Nigeria’s GDP is expected to reach 152,32 trillion Naira ($400 billion) in 2020. Nigeria’s gross domestic output hit 43,56 trillion Naira between October and December 2020. The GDP reached over 45 trillion Naira in the third quarter of 2021. Nigeria has Africa’s highest GDP.
What is Nigeria’s current GDP forecast for 2021?
According to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts, Nigeria’s GDP is predicted to reach 440.00 USD billion by the end of 2021. According to our econometric models, Nigeria’s GDP will trend around 445.00 USD billion in 2022 and 450.00 USD billion in 2023 in the long run.
What will 2021’s GDP be?
In its second advance estimates of national accounts released on Monday, the National Statistical Office (NSO) forecasted the country’s growth for 2021-22 at 8.9%, slightly lower than the 9.2% estimated in its first advance estimates released in January.
Furthermore, the National Statistics Office (NSO) reduced its estimates of GDP contraction for the coronavirus pandemic-affected last fiscal year (2020-21) to 6.6 percent. The previous projection was for a 7.3% decrease.
In April-June 2020, the Indian economy contracted 23.8 percent, and in July-September 2020, it contracted 6.6 percent.
“While an adverse base was expected to flatten growth in Q3 FY2022, the NSO’s initial estimates are far below our expectations (6.2 percent for GDP), with a marginal increase in manufacturing and a contraction in construction that is surprising given the heavy rains in the southern states,” said Aditi Nayar, Chief Economist at ICRA.
“GDP at constant (2011-12) prices is estimated at Rs 38.22 trillion in Q3 of 2021-22, up from Rs 36.26 trillion in Q3 of 2020-21, indicating an increase of 5.4 percent,” according to an official release.
According to the announcement, real GDP (GDP) or Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at constant (2011-12) prices is expected to reach Rs 147.72 trillion in 2021-22, up from Rs 135.58 trillion in the first updated estimate announced on January 31, 2022.
GDP growth is expected to be 8.9% in 2021-22, compared to a decline of 6.6 percent in 2020-21.
In terms of value, GDP in October-December 2021-22 was Rs 38,22,159 crore, up from Rs 36,22,220 crore in the same period of 2020-21.
According to NSO data, the manufacturing sector’s Gross Value Added (GVA) growth remained nearly steady at 0.2 percent in the third quarter of 2021-22, compared to 8.4 percent a year ago.
GVA growth in the farm sector was weak in the third quarter, at 2.6 percent, compared to 4.1 percent a year before.
GVA in the construction sector decreased by 2.8%, compared to 6.6% rise a year ago.
The electricity, gas, water supply, and other utility services segment grew by 3.7 percent in the third quarter of current fiscal year, compared to 1.5 percent growth the previous year.
Similarly, trade, hotel, transportation, communication, and broadcasting services expanded by 6.1 percent, compared to a decline of 10.1 percent a year ago.
In Q3 FY22, financial, real estate, and professional services growth was 4.6 percent, compared to 10.3 percent in Q3 FY21.
During the quarter under examination, public administration, defense, and other services expanded by 16.8%, compared to a decrease of 2.9 percent a year earlier.
Meanwhile, China’s economy grew by 4% between October and December of 2021.
“India’s GDP growth for Q3FY22 was a touch lower than our forecast of 5.7 percent, as the manufacturing sector grew slowly and the construction industry experienced unanticipated de-growth.” We have, however, decisively emerged from the pandemic recession, with all sectors of the economy showing signs of recovery.
“Going ahead, unlock trade will help growth in Q4FY22, as most governments have eliminated pandemic-related limitations, but weak rural demand and geopolitical shock from the Russia-Ukraine conflict may impair global growth and supply chains.” The impending pass-through of higher oil and gas costs could affect domestic demand mood, according to Elara Capital economist Garima Kapoor.
“Strong growth in the services sector and a pick-up in private final consumption expenditure drove India’s real GDP growth to 5.4 percent in Q3.” While agriculture’s growth slowed in Q3, the construction sector’s growth became negative.
“On the plus side, actual expenditure levels in both the private and public sectors are greater than they were before the pandemic.
“Given the encouraging trends in government revenues and spending until January 2022, as well as the upward revision in the nominal GDP growth rate for FY22, the fiscal deficit to GDP ratio for FY22 may come out better than what the (federal) budget projected,” said Rupa Rege Nitsure, group chief economist, L&T Financial Holdings.
“The growth number is pretty disappointing,” Sujan Hajra, chief economist of Mumbai-based Anand Rathi Securities, said, citing weaker rural consumer demand and investments as reasons.
After crude prices soared beyond $100 a barrel, India, which imports virtually all of its oil, might face a wider trade imbalance, a weaker rupee, and greater inflation, with a knock to GDP considered as the main concern.
“We believe the fiscal and monetary policy accommodation will remain, given the geopolitical volatility and crude oil prices,” Hajra added.
According to Nomura, a 10% increase in oil prices would shave 0.2 percentage points off India’s GDP growth while adding 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points to retail inflation.
Widening sanctions against Russia are likely to have a ripple impact on India, according to Sakshi Gupta, senior economist at HDFC Bank.
“We see a 20-30 basis point downside risk to our base predictions,” she said. For the time being, HDFC expects the GDP to rise 8.2% in the coming fiscal year.
What accounts for Nigeria’s high GDP?
Nigeria’s economy is a mixed economy and an emerging market with growing manufacturing, finance, service, communications, technology, and entertainment industries. In terms of nominal GDP, it is the world’s 27th largest economy, and in terms of purchasing power parity, it is the 24th largest. Nigeria has Africa’s largest economy. In 2013, the country’s resurgent manufacturing sector became the continent’s largest, producing a major amount of goods and services for the West African region. Furthermore, as of 2019, the debt-to-GDP ratio was 16.075 percent.
Nigeria’s GDP has nearly tripled in purchasing power parity (PPP) from $170 billion in 2000 to $451 billion in 2012, while estimates of the size of the informal sector (which is not included in official data) put the true amounts closer to $630 billion. Following that, the GDP per capita doubled, rising from $1400 in 2000 to an estimated $2,800 in 2012. Again, when the informal sector is factored in, GDP per capita is projected to be roughly $3,900 per person. The population of the country grew from 120 million in 2000 to 160 million in 2010. When measures were to be adjusted after the rebasing of its economy in April 2014, the GDP statistics were to be revised upwards by as much as 80% (percent).
Despite accounting for two-thirds of governmental revenues, oil only accounts for roughly 9% of GDP. Only about 2.7 percent (percent) of the world’s oil is produced in Nigeria. Despite its importance, as government revenues are still strongly reliant on it, the petroleum sector remains a minor part of the country’s overall economy.
The agricultural industry, which is mostly subsistence, has not kept up with the country’s rapid population expansion. Nigeria used to be a significant net food exporter, but it now imports some of its food. Mechanization has resulted in a renaissance in the manufacture and exporting of food goods, and a shift toward food sufficiency has resulted. Nigeria reached an arrangement with the Paris Club in 2006 to buy back the majority of its unpaid loans in exchange for a cash payment of approximately US$12 billion.
Nigeria would have the highest average GDP growth in the world between 2010 and 2050, according to a Citigroup analysis issued in February 2011. Nigeria is one of only two African countries among the 11 Global Growth Generators.
Which African country has the highest GDP?
African countries’ GDP in 2021, broken down each country. Nigeria has the greatest gross domestic output in Africa, with a GDP of 514 billion dollars in 2021. Egypt’s GDP was worth 394 billion dollars, making it the continent’s second-highest.
In 2021, which country will have the greatest GDP?
What are the world’s largest economies? According to the International Monetary Fund, the following countries have the greatest nominal GDP in the world:
Which country has the highest GDP in 2021?
The United States and China would rank first and second in both methodology’ gdp rankings by 2021. The nominal gap between the US and China is narrowing, since China’s gdp growth rate of 8.02 percent in 2021 is higher than the US’s 5.97 percent. In nominal terms, the United States will be $6 trillion ahead of China in 2021. On a per-person basis, China surpassed the United States in 2017 and is now ahead by $4 trillion, with the gap widening. On a per capita basis, China will continue to be the world’s greatest economy for the next few decades, since the US, which is rated second, grows slowly and India, which is placed third, lags far behind.
In terms of nominal GDP, the top ten would remain same. Iran has surpassed the Netherlands, Saudi Arabia has surpassed Turkey, and Switzerland has surpassed Switzerland on the top 20 list. South Africa’s economic ranking would rise eight places in the top 50, while Egypt would drop four places.
There would be no change in the top 10 list in the ppp ranking. Taiwan overtaking Australia is another change in the top 20. Ireland will move up three places in the top 50.
In 2021, all of the economies in the top 50 will grow at a positive rate. With a 14.04 percent growth rate, Ireland is the fastest-growing economy, followed by Chile (11.00 percent ). Thailand has the slowest growth rate, at 0.96 percent, followed by the UAE (2.24 percent) and Japan (2.36 percent ).
In nominal terms, the United States (1,5) appears on both lists of the top 10 GDP and GDP per capita. In terms of GDP and GDP per capita, Germany (4,17), Canada (9,15), Australia (13,9), the Netherlands (18,12), and Switzerland (20,3) are among the top twenty countries. In both rankings, the United States (2,8) is in the top 10, while Germany (5,18) and Taiwan (18,15) are in the top twenty.
What causes Nigeria’s poor GDP?
Due to COVID-19-related disruptions, including as reduced oil prices and remittances, increased risk aversion in global capital markets, and mobility limitations, Nigeria’s economy is likely to enter its severe recession since the 1980s in 2020. Nigeria’s gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to contract by about 4% in 2020, grow modestly by 1.1 percent in 2021, and then gradually recover towards the estimated population growth rate of 2.6 percent in our baseline scenario, which assumes further macroeconomic reforms and a gradual recovery in oil prices. Per-capita earnings would continue to decline if economic growth remained below population growth, and better full-time jobs would be much difficult to come by. The impact of the COVID-19 problem on Nigeria’s economy is summarized here.
Which Nigerian state has the most revenue?
According to the National Bureau of Statistics’ (NBS) half-year report for 2021, these states had the greatest IGR in H1. Road taxes, pay as you earn, direct assessment, revenue from ministries, departments, and agencies, and other taxes made up of land-related fees make up each state’s Internally Generated Revenue (IGR).
Lagos state has the greatest IGR with a total of 267.2 billion naira, followed by the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) with a total of 69.1 billion naira, and Rivers with a total IGR of 57.3 million naira.