- For the wealthy and affluent, inflation means rising interest rates, which raise borrowing costs and put downward pressure on asset values.
Is inflation beneficial to the wealthy?
The rate at which prices grow is referred to as inflation. As a result, your dollar’s purchase power is dwindling, and it’s just getting worse “Over time, it has become “watered down.”
It’s why a pack of Wrigley’s gum that cost 4 cents in 1913 now costs one dollar. US Inflation Calculator is the source of this information.
It’s possible that your net worth will increase next year. However, if your net worth increases at a slower rate than inflation, you will experience diminished prosperity.
You are not as concerned about inflation as you should be. One of the reasons is that you’ve never seen one before “Along with your utility bill, internet bill, credit card bill, and Netflix bill, you’ll have a “inflation bill.”
This steady and unavoidable depreciation of the dollar is exactly why you wouldn’t store a million dollars in the bank for three decades.
What a load of nonsense! A 4% inflation rate will reduce your million dollars’ purchasing power to just $308,000 in thirty years.
Inflation is the reason why today’s millionaires will be poor tomorrow. Do you think that’s ridiculous? It’s a foregone conclusion.
Inflation has already shifted the burden “From wealthy to middle class, the term “millionaire” is used. Many people thought that was impossible.
Governments and central banks have fed their inflationary mission since the Ancient Romans coarsely clipped the edge of denarius coins through the United States Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing in the 2000s. They also have a strong incentive to conceal the true pace of inflation. They’re two different conversations.
The majority of real estate investors are unaware of all the different ways they might be compensated. Furthermore, most real estate investment educators are unaware of all the different ways real estate investors get compensated!
For real estate investors, inflation benefitting is simply one of at least five simultaneous wealth centers. We can borrow with long-term fixed-rate debt while tying debt to a cash-flowing asset.
Your monthly debt payments are totally outsourced to tenants when you borrow this manner.
Why rush to pay off your loan when your debt burden is eroded by both tenants and inflation?
Instead of paying down debt, you may use a dollar to buy more real estate or improve your lifestyle.
You wouldn’t retain a million dollars in the bank since it would erode your purchasing power. When you borrow a million dollars, however, inflation reduces the value of your debt.
With a 4% annual inflation rate, your million-dollar debt will be reduced to only $308,000 in thirty years.
So, if you take out a million dollar loan and assume 10% inflation over a number of years, you’ll only have to repay a million dollars in nominal terms. The term “nominal” refers to something that isn’t “Only in name.”
With the passage of time, an expanding currency supply means that wages will rise, consumer prices will rise, and your rent will rise. As a result, repaying this form of debt is becoming increasingly simple.
As a real estate investor, inflation-profiting may be your quietest wealth center. It’s a unique situation “I’m a friendly phantom.”
Your $1,250 fixed-rate monthly mortgage payment, for example, will not grow with inflation. Your rent income, on the other hand, has done so in the past. This also adds to your monthly cash flow in a non-obtrusive way.
If you don’t have a loan on the property, you won’t be able to take advantage of these inflation-bearing benefits.
Inflation is a process by which money is transferred from lenders to borrowers. Lenders are compensated in diluted dollars.
Inflation also redistributes income from the elderly to the younger generations. Why? Because the elder generation has more assets and the younger generation has more debt.
I’m going to carry a lot of debt even when I’m older since I understand how inflation favours long-term fixed-rate debtors. Real estate investors are in the best position to profit from this.
Globalization and technological advancements may help to lower the rate of inflation. But I don’t think it’ll be able to reverse it.
I’ve had millions of dollars in debt since I was a child. Then I’m going for debt in the hundreds of millions of dollars.
Importantly, each debt is cleverly tethered to an asset a house that is worth more than the debt amount.
It’s property that generates cash flow and is located in an area with a variety of economic sectors. As a result, I am certain that employment growth will continue to boost rent incomes. These earnings pay off the debt and even offer a cash flow stream for me.
I’m not concerned if the asset’s value dips temporarily, like it did in 2007-2009, as long as it continues to generate income.
Not only am I hedging inflation with this prudent debt, but it also allows me to leverage financial leverage to increase appreciation while also providing considerable tax benefits.
Because your first encounter with debt was when it was related to something that didn’t provide money, debt has a poor reputation.
To make your Honda payment, you were obliged to work overtime on the weekend. You made sacrifices in order to pay credit card finance costs on a six-month-old Morton’s Steakhouse supper.
Unlike real estate, you didn’t have to worry about your debt being paid off by renters and inflation, and you had a steady stream of income.
You’re no longer trapped beneath debt when you use smart debt tied to an income-producing single-family home or eight-plex.
Borrow a lot of money. You’ll only have what the crowd has if you do what the crowd does.
Make the most of loans and leverage. Across my portfolio, I maximize loan amounts. The basic vanilla 30-year fixed amortizing loan is my personal preference.
I hold minor equity positions in several income properties rather than significant equity positions in a handful as a 15-year active real estate investor. My principal residence, which my wife and I own, is even heavily mortgaged.
Take a look at what I’ve done. Allowing equity (a zero-ROI element) to build uncontrollably in any one property is a risk and opportunity expense I realize. With cash-out refinances and 1031 tax-deferred exchanges, my money velocity remains strong.
Some real estate enthusiasts waste their time your most valuable and irreplaceable resource flipping, wholesaling, or managing their own properties.
Why toil when you may enjoy life? I have a team of workers ready to help. “Tenants,” “Leverage,” and “Leverage” are their names “They’re called “inflation,” and they do my work for me. Keep an eye on the clock.
Your currency will continue to depreciate. Rather of being a source of aggravation, you now know how to use it to your advantage.
This is why I’m a proponent of inflation. When Apple products or Starbucks drinks see another retail price increase, I feel validated!
Some folks can’t sleep because they have so much terrible debt. I couldn’t sleep if I didn’t have enough smart debt.
Have you ever considered putting your money to work for you? That’s not the case! That is a fallacy. 7 Money Myths That Are Killing Your Wealth Potential, my free wealth-building E-book, is now completely free. For a limited time, get it here.
Does inflation affect the wealthy more than the poor?
According to my calculations, the lowest-income households are experiencing inflation at 7.2 percent, which is more than any other category. The rate of change was 6.6 percent for the highest-income families.
The gap between the two income categories grew significantly throughout 2021, starting at 0.16 percentage point and finishing at 0.6 percentage point, close to its greatest level since 2010.
The reason for the rising rich-poor inflation gap, often termed as inflation inequality by economists, is due to people’s typical spending habits in each income category.
During times of economic instability and crisis, most families choose to put off purchasing luxury items. However, most people are unable to cut back on essentials such as groceries and heating, despite the fact that wealthier customers are better positioned to stock up on these items while costs are low.
This shift in spending away from luxury things such as vacations and new automobiles and toward needs drives inflation higher for poorer households than for wealthier people. This is due to the fact that lower-income households spend a larger portion of their income on needs.
According to my research, the inflation gap is largest during recessions or in the early phases of economic recovery. The disparity in inflation rates between the lowest and highest income categories was close to one percentage point in the aftermath of the Great Recession of 2008-2009, which was bigger than it is now.
In times of economic development, however, the difference narrows for example, from 2012 to 2018. It even inverted at one point in 2016, with poorer Americans seeing nearly a half-percentage point lower inflation than wealthier Americans.
Increases in grocery and petrol prices were the primary cause of the widening difference in 2021. As a result, inflation has increased for all households. However, because poorer families spend a larger percentage of their income on food and energy, it has had a greater impact on them.
When petrol and grocery prices are removed from the equation, the inflation gap is dramatically narrowed.
Going forward, I expect the inflation gap to follow a similar trend as it did after the Great Recession: as the economy recovers and expands, low-income households will see lower inflation than high-income households.
Who is the most affected by inflation?
Inflation is defined as a steady increase in the price level. Inflation means that money loses its purchasing power and can buy fewer products than before.
- Inflation will assist people with huge debts, making it simpler to repay their debts as prices rise.
Losers from inflation
Savers. Historically, savers have lost money due to inflation. When prices rise, money loses its worth, and savings lose their true value. People who had saved their entire lives, for example, could have the value of their savings wiped out during periods of hyperinflation since their savings became effectively useless at higher prices.
Inflation and Savings
This graph depicts a US Dollar’s purchasing power. The worth of a dollar decreases during periods of increased inflation, such as 1945-46 and the mid-1970s. Between 1940 and 1982, the value of one dollar plummeted by 85 percent, from 700 to 100.
- If a saver can earn an interest rate higher than the rate of inflation, they will be protected against inflation. If, for example, inflation is 5% and banks offer a 7% interest rate, those who save in a bank will nevertheless see a real increase in the value of their funds.
