If you use at least one of these investment strategies, you will be able to offset the impact of inflation. If you stick to the first two, you’ll be fine as inflation starts to rise. Follow three, and let your imagination run wild!
Buy Physical Gold and Silver
You may totally protect yourself against inflation by investing your dollars in tangible assets such as gold or silver. The price of these precious metals tends to rise as the value of the dollar decreases.
Furthermore, silver differs from gold in that it is in limited supply and is employed by major corporations all over the world. Silver is still used where gold is hoarded, and its value will only rise as the silver supply decreases over time. Having a mix of each of these precious metals on hand is an excellent method to guard against growing inflation. To avoid being duped, make sure you have the metals on hand and buy them from a reputable merchant.
Invest In Other Currency
If the value of the US dollar falls, the value of other currencies rises (at least relatively). The Euro is 1.5 times the worth of the dollar, according to my calculations, but don’t take my word for it. If you choose to invest in other currencies, make sure you understand what you’re doing because it may be incredibly risky if you don’t.
However, if you play the market correctly, you can still come out on top by diversifying your currency holdings in your investing portfolio. Again, make sure you have physical currency on hand, as market-based “derivatives” of paper currency can be manipulated, putting you at greater danger than if you had it physically.
Invest in Positive Cashflow Producing Real Estate
If you’re going to put your money into real estate outside of your own home, make sure the properties you buy will generate a positive cash flow on a regular basis. If you’re not sure what that implies, make sure that the renter’s monthly rent covers all of the property’s maintenance costs. Also, save some money aside for yourself because this is a form of passive income.
The beauty of owning cash flow real estate is that you not only make money on a monthly basis, but you also have the potential for asset appreciation. You also get to generate phantom income by deducting the depreciation of the property’s structure over time. Whatever you do, avoid investing in a property that will generate a negative cash flow from day one…this property will eat you alive, even if its value rises. I would strongly encourage you to seek expert guidance from your advisers and mentors before investing in real estate.
Start a Business
You begin to construct an asset by beginning a business, which increases or decreases in value as inflation rises or falls. The rate of inflation has no direct impact on the value of your firm, but it does have an impact on the prices you may charge for the goods and services you give to the market.
You may mitigate the effects of inflation by managing your business cash flow each month and using the additional cash flow to invest in real estate and physical precious metals. Working, on the other hand, provides you very little, if any, influence over your earnings.
Find The Highest Interest Bearing Saving’s and Checking Accounts
Even if inflation becomes extremely high, we will all need to keep some cash on hand at all times. Keep your money in the highest-paying savings/checking accounts (here’s a list of the finest Online Savings Accounts) or treasury inflation-protection securities to put yourself in the best possible position (TIPS).
As inflation rises, these vehicles will be safer for your money than others that don’t earn interest or more speculative investments. No matter what the rate of inflation is, having cash on hand is essential. Just make sure you’re getting the best interest rate available, regardless of where you keep your money.
These are the best recommendations I can make to assist you weather any “inflation storm” that we are certain to face. If you have any other recommendations for readers, please leave them in the comments!
What steps do you take to prepare for inflation?
With prices on the increase, it’s worth revisiting some of Buffett’s finest advice for dealing with what he famously called a “gigantic corporate tapeworm.”
Invest in good businesses with low capital needs
Buffett has long pushed for holding firms that generate significant returns on invested capital. During inflationary periods, businesses with minimal capital requirements that can sustain their profitability should perform better than those that must invest more money at ever-increasing prices merely to stay afloat.
Inflation, according to Warren Buffett, is like “going up a down escalator.”
Look for companies that can raise prices during periods of higher inflation
Buffett told the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in 2010 that “pricing power is the single most critical factor in appraising a business.” “You have the ability to raise prices without losing business to a competition, and your business is quite good.”
During periods of high inflation, a business that can raise its pricing has a significant advantage since it can offset its own rising costs.
Buffett famously argued that in an inflationary society, an unregulated toll bridge would be the best asset to possess since you would already have built the bridge and could raise prices to balance inflation. “If you build the bridge in old dollars, you won’t have to replace it as often,” he explained.
What should I do if inflation occurs?
As a result, we sought advice from experts on how consumers should approach investing and saving during this period of rising inflation.
Invest wisely in your company’s retirement plan as well as a brokerage account.
