%. Over a 15-year period, core and value-added funds produced average annualized returns of 6.5 percent and 5.6 percent, respectively.