If we have both high inflation and low interest rates, savers are far more likely to lose money. In the aftermath of the 2008 credit crisis, for example, inflation soared to 5% (owing to cost-push reasons), while interest rates were slashed to 0.5 percent. As a result, savers lost money at this time.
Workers with fixed-wage contracts are another group that could be harmed by inflation. Assume that workers’ wages are frozen and that inflation is 5%. It means their salaries will buy 5% less at the end of the year than they did at the beginning.
CPI inflation was higher than nominal wage increases from 2008 to 2014, resulting in a real wage drop.
Despite the fact that inflation was modest (by UK historical norms), many workers saw their real pay decline.
- Workers in non-unionized jobs may be particularly harmed by inflation since they have less negotiating leverage to seek higher nominal salaries to keep up with growing inflation.
- Those who are close to poverty will be harmed the most during this era of negative real wages. Higher-income people will be able to absorb a drop in real wages. Even a small increase in pricing might make purchasing products and services more challenging. Food banks were used more frequently in the UK from 2009 to 2017.
- Inflation in the UK was over 20% in the 1970s, yet salaries climbed to keep up with growing inflation, thus workers continued to see real wage increases. In fact, in the 1970s, growing salaries were a source of inflation.
Inflationary pressures may prompt the government or central bank to raise interest rates. A higher borrowing rate will result as a result of this. As a result, homeowners with variable mortgage rates may notice considerable increases in their monthly payments.
The UK underwent an economic boom in the late 1980s, with high growth but close to 10% inflation; as a result of the overheating economy, the government hiked interest rates. This resulted in a sharp increase in mortgage rates, which was generally unanticipated. Many homeowners were unable to afford increasing mortgage payments and hence defaulted on their obligations.
Indirectly, rising inflation in the 1980s increased mortgage payments, causing many people to lose their homes.
- Higher inflation, on the other hand, does not always imply higher interest rates. There was cost-push inflation following the 2008 recession, but the Bank of England did not raise interest rates (they felt inflation would be temporary). As a result, mortgage holders witnessed lower variable rates and lower mortgage payments as a percentage of income.
Inflation that is both high and fluctuating generates anxiety for consumers, banks, and businesses. There is a reluctance to invest, which could result in poorer economic growth and fewer job opportunities. As a result, increased inflation is linked to a decline in economic prospects over time.
If UK inflation is higher than that of our competitors, UK goods would become less competitive, and exporters will see a drop in demand and find it difficult to sell their products.
Winners from inflation
Inflationary pressures might make it easier to repay outstanding debt. Businesses will be able to raise consumer prices and utilize the additional cash to pay off debts.
- However, if a bank borrowed money from a bank at a variable mortgage rate. If inflation rises and the bank raises interest rates, the cost of debt repayments will climb.
Inflation can make it easier for the government to pay off its debt in real terms (public debt as a percent of GDP)
This is especially true if inflation exceeds expectations. Because markets predicted low inflation in the 1960s, the government was able to sell government bonds at cheap interest rates. Inflation was higher than projected in the 1970s and higher than the yield on a government bond. As a result, bondholders experienced a decrease in the real value of their bonds, while the government saw a reduction in the real value of its debt.
In the 1970s, unexpected inflation (due to an oil price shock) aided in the reduction of government debt burdens in a number of countries, including the United States.
The nominal value of government debt increased between 1945 and 1991, although inflation and economic growth caused the national debt to shrink as a percentage of GDP.
Those with savings may notice a quick drop in the real worth of their savings during a period of hyperinflation. Those who own actual assets, on the other hand, are usually safe. Land, factories, and machines, for example, will keep their value.
During instances of hyperinflation, demand for assets such as gold and silver often increases. Because gold cannot be printed, it cannot be subjected to the same inflationary forces as paper money.
However, it is important to remember that purchasing gold during a period of inflation does not ensure an increase in real value. This is due to the fact that the price of gold is susceptible to speculative pressures. The price of gold, for example, peaked in 1980 and then plummeted.
Holding gold, on the other hand, is a method to secure genuine wealth in a way that money cannot.
Bank profit margins tend to expand during periods of negative real interest rates. Lending rates are greater than saving rates, with base rates near zero and very low savings rates.
Anecdotal evidence
Germany’s inflation rate reached astronomical levels between 1922 and 1924, making it a good illustration of high inflation.
Middle-class workers who had put a lifetime’s earnings into their pension fund discovered that it was useless in 1924. One middle-class clerk cashed his retirement fund and used money to buy a cup of coffee after working for 40 years.
Fear, uncertainty, and bewilderment arose as a result of the hyperinflation. People reacted by attempting to purchase anything physical such as buttons or cloth that might carry more worth than money.
However, not everyone was affected in the same way. Farmers fared handsomely as food prices continued to increase. Due to inflation, which reduced the real worth of debt, businesses that had borrowed huge sums realized that their debts had practically vanished. These companies could take over companies that had gone out of business due to inflationary costs.
Inflation this high can cause enormous resentment since it appears to be an unfair means to allocate wealth from savers to borrowers.
With inflation, how do the wealthy get richer?
The Feds carry out this scheme (and others like it) with the hope that it will be successful “The economy will be “stimulated,” and unemployment will be reduced. The amount of money created nowadays is enormous, amounting to almost $85 billion per month.
If pure inflation appeared in everything, it would cause no harm because earnings and incomes would rise in lockstep with the cost of everything you buy. As items get more expensive, your pay rises in lockstep, having little influence on what you can buy with your dollars.
In the real world, however, inflation does not function that way. Wages rise in lockstep with prices, but never as quickly or as much as prices for goods and services.
Consumers suffer as a result of this pay disparity. The more the inflation and the longer it lasts, the further you fall behind.
Although it may appear that you keep up with inflation since your wages rise, your wages do not rise as quickly as inflation. It’s why, whereas in the past, families only needed one income earner, now they require two.
Inflation, on the other hand, does not affect everyone evenly. Some individuals make money off of it, and that’s the dirty little secret.
Monetary inflation lifts asset prices first, while salaries are the last to benefit.
The more assets one possesses, the higher one’s net worth becomes, while someone living on salaries lags more and further behind.
Stock portfolios are the most popular asset increased by today’s inflation, as evidenced by the stock market’s new highs. Because only one out of every ten people owns stocks, 90% of Americans are becoming poorer, while the top 10% (who hold 80% of the assets) are becoming wealthier.
You may argue that the wealthy benefit from inflation while the rest 90% of the population suffers.
Large enterprises, the ultra-wealthy, the global banking and brokerage industries, and governments all profit handsomely from monetary inflation, while the rest of us suffer.
The Federal Reserve has now set a minimum inflation rate of 2%, stating that inflation is required to promote economic growth.
However, since excessive monetary inflation has only exacerbated the problem, “Since only the wealthiest 10% of Americans own assets, it begs the question: What and whom are they genuinely stimulating, and doesn’t it sentence the rest of us to a slow but sure destruction of our wealth through continued inflation?
Perhaps we should ask outgoing Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke or his soon-to-be replacement, Vice Chair Janet Yellen, that question.
Does inflation disproportionately affect the poor?
According to a recent analysis from the charity Barnardo’s, inflation is affecting the poorest households up to a third harder than the wealthiest. This is due to the rising cost of essentials such as gas and food. Its findings are based on interviews with low-income households as well as new economic data research.
Is middle-class inflation beneficial?
However, as I demonstrate in a recent research paper, inflation has a positive side. In truth, inflation has been a huge assistance to the balance sheets of middle-class Americans in recent decades, helping to reduce the rise in overall wealth inequality.
This is the situation “The “wealth effect” of inflation operates in the following manner. Assume you have $100 in assets and $20 in debt, resulting you a $80 net value. Assume that inflation is 5% per year and that the nominal worth of your assets rises at the same time (the prices of assets such as homes tend to move in line with inflation). The value of your assets stays unchanged in real terms, but your debt has decreased by 5%. As a result, the real value of your net worth has increased by 1.25 percent to $81.
Furthermore, the larger the debt-to-asset ratio, the bigger the percentage growth in net value due to inflation. This is the situation “The “leverage effect” would boost your net worth by 3.3 percent if your debt was $40 instead of $20 in the previous case.
The middle class in the United Statesdefined as the median householdis far more in debt than the very wealthy (the top 1 percent ). In 2019, the middle class’ total household debt to total assets ratio was 36.5 percent, compared to just 2.3 percent for the very wealthy. In terms of net worth, the middle class will profit from inflation far more than the wealthy.