Who is the hardest hit by inflation?
Inflation is defined as a steady increase in the price level. Inflation means that money loses its purchasing power and can buy fewer products than before.
- Inflation will assist people with huge debts, making it simpler to repay their debts as prices rise.
Losers from inflation
Savers. Historically, savers have lost money due to inflation. When prices rise, money loses its worth, and savings lose their true value. People who had saved their entire lives, for example, could have the value of their savings wiped out during periods of hyperinflation since their savings became effectively useless at higher prices.
Inflation and Savings
This graph depicts a US Dollar’s purchasing power. The worth of a dollar decreases during periods of increased inflation, such as 1945-46 and the mid-1970s. Between 1940 and 1982, the value of one dollar plummeted by 85 percent, from 700 to 100.
- If a saver can earn an interest rate higher than the rate of inflation, they will be protected against inflation. If, for example, inflation is 5% and banks offer a 7% interest rate, those who save in a bank will nevertheless see a real increase in the value of their funds.
If we have both high inflation and low interest rates, savers are far more likely to lose money. In the aftermath of the 2008 credit crisis, for example, inflation soared to 5% (owing to cost-push reasons), while interest rates were slashed to 0.5 percent. As a result, savers lost money at this time.
Workers with fixed-wage contracts are another group that could be harmed by inflation. Assume that workers’ wages are frozen and that inflation is 5%. It means their salaries will buy 5% less at the end of the year than they did at the beginning.
CPI inflation was higher than nominal wage increases from 2008 to 2014, resulting in a real wage drop.
Despite the fact that inflation was modest (by UK historical norms), many workers saw their real pay decline.
- Workers in non-unionized jobs may be particularly harmed by inflation since they have less negotiating leverage to seek higher nominal salaries to keep up with growing inflation.
- Those who are close to poverty will be harmed the most during this era of negative real wages. Higher-income people will be able to absorb a drop in real wages. Even a small increase in pricing might make purchasing products and services more challenging. Food banks were used more frequently in the UK from 2009 to 2017.
- Inflation in the UK was over 20% in the 1970s, yet salaries climbed to keep up with growing inflation, thus workers continued to see real wage increases. In fact, in the 1970s, growing salaries were a source of inflation.
Inflationary pressures may prompt the government or central bank to raise interest rates. A higher borrowing rate will result as a result of this. As a result, homeowners with variable mortgage rates may notice considerable increases in their monthly payments.
The UK underwent an economic boom in the late 1980s, with high growth but close to 10% inflation; as a result of the overheating economy, the government hiked interest rates. This resulted in a sharp increase in mortgage rates, which was generally unanticipated. Many homeowners were unable to afford increasing mortgage payments and hence defaulted on their obligations.
Indirectly, rising inflation in the 1980s increased mortgage payments, causing many people to lose their homes.
- Higher inflation, on the other hand, does not always imply higher interest rates. There was cost-push inflation following the 2008 recession, but the Bank of England did not raise interest rates (they felt inflation would be temporary). As a result, mortgage holders witnessed lower variable rates and lower mortgage payments as a percentage of income.
Inflation that is both high and fluctuating generates anxiety for consumers, banks, and businesses. There is a reluctance to invest, which could result in poorer economic growth and fewer job opportunities. As a result, increased inflation is linked to a decline in economic prospects over time.
If UK inflation is higher than that of our competitors, UK goods would become less competitive, and exporters will see a drop in demand and find it difficult to sell their products.
Winners from inflation
Inflationary pressures might make it easier to repay outstanding debt. Businesses will be able to raise consumer prices and utilize the additional cash to pay off debts.
- However, if a bank borrowed money from a bank at a variable mortgage rate. If inflation rises and the bank raises interest rates, the cost of debt repayments will climb.
Inflation can make it easier for the government to pay off its debt in real terms (public debt as a percent of GDP)
This is especially true if inflation exceeds expectations. Because markets predicted low inflation in the 1960s, the government was able to sell government bonds at cheap interest rates. Inflation was higher than projected in the 1970s and higher than the yield on a government bond. As a result, bondholders experienced a decrease in the real value of their bonds, while the government saw a reduction in the real value of its debt.
In the 1970s, unexpected inflation (due to an oil price shock) aided in the reduction of government debt burdens in a number of countries, including the United States.
The nominal value of government debt increased between 1945 and 1991, although inflation and economic growth caused the national debt to shrink as a percentage of GDP.
Those with savings may notice a quick drop in the real worth of their savings during a period of hyperinflation. Those who own actual assets, on the other hand, are usually safe. Land, factories, and machines, for example, will keep their value.
During instances of hyperinflation, demand for assets such as gold and silver often increases. Because gold cannot be printed, it cannot be subjected to the same inflationary forces as paper money.
However, it is important to remember that purchasing gold during a period of inflation does not ensure an increase in real value. This is due to the fact that the price of gold is susceptible to speculative pressures. The price of gold, for example, peaked in 1980 and then plummeted.
Holding gold, on the other hand, is a method to secure genuine wealth in a way that money cannot.
Bank profit margins tend to expand during periods of negative real interest rates. Lending rates are greater than saving rates, with base rates near zero and very low savings rates.
Anecdotal evidence
Germany’s inflation rate reached astronomical levels between 1922 and 1924, making it a good illustration of high inflation.
Middle-class workers who had put a lifetime’s earnings into their pension fund discovered that it was useless in 1924. One middle-class clerk cashed his retirement fund and used money to buy a cup of coffee after working for 40 years.
Fear, uncertainty, and bewilderment arose as a result of the hyperinflation. People reacted by attempting to purchase anything physical such as buttons or cloth that might carry more worth than money.
However, not everyone was affected in the same way. Farmers fared handsomely as food prices continued to increase. Due to inflation, which reduced the real worth of debt, businesses that had borrowed huge sums realized that their debts had practically vanished. These companies could take over companies that had gone out of business due to inflationary costs.
Inflation this high can cause enormous resentment since it appears to be an unfair means to allocate wealth from savers to borrowers.
What should I do to prepare for hyperinflation in 2021?
Food and water may become more difficult to obtain in the future, which is difficult to accept when you have hungry mouths to feed. Consider dedicating a piece of your property to gardening and fruit tree planting to assist you and your family stay afloat. Alternatively, if you have the funds, you may need to purchase more land with a water supply on its property.
What is the safest investment?
Cash, Treasury bonds, money market funds, and gold are all examples of safe assets. Risk-free assets, such as sovereign debt instruments issued by governments of industrialized countries, are the safest assets.
How will you protect yourself from inflation in 2022?
During inflationary periods, stocks are often a safe refuge. This is because stocks have typically produced total returns that have outperformed inflation. And certain stocks outperform others when it comes to combating inflation. Many recommended lists for 2022 include small-cap, dividend growth, consumer products, financial, energy, and emerging markets stocks. Industries that are recovering from the pandemic, such as tourism, leisure, and hospitality, are also receiving a thumbs up.
Another tried-and-true inflation hedge is real estate. For the year 2022, residential real estate is considered as a safe haven. Building supplies and home construction are likewise being advocated as inflation-busters. REITs, or publicly traded organizations that own real estate or mortgages, provide a means to invest in real estate without actually purchasing properties.
Commodity investments could be one of the most effective inflation hedges. Agriculture products and raw resources can be exchanged like securities. Gold, oil, natural gas, grain, meat, and coffee are just a few of the commodities that traders buy and sell. Using futures contracts and exchange-traded funds, investors can allocate a portion of their portfolios towards commodities.
During inflationary periods, bonds are often unpopular investments since the return does not keep pace with the loss of purchasing power. Treasury inflation-protected securities are a common exception (TIPS). As the CPI rises, the value of these government-backed bonds rises, removing the danger of inflation.
TIPS prices rose dramatically in tandem with inflation expectations in 2021. To put it another way, these inflation hedges are no longer as appealing as they were a year ago. Savings bonds, which the US Treasury offers directly to investors, are attracting some inflation-avoiders.
What industries benefit from inflation?
Inflationary times tend to favor five sectors, according to Hartford Funds strategist Sean Markowicz: utilities, real estate investment trusts, energy, consumer staples, and healthcare.
Are bonds beneficial during periods of inflation?
Bonds’ deadliest enemy is inflation. The purchasing power of a bond’s future cash flows is eroded by inflation. Bonds are typically fixed-rate investments. Inflation (or rising prices) reduces the return on a bond in real terms, which means adjusted for inflation.