What are the world’s largest economies? According to the International Monetary Fund, the following countries have the greatest nominal GDP in the world:
What accounts for Japan’s high GDP?
Japan has one of the world’s largest and most developed economies. It has a highly educated and hardworking workforce, as well as a large and affluent population, making it one of the world’s largest consumer markets. From 1968 to 2010, Japan’s economy was the world’s second largest (after the United States), until China overtook it. Its GDP was expected to be USD 4.7 trillion in 2016, and its population of 126.9 million has a high quality of life, with a per capita GDP of slightly under USD 40,000 in 2015.
Japan was one of the first Asian countries to ascend the value chain from inexpensive textiles to advanced manufacturing and services, which now account for the bulk of Japan’s GDP and employment, thanks to its extraordinary economic recovery from the ashes of World War II. Agriculture and other primary industries account for under 1% of GDP.
Japan had one of the world’s strongest economic growth rates from the 1960s to the 1980s. This expansion was fueled by:
- Access to cutting-edge technologies and major research and development funding
- A vast domestic market of discriminating consumers has given Japanese companies a competitive advantage in terms of scale.
Manufacturing has been the most notable and well-known aspect of Japan’s economic development. Japan is now a global leader in the production of electrical and electronic appliances, automobiles, ships, machine tools, optical and precision equipment, machinery, and chemicals. However, in recent years, Japan has given some manufacturing economic advantage to China, the Republic of Korea, and other manufacturing economies. To some extent, Japanese companies have countered this trend by shifting manufacturing production to low-cost countries. Japan’s services industry, which includes financial services, now accounts for over 75% of the country’s GDP. The Tokyo Stock Exchange is one of the most important financial centers in the world.
With exports accounting for roughly 16% of GDP, international trade plays a key role in the Japanese economy. Vehicles, machinery, and manufactured items are among the most important exports. The United States (20.2%), China (17.5%), and the Republic of Korea (17.5%) were Japan’s top export destinations in 2015-16. (7 per cent). Export growth is sluggish, despite a cheaper yen as a result of stimulus measures.
Japan’s natural resources are limited, and its agriculture sector is strictly regulated. Mineral fuels, machinery, and food are among Japan’s most important imports. China (25.6%), the United States (10.9%), and Australia (10.9%) were the top three suppliers of these items in 2015. (5.6 per cent). Recent trade and foreign investment developments in Japan have shown a significantly stronger involvement with China, which in 2008 surpassed the United States as Japan’s largest trading partner.
Recent economic changes and trade liberalization, aiming at making the economy more open and flexible, will be critical in assisting Japan in dealing with its problems. Prime Minister Abe has pursued a reformist program, called ‘Abenomics,’ since his election victory in December 2012, adopting fiscal and monetary expansion as well as parts of structural reform that could liberalize the Japanese economy.
Japan’s population is rapidly aging, reducing the size of the workforce and tax revenues while increasing demands on health and social spending. Reforming the labor market to increase participation is one of the strategies being attempted to combat this trend. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s ‘Three Arrows’ economic revitalisation strategy of monetary easing, ‘flexible’ fiscal policy, and structural reform propelled Japan’s growth to new heights in 2013.
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What accounts for India’s low GDP?
There are two things that stand out. The Indian economy began to revive in March 2013 more than a year before the current government took office after a period of contraction following the Global Financial Crisis.
But, more importantly, since the third quarter of 2016-17 (October to December), this recovery has transformed into a secular slowing of growth. While the RBI did not declare so, many experts believe the government’s move to demonetise 86 percent of India’s currency overnight on November 8, 2016, was the catalyst that sent the country’s GDP into a tailspin.
The GDP growth rate steadily fell from over 8% in FY17 to around 4% in FY20, just before Covid-19 hit the country, as the ripples of demonetisation and a poorly designed and hastily implemented Goods and Services Tax (GST) spread through an economy already struggling with massive bad loans in the banking system.
PM Modi voiced hope in January 2020, when GDP growth fell to a 42-year low (in terms of nominal GDP), saying: “The Indian economy’s high absorbent capacity demonstrates the strength of the country’s foundations and its ability to recover.”
The foundations of the Indian economy were already weak in January last year well before the outbreak as an examination of key factors shows. For example, in the recent past (Chart 2), India’s GDP growth trend mirrored an exponential development pattern “Even before Covid-19 came the market, there was a “inverted V.”
What is India’s GDP forecast for 2021?
In its second advance estimates of national accounts released on Monday, the National Statistical Office (NSO) forecasted the country’s growth for 2021-22 at 8.9%, slightly lower than the 9.2% estimated in its first advance estimates released in January.