Similarly, in the United States, Black and Hispanic households are significantly more indebted than white households, with a debt-to-asset ratio about three times greater. In terms of wealth, these two groups will profit from inflation far more than white Americans.
Since the early 1980s, one of the hallmarks of US monetary policy has been a slowing of inflation, which averaged 2.5 percent per year from 1983 to 2019. (the period I studied). A rise in wealth disparity in the United States has coincided with this trend. I calculated this by comparing the wealth of the top 1% of the wealth distribution to the median wealth (that is, the wealth of the average household). From 1983 to 2019, this ratio more than doubled, rising from 131.4 to a mind-boggling 273.8.
Despite the fact that wealth disparity increased throughout this time, inflation served as a buffer because it benefited the middle class far more than the wealthy. The wealth-inequality ratio would have climbed much higher, to 385, if inflation had been zero. Instead, inflation-driven debt depreciation resulted in a 76 percent gain in median wealth in the United States over the 36-year period.
Inflation also aided in reducing (or at least limiting) racial and ethnic wealth disparities. For example, from 0.19 in 1983 to 0.14 in 2019, the actual ratio of mean wealth between Black and white households has declined dramatically. However, if there had been no inflation, the ratio would have dropped to just 0.06.
In terms of the ratio of mean net worth between Hispanic and white households, the scenario is identical. The actual ratio increased from 0.16 to 0.19 between 1983 and 2019. It would have been 0.14 if there had been no inflation.
What ramifications do these findings have for policy? Should the Federal Reserve continue to try to keep inflation low, or should it take a more relaxed approach? One method to decide is to compare the inflationary income effect (which is negative) with the wealth effect (which is positive) (which is positive). Inflation should be suppressed if the income effect is bigger. If, on the other hand, the wealth effect is bigger, inflation should be promoted.
Inflation cost the average American household less than $50,000 in income between 1983 and 2019, but increased median wealth by more than $60,000. As a result, the wealth effect outweighs the income effect. Inflation, on the other hand, cut the extremely rich’s real income by around $600,000 while increasing their wealth by less than $500,000.
Inflation has benefited the middle class while having a negative impact on the wealthy. It has also aided in reducing general wealth disparity as well as racial and ethnic wealth disparities. Those concerned about the recent increase in inflation, starting with the Fed, should keep this in mind while deciding whether and how much to reduce it.
The Upside of US Inflation was reprinted with the permission of Project Syndicate.
Inflation will affect both equities and bonds, so you’ll need to reconsider your risk management strategy.
Opinion: Inflation inequality: The poorest Americans bear the brunt of rising food prices.
Opinion: We need a balanced approach to inflation that does not jeopardize the lives of working people.
Why is inflation the most punishing tax?
Inflation, defined by the Federal Reserve as increases in the overall cost of goods and services over time, means that Americans will have to pay more for their necessities and other expenses than they are accustomed to.
While rising inflation can affect the value of savings accounts for those who have been able to save for a rainy day or retirement fund, rising inflation can also affect the value of savings accounts for those who have been able to practice financial prudence in building up a rainy day or retirement fund.
According to Wells Fargo Senior Economist Sarah House, many Americans were able to save throughout the pandemic due to fiscal support and the fact that COVID-19 shut down businesses and advised people to stay at home rather than spend on services they used to go out for.
Inflation favours whom?
- Inflation is defined as an increase in the price of goods and services that results in a decrease in the buying power of money.
- Depending on the conditions, inflation might benefit both borrowers and lenders.
- Prices can be directly affected by the money supply; prices may rise as the money supply rises, assuming no change in economic activity.
- Borrowers gain from inflation because they may repay lenders with money that is worth less than it was when they borrowed it.
- When prices rise as a result of inflation, demand for borrowing rises, resulting in higher interest rates, which benefit lenders.
Is it beneficial to be in debt during a period of hyperinflation?
For new debtors, hyperinflation makes debt more expensive. As the economy worsens, fewer lenders will be ready to lend money, thus borrowers may expect to pay higher interest rates. If someone takes on debt before hyperinflation occurs, on the other hand, the borrower gains since the currency’s value declines. In theory, repaying a given sum of money should be easier because the borrower can make more for their goods and services.
Do stocks fare well in the face of inflation?
When inflation is high, value stocks perform better, and when inflation is low, growth stocks perform better. When inflation is high, stocks become more volatile.