The current debate over bitcoin as an inflation hedge must be prefaced by the reality that the currency is prone to market jitters and gyrations: Bitcoin’s value plunged by almost 80% in December 2017, 50% in March 2020, and another 53% in May 2021.
Bitcoin’s long-term ability to boost user returns and reduce volatility has yet to be demonstrated. Traditional hedges, such as gold, have proven effective in protecting purchasing power during periods of sustained high inflation, such as the United States in the 1970s, which bitcoin has yet to be tested on. As a result of the higher risk, returns are more susceptible to the currency’s volatile short-term movements.
Is cryptocurrency an effective inflation hedge?
As of February 14, ETH is trading at $2,900. The coin’s value has dropped roughly 15% since the beginning of the year, but it is still up over 65 percent when compared to last year. According to a Bank of America analysis, crypto assets are still volatile as investments, but that more and more people are turning to crypto to hedge their investments. The performance of BTC and ETH over the previous 12 months demonstrates why.
What role does cryptocurrency play in combating inflation?
The fundamental method Bitcoin is meant to prevent inflation is that its supply is limited and known, and fresh bitcoin generation will taper off in a predictable manner over time. (There will only ever be 21 million bitcoins, and the number mined is decreased by half every four years.)
Is gold a good inflation hedge?
- Gold is sometimes touted as a hedge against inflation, as its value rises when the dollar’s purchase power diminishes.
- Government bonds, on the other hand, are more secure and have been demonstrated to pay greater rates as inflation rises, and Treasury TIPS include built-in inflation protection.
- For most investors, ETFs that invest in gold while also holding Treasuries may be the best option.
How can Bitcoin keep inflation at bay?
Because Bitcoin is basically a deflationary asset, inhabitants of nations with unstable fiat currencies are increasingly using it as a store of value to shield themselves from hyperinflation and growing costs of common goods and services. Crypto, unlike fiat currency, cannot be manipulated as easily as fiat currency by changing interest rates and increasing money production. Most crucially, Bitcoin’s supply will never surpass 21 million, making it a desirable inflation-resistant store of value. While Bitcoin has grown in popularity over the last year, the crypto market’s volatility remains a contentious issue.
Are cryptocurrencies immune to a downturn?
Cryptocurrencies have not been around during previous recessions, but their decentralized structure could make them an effective instrument for recession hedging. Gold, cash, and real estate are all conventional ways to protect against the risk of a recession.
How will you protect yourself from inflation in 2022?
During inflationary periods, stocks are often a safe refuge. This is because stocks have typically produced total returns that have outperformed inflation. And certain stocks outperform others when it comes to combating inflation. Many recommended lists for 2022 include small-cap, dividend growth, consumer products, financial, energy, and emerging markets stocks. Industries that are recovering from the pandemic, such as tourism, leisure, and hospitality, are also receiving a thumbs up.
Another tried-and-true inflation hedge is real estate. For the year 2022, residential real estate is considered as a safe haven. Building supplies and home construction are likewise being advocated as inflation-busters. REITs, or publicly traded organizations that own real estate or mortgages, provide a means to invest in real estate without actually purchasing properties.
Commodity investments could be one of the most effective inflation hedges. Agriculture products and raw resources can be exchanged like securities. Gold, oil, natural gas, grain, meat, and coffee are just a few of the commodities that traders buy and sell. Using futures contracts and exchange-traded funds, investors can allocate a portion of their portfolios towards commodities.
During inflationary periods, bonds are often unpopular investments since the return does not keep pace with the loss of purchasing power. Treasury inflation-protected securities are a common exception (TIPS). As the CPI rises, the value of these government-backed bonds rises, removing the danger of inflation.
TIPS prices rose dramatically in tandem with inflation expectations in 2021. To put it another way, these inflation hedges are no longer as appealing as they were a year ago. Savings bonds, which the US Treasury offers directly to investors, are attracting some inflation-avoiders.
In this time of tremendous inflation, where should I place my money?
“While cash isn’t a growth asset, it will typically stay up with inflation in nominal terms if inflation is accompanied by rising short-term interest rates,” she continues.
CFP and founder of Dare to Dream Financial Planning Anna N’Jie-Konte agrees. With the epidemic demonstrating how volatile the economy can be, N’Jie-Konte advises maintaining some money in a high-yield savings account, money market account, or CD at all times.
“Having too much wealth is an underappreciated risk to one’s financial well-being,” she adds. N’Jie-Konte advises single-income households to lay up six to nine months of cash, and two-income households to set aside six months of cash.
Lassus recommends that you keep your short-term CDs until we have a better idea of what longer-term inflation might look like.
What industries benefit from inflation?
Inflationary times tend to favor five sectors, according to Hartford Funds strategist Sean Markowicz: utilities, real estate investment trusts, energy, consumer staples, and healthcare.