Furthermore, the National Statistics Office (NSO) reduced its estimates of GDP contraction for the coronavirus pandemic-affected last fiscal year (2020-21) to 6.6 percent. The previous projection was for a 7.3% decrease.
In April-June 2020, the Indian economy contracted 23.8 percent, and in July-September 2020, it contracted 6.6 percent.
“While an adverse base was expected to flatten growth in Q3 FY2022, the NSO’s initial estimates are far below our expectations (6.2 percent for GDP), with a marginal increase in manufacturing and a contraction in construction that is surprising given the heavy rains in the southern states,” said Aditi Nayar, Chief Economist at ICRA.
“GDP at constant (2011-12) prices is estimated at Rs 38.22 trillion in Q3 of 2021-22, up from Rs 36.26 trillion in Q3 of 2020-21, indicating an increase of 5.4 percent,” according to an official release.
According to the announcement, real GDP (GDP) or Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at constant (2011-12) prices is expected to reach Rs 147.72 trillion in 2021-22, up from Rs 135.58 trillion in the first updated estimate announced on January 31, 2022.
GDP growth is expected to be 8.9% in 2021-22, compared to a decline of 6.6 percent in 2020-21.
In terms of value, GDP in October-December 2021-22 was Rs 38,22,159 crore, up from Rs 36,22,220 crore in the same period of 2020-21.
According to NSO data, the manufacturing sector’s Gross Value Added (GVA) growth remained nearly steady at 0.2 percent in the third quarter of 2021-22, compared to 8.4 percent a year ago.
GVA growth in the farm sector was weak in the third quarter, at 2.6 percent, compared to 4.1 percent a year before.
GVA in the construction sector decreased by 2.8%, compared to 6.6% growth a year ago.
The electricity, gas, water supply, and other utility services segment grew by 3.7 percent in the third quarter of current fiscal year, compared to 1.5 percent growth the previous year.
Similarly, trade, hotel, transportation, communication, and broadcasting services expanded by 6.1 percent, compared to a decline of 10.1 percent a year ago.
In Q3 FY22, financial, real estate, and professional services growth was 4.6 percent, compared to 10.3 percent in Q3 FY21.
During the quarter under examination, public administration, defense, and other services expanded by 16.8%, compared to a decrease of 2.9 percent a year earlier.
Meanwhile, China’s economy grew by 4% between October and December of 2021.
“India’s GDP growth for Q3FY22 was a touch lower than our forecast of 5.7 percent, as the manufacturing sector grew slowly and the construction industry experienced unanticipated de-growth.” We have, however, decisively emerged from the pandemic recession, with all sectors of the economy showing signs of recovery.
“Going ahead, unlock trade will help growth in Q4FY22, as most governments have eliminated pandemic-related limitations, but weak rural demand and geopolitical shock from the Russia-Ukraine conflict may impair global growth and supply chains.” The impending pass-through of higher oil and gas costs could affect domestic demand mood, according to Elara Capital economist Garima Kapoor.
“Strong growth in the services sector and a pick-up in private final consumption expenditure drove India’s real GDP growth to 5.4 percent in Q3.” While agriculture’s growth slowed in Q3, the construction sector’s growth became negative.
“On the plus side, actual expenditure levels in both the private and public sectors are greater than they were before the pandemic.
“Given the encouraging trends in government revenues and spending until January 2022, as well as the upward revision in the nominal GDP growth rate for FY22, the fiscal deficit to GDP ratio for FY22 may come out better than what the (federal) budget projected,” said Rupa Rege Nitsure, group chief economist, L&T Financial Holdings.
“The growth number is pretty disappointing,” Sujan Hajra, chief economist of Mumbai-based Anand Rathi Securities, said, citing weaker rural consumer demand and investments as reasons.
After crude prices soared beyond $100 a barrel, India, which imports virtually all of its oil, might face a wider trade imbalance, a weaker rupee, and greater inflation, with a knock to GDP considered as the main concern.
“We believe the fiscal and monetary policy accommodation will remain, given the geopolitical volatility and crude oil prices,” Hajra added.
According to Nomura, a 10% increase in oil prices would shave 0.2 percentage points off India’s GDP growth while adding 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points to retail inflation.
Widening sanctions against Russia are likely to have a ripple impact on India, according to Sakshi Gupta, senior economist at HDFC Bank.
“We see a 20-30 basis point downside risk to our base predictions,” she said. For the time being, HDFC expects the GDP to rise 8.2% in the coming fiscal year.
In 2050, who will be the world’s ruler?
