Nigeria’s GDP is expected to reach 152,32 trillion Naira ($400 billion) in 2020. Nigeria’s gross domestic output hit 43,56 trillion Naira between October and December 2020. The GDP reached over 45 trillion Naira in the third quarter of 2021. Nigeria has Africa’s highest GDP.
What is Nigeria’s current GDP forecast for 2021?
According to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts, Nigeria’s GDP is predicted to reach 440.00 USD billion by the end of 2021. According to our econometric models, Nigeria’s GDP will trend around 445.00 USD billion in 2022 and 450.00 USD billion in 2023 in the long run.
What is the current GDP for the year 2021?
In addition to updated fourth-quarter projections, today’s announcement includes revised third-quarter 2021 wages and salaries, personal taxes, and government social insurance contributions, all based on new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program. Wages and wages climbed by $306.8 billion in the third quarter, up $27.7 billion from the previous estimate. With the addition of this new statistics, real gross domestic income is now anticipated to have climbed 6.4 percent in the third quarter, a 0.6 percentage point gain over the prior estimate.
GDP for 2021
In 2021, real GDP climbed by 5.7 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major components of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
PCE increased as both products and services increased in value. “Other” nondurable items (including games and toys as well as medications), apparel and footwear, and recreational goods and automobiles were the major contributors within goods. Food services and accommodations, as well as health care, were the most significant contributors to services. Increases in equipment (dominated by information processing equipment) and intellectual property items (driven by software as well as research and development) partially offset a reduction in structures in nonresidential fixed investment (widespread across most categories). The rise in exports was due to an increase in products (mostly non-automotive capital goods), which was somewhat offset by a drop in services (led by travel as well as royalties and license fees). The increase in residential fixed investment was primarily due to the development of new single-family homes. An increase in wholesale commerce led to an increase in private inventory investment (mainly in durable goods industries).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP climbed by 10.1 percent (revised), or $2.10 trillion, to $23.00 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous forecast, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to a 1.2 percent gain. With food and energy prices excluded, the PCE price index grew 3.3 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
Real GDP grew 5.6 (revised) percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a fall of 2.3 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 5.6 percent (revised), compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index grew 5.5 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, versus a 1.2 percent increase. The PCE price index grew 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
What accounts for Nigeria’s high GDP?
Nigeria’s economy is a mixed-income, rising market with growing manufacturing, finance, service, communications, technology, and entertainment industries. In terms of nominal GDP, it is the world’s 27th largest economy, and in terms of purchasing power parity, it is the 24th largest. Nigeria has Africa’s largest economy. In 2013, the country’s resurgent manufacturing sector became the continent’s largest, producing a major amount of goods and services for the West African region. Furthermore, as of 2019, the debt-to-GDP ratio was 16.075 percent.
Nigeria’s GDP has nearly tripled in purchasing power parity (PPP) from $170 billion in 2000 to $451 billion in 2012, while estimates of the size of the informal sector (which is not included in official data) put the true amounts closer to $630 billion. Following that, the GDP per capita doubled, rising from $1400 in 2000 to an estimated $2,800 in 2012. Again, when the informal sector is factored in, GDP per capita is projected to be roughly $3,900 per person. The population of the country grew from 120 million in 2000 to 160 million in 2010. When measures were to be reassessed following the rebasing of its economy in April 2014, the GDP statistics were to be revised upwards by as much as 80% (percent).
Despite accounting for two-thirds of governmental revenues, oil only accounts for roughly 9% of GDP. Only about 2.7 percent (percent) of the world’s oil is produced in Nigeria. Despite its importance, as government revenues are still strongly reliant on it, the petroleum sector remains a minor part of the country’s overall economy.
The agricultural industry, which is mostly subsistence, has not kept up with the country’s rapid population expansion. Nigeria used to be a significant net food exporter, but it now imports some of its food. Mechanization has resulted in a renaissance in the manufacture and exporting of food goods, and a shift toward food sufficiency has resulted. Nigeria reached an arrangement with the Paris Club in 2006 to buy back the majority of its unