According to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts, Kenya’s GDP is predicted to reach $100.00 billion by the end of 2021. According to our econometric models, Kenya’s GDP will trend around 107.00 USD billion in 2022 and 110.00 USD billion in 2023 in the long run.
What is the current Gross Domestic Product?
Retail and wholesale trade industries led the increase in private inventory investment. The largest contributor to retail was inventory investment by automobile dealers. Increases in both products and services contributed to the increase in exports. Consumer products, industrial supplies and materials, and foods, feeds, and beverages were the biggest contributions to the growth in goods exports. Travel was the driving force behind the increase in service exports. The rise in PCE was mostly due to an increase in services, with health care, recreation, and transportation accounting for the majority of the increase. The increase in nonresidential fixed investment was mostly due to a rise in intellectual property items, which was partially offset by a drop in structures.
The reduction in federal spending was mostly due to lower defense spending on intermediate goods and services. State and local government spending fell as a result of lower consumption (driven by state and local government employee remuneration, particularly education) and gross investment (led by new educational structures). The rise in imports was mostly due to a rise in goods (led by non-food and non-automotive consumer goods, as well as capital goods).
After gaining 2.3 percent in the third quarter, real GDP increased by 6.9% in the fourth quarter. The fourth-quarter increase in real GDP was primarily due to an increase in exports, as well as increases in private inventory investment and PCE, as well as smaller decreases in residential fixed investment and federal government spending, which were partially offset by a decrease in state and local government spending. Imports have increased.
In the fourth quarter, current dollar GDP climbed 14.3% on an annual basis, or $790.1 billion, to $23.99 trillion. GDP climbed by 8.4%, or $461.3 billion, in the third quarter (table 1 and table 3).
In the fourth quarter, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 6.9%, compared to 5.6 percent in the third quarter (table 4). The PCE price index climbed by 6.5 percent, compared to a 5.3 percent gain in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 4.9 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 4.6 percent overall.
Personal Income
In the fourth quarter, current-dollar personal income climbed by $106.3 billion, compared to $127.9 billion in the third quarter. Increases in compensation (driven by private earnings and salaries), personal income receipts on assets, and rental income partially offset a decline in personal current transfer receipts (particularly, government social assistance) (table 8). Following the end of pandemic-related unemployment programs, the fall in government social benefits was more than offset by a decrease in unemployment insurance.
In the fourth quarter, disposable personal income grew $14.1 billion, or 0.3 percent, compared to $36.7 billion, or 0.8 percent, in the third quarter. Real disposable personal income fell 5.8%, compared to a 4.3 percent drop in the previous quarter.
In the fourth quarter, personal savings totaled $1.34 trillion, compared to $1.72 trillion in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the personal saving rate (savings as a percentage of disposable personal income) was 7.4 percent, down from 9.5 percent in the third quarter.
GDP for 2021
In 2021, real GDP climbed 5.7 percent (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major subcomponents of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
PCE increased as both products and services increased in value. “Other” nondurable items (including games and toys as well as medications), apparel and footwear, and recreational goods and automobiles were the major contributors within goods. Food services and accommodations, as well as health care, were the most significant contributors to services. Increases in equipment (dominated by information processing equipment) and intellectual property items (driven by software as well as research and development) partially offset a reduction in structures in nonresidential fixed investment (widespread across most categories). The rise in exports was due to an increase in products (mostly non-automotive capital goods), which was somewhat offset by a drop in services (led by travel as well as royalties and license fees). The increase in residential fixed investment was primarily due to the development of new single-family homes. An increase in wholesale commerce led to an increase in private inventory investment (mainly in durable goods industries).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP expanded by 10.0 percent, or $2.10 trillion, to $22.99 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in the previous quarter. The PCE price index climbed 3.3 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Real GDP rose 5.5 percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a 2.3 percent fall from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases grew 5.5 percent, compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index climbed by 5.5 percent, compared to 1.2 percent for the year. The PCE price index increased 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Source Data for the Advance Estimate
A Technical Note that is issued with the news release on BEA’s website contains information on the source data and major assumptions utilized in the advance estimate. Each version comes with a thorough “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file. Refer to the “Additional Details” section below for information on GDP updates.
Is Kenya’s economy expanding?
Kenya’s economy continues to grow steadily, with real GDP increasing by roughly 5.6 percent on average over the last five years (2014-2018). However, in 2019, economic growth has slowed, owing to decreasing agricultural output and weak private sector investment.
Is Kenya wealthy or impoverished?
Kenya’s economy is classified as lower-middle income. Despite having the largest and most developed economy in eastern and central Africa, 36.1 percent of Kenya’s population (2015/2016) lives below the international poverty line. Economic inequity, government corruption, and health issues are the main causes of extreme poverty. Poverty, on the other hand, exacerbates these issues. Fortunately, Kenya’s government has made numerous efforts to combat poverty, and it has received significant assistance from international organizations. According to a recent MPI index, the occurrence rate of poverty has consistently reduced. However, long-term efforts are still required in Kenya to eradicate poverty.
What is Kenya’s global wealth?
Kenya, an East African country noted for its wide landscapes and animals, is the next richest country in Africa, with a GDP of more than $100 billion. This country is the wealthiest in Southeast and Central Africa, with stable living conditions, a well-established coffee and tea industry, and a fast increasing agricultural sector.
For centuries, its coastline has been home to a number of vital ports for Asian and Arabian traders, transforming it into a regional trading powerhouse. Kenya’s economy is not based on oil like many of the other countries on this list, but it continues to expand in a variety of ways.
Kenya has emerged as one of Sub-Saharan Africa’s fastest-growing economies, with GDP increasing by 5.7 percent in 2019. Positive investor confidence, a stable political climate and service sector, a favorable macroeconomic environment, and a well-defined corporate objective have all contributed to this.
The industrial sector accounts for about half of the country’s GDP. The agriculture industry accounts for 35% of GDP, with coffee, tea, and maize being the key products. Tourism, financial services, and technology all witnessed rapid growth, and petroleum accounts for a considerable portion of the country’s foreign exchange.
Kenya has what kind of economy?
Kenya has a market economy and is often regarded as East Africa’s economic, commercial, financial, and logistics centre. Kenya has been successful in luring US exporters and investors due to its strong industrial base in East Africa.
In Africa, how wealthy is Kenya?
The following is a list of Kenya’s wealthiest individuals. It is based on Forbes magazine’s yearly estimate of wealth and assets, which is compiled and published every year.
Kenya’s economy is the largest in the East African Community and the third largest in Sub-Saharan Africa, with a GDP of US$120.87 billion in 2020, up from US$70.539 billion in 2017. Only South Africa and Nigeria are ahead of Kenya in terms of GDP in Sub-Saharan Africa.
What will be the GDP in 2021?
In addition to updated fourth-quarter projections, today’s announcement includes revised third-quarter 2021 wages and salaries, personal taxes, and government social insurance contributions, all based on new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program. Wages and wages climbed by $306.8 billion in the third quarter, up $27.7 billion from the previous estimate. With the addition of this new statistics, real gross domestic income is now anticipated to have climbed 6.4 percent in the third quarter, a 0.6 percentage point gain over the prior estimate.
In 2021, real GDP climbed by 5.7 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major components of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP climbed by 10.1 percent (revised), or $2.10 trillion, to $23.00 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous forecast, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to a 1.2 percent gain. With food and energy prices excluded, the PCE price index grew 3.3 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
Real GDP grew 5.6 (revised) percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a fall of 2.3 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 5.6 percent (revised), compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index grew 5.5 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, versus a 1.2 percent increase. The PCE price index grew 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
Which country has the highest GDP in 2021?
The United States and China would rank first and second in both methodology’ gdp rankings by 2021. The nominal gap between the US and China is narrowing, since China’s gdp growth rate of 8.02 percent in 2021 is higher than the US’s 5.97 percent. In nominal terms, the United States will be $6 trillion ahead of China in 2021. On a per-person basis, China surpassed the United States in 2017 and is now ahead by $4 trillion, with the gap widening. On a per capita basis, China will continue to be the world’s greatest economy for the next few decades, since the US, which is rated second, grows slowly and India, which is placed third, lags far behind.
In terms of nominal GDP, the top ten would remain same. Iran has surpassed the Netherlands, Saudi Arabia has surpassed Turkey, and Switzerland has surpassed Switzerland on the top 20 list. South Africa’s economic ranking would rise eight places in the top 50, while Egypt would drop four places.
There would be no change in the top 10 list in the ppp ranking. Taiwan overtaking Australia is another change in the top 20. Ireland will move up three places in the top 50.
In 2021, all of the economies in the top 50 will grow at a positive rate. With a 14.04 percent growth rate, Ireland is the fastest-growing economy, followed by Chile (11.00 percent ). Thailand has the slowest growth rate, at 0.96 percent, followed by the UAE (2.24 percent) and Japan (2.36 percent ).
In nominal terms, the United States (1,5) appears on both lists of the top 10 GDP and GDP per capita. In terms of GDP and GDP per capita, Germany (4,17), Canada (9,15), Australia (13,9), the Netherlands (18,12), and Switzerland (20,3) are among the top twenty countries. In both rankings, the United States (2,8) is in the top 10, while Germany (5,18) and Taiwan (18,15) are in the top twenty.
What percentage of Kenya’s population lives in poverty?
In 2021, 16 percent of Kenya’s population lived on less than $1.90 a day. The country’s extreme poverty percentage fell marginally from 17% in 2020 to 16% in 2021. That year, the share climbed, breaking a decreasing trend that had been in place since 2017.