And, to no one’s surprise, China will be the world’s most powerful economy by 2050. PwC, on the other hand, did not arrive at this conclusion. From the World Bank to the United Nations, Goldman Sachs to the European Union, a slew of organizations, financial institutions, and governments have predicted this for quite some time.
China will not be able to grow if it continues to be as isolated as it has been for years. Instead, Beijing will expand by allowing international companies such as General Motors and Tesla Motors access to its markets. Since entering a trade war with the United States in 2017, President Xi Jinping has supported market-oriented reforms, allowing for more foreign direct investment.
Despite geopolitical tensions and trade issues, the authors of the study are optimistic that China would remain dominant in 30 years.
Which country’s GDP is negative?
The rate of growth in the value of all final products and services produced in a given year is known as the Real GDP Growth rate. GDP rises as a result of inflation, but it does not reflect true economic expansion. To calculate real GDP growth, the GDP is adjusted for price changes.
Libya, Ethiopia, Macao SAR, Ghana, and Guinea are the world’s top five fastest expanding economies in 2017. In 2017, 14 nations are expected to grow by more than 7%, while 14 countries are expected to grow by 6% to 7%. Venezuela, Yemen, South Sudan, Dominica, and Timor-Leste are among the 19 countries with negative growth rates.
In the last five years, Nauru has had the highest average growth rate of 17.58 percent. Only one country in Oceania has expanded by more than 10% over this time. Ethiopia is the second fastest growing country, followed by Ireland and Cte d’Ivoire, which has an average growth rate of nearly 8%. India and China, both emerging economies, are ranked 9th and 10th, respectively.
Six of the top ten fastest growing countries are in Asia, two in Africa, and one each in Europe and Oceania. Asian and African economies do better than others, with 45 (23-Africa, 22-Asia) economies growing at or over 4% out of a total of 99. (55-Africa, 44-Asia). Only 15 of the remaining 94 economies have surpassed the 4% mark. Between 2013 and 2017, 16 economies had negative growth rates. Libya is ranked last on this list. Venezuela, Ukraine, Brunei Darussalam, Macao SAR, Greece, and Kuwait are among the notable economies with negative numbers.
In general, countries with higher per capita income have a slower rate of growth (depicted in the chart). Only four economies (Ireland, Malta, St. Kitts and Nevis, and Iceland) are among the top 50 richest in the world, out of 60 that have grown by more than 4% in the last five years. This is why Asian and African economies are growing faster than the rest of the globe.
What country is the fastest growing?
Over the next five years, India is anticipated to have the fastest economic growth of the 132 countries analyzed by FocusEconomics. While the country was hard hit by the Covid-19 pandemic and the ensuing harsh lockdown last spring, infection rates have dropped dramatically in recent months, the domestic vaccination campaign is now underway, and recent economic indicatorssuch as PMI readings and trade dataare encouraging. In the coming years, rising consumption, investment, and exports will drive development, with a favorable base effect in 2021 following the collapse of 2020 also playing a role. Furthermore, recent structural reforms, such as the goal of privatizing state-owned banks, permitting increased foreign participation in the insurance sector, and market-oriented agricultural reforms, all pose upside risks. However, there are concerns about the political will to carry out the reforms, and weak infrastructure will continue to stymie growth. Furthermore, the decision by ASEAN countries, Australia, China, Japan, New Zealand, and South Korea in late 2019 to withdraw from the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP)a free-trade pact recently agreed upon by ASEAN countries, Australia, China, Japan, New Zealand, and South Koreacould stymie the external sector.
“With Covid-19 under control, the economy has already begun to normalize at a faster rate than anticipated. Front-loaded and increased government spending, the delayed effects of stronger financial conditions, faster global commerce, and continued vaccinations should all combine to cause cyclical growth to accelerate sharply. We maintain our above-consensus real GDP growth forecast of 13.5 percent year over year in FY22, compared to -6.7 percent in FY21, with the budget adding upside risk to our FY23 projection (6.1 percent).” – Mr. Nomura
Bangladesh
Bangladesh has fared quite well during the Covid-19 crisis: While decreased garment exports slowed growth last year, strong remittance inflows and improving industrial production have helped the recovery in recent months. In the future, the economy should be driven by rapid export growth and increasing domestic demand. Furthermore, the country’s demographics will continue to be favorable: The dependence ratiothe ratio of the working-age population to the population not in the labor forcehas plummeted in recent decades as a result of past success in lowering fertility rates, helping productivity and enhancing public finances. Slow vaccination progress, on the other hand, constitutes a risk.
“The expected repatriation of Bangladeshi migrants to their foreign workplaces will keep remittances from plunging, keeping private consumption high.” Increased investment spending as a result of a slew of ongoing infrastructure development projects, as well as a pick-up in domestic activity, will bolster growth. Positive base effects in the second half of the fiscal year, compared to the period of coronavirus-induced lockdown in the same period in 2020, will bolster the ongoing domestic recovery. A potential increase in coronavirus cases in Bangladesh, which could compel the government to reintroduce harsh containment measures, is a downside risk to our forecast. Before 2022/23, we don’t expect growth to return to the pre-pandemic range of 7-8 percent.” – Intelligence Unit of the Economist
Rwanda
Rwanda’s economy has come a long way since the genocide that ripped the country’s economic, political, and social fabric apart in the early 1990s. In 2000, nominal GDP was USD 2 billion, and in 2019, it was USD 10 billion. Despite the fact that the Covid-19 issue has slowed progress in the last year due to fewer FDI and firm closures, our panelists expect real GDP growth to average 6.7 percent from 2021 to 2025. Surge in investment should bolster activity. However, a shaky fiscal position, insufficient domestic savings, and high energy prices all pose dangers. Furthermore, the country’s outstanding development in recent decades has been primarily reliant on Paul Kagame’s leadership; if he were to step down, the country’s future would be much more uncertain.
“In the near to medium term, regime stability appears to be assured.” The Covid-19 pandemic’s interruptions and economic impact appear to have had little impact on public opinion, but issues remain. Developments in neighboring nations, as well as ties with them, remain a potentially destabilizing element. President Paul Kagame’s succession is still a hot topic, and factionalism within the Rwandan Popular Front (RPF) may emerge in the future. If the country is to prevent any shocks, a well-managed transition to greater democracy must remain a top goal.” – Oxford Economics economist Jee-A van der Linde
Vietnam
In recent years, Vietnam has been one of East Asia’s top achievers, owing to a stable political situation, low labor costs, and a relatively talented workforce. The government has had great success attracting foreign direct investment, particularly in the fast-growing electronics and textiles sectors. Due to the trade war between the United States and China, Vietnam has negotiated a number of trade agreements to improve market access for its commodities, notably the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and an FTA with the European Union. Furthermore, the government has managed Covid-19 admirably, nearly eliminating the virus domestically, allowing the economy to grow at one of the quickest rates in the world last year. The manufacturing sector is expected to drive growth in the next years. Downside risks include a potentially slow rebound in visitor arrivals, exposure to external shocks, and the fragile health of leader Nguyen Phu Trong.
“Successful and prompt local containment of the Covid-19 outbreak has allowed business activities in Vietnam to progressively return to “normal,” as seen by the consecutive improvements in various data releases. While the upward trend in economic activity is expected to continue in 2021, the forecast is greatly contingent on global pandemic containment and vaccine rollout. Other factors working in Vietnam’s favor include a slew of free trade agreements that are expected to boost exports and investments. Vietnam’s current efforts in digital transformation and e-commerce promotion, as well as the country’s dynamic and abundant workforce, are all good factors for the future.” – Suan Teck Kin, United Overseas Bank’s head of research
Cambodia
The textile and construction industries have boosted economic activity in recent years, but the economy was struck hard by the pandemic in 2020, and it is expected to decline significantly due to income losses and decreasing tourism earnings. Although high unemployment, strained relations with the EUthe principal market for garment exportsand higher twin deficits represent downside risks, the economy could return to a good growth trajectory this year as the impact of the pandemic fades and FDI continues strong.
“As global production shifts away from China, longer-term growth prospects remain solid, with FDI continuing to stimulate new sector development.” As foreign demand rebounds, the prediction anticipates GDP growth maintaining close to 7% in 2023, fueling a comeback in investment with a substantial FDI component. Domestic income growth, even if politics remains restrictive, defuses anger, and supports net export expansion, which puts the current account deficit on a lower path.” – Chris Portman, Oxford Economics senior economist
Which country will have the world’s fastest growing GDP in 2021?
India’s real GDP is expected to rise at 9% in both 2021-22 and 2022-23, and at 7.1 percent in 2023-24, according to the IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) growth predictions announced on January 25, 2022. In all three years, India is expected to be the world’s fastest-growing major economy.
According to the Survey’s First Advance Estimates, the Indian economy is expected to increase by 9.2% in real terms in 2021-22, following a contraction of 7.3 percent in 2020-21. Almost all data reveal that the “second wave” in Q1 had a far smaller economic impact than the full lockdown period in 2020-21, despite the fact that the health damage was much worse.
Which country has the world’s fastest population growth?
Syria is the world’s fastest growing country, according to IndexMundi, with a population growth rate of 4.64 percent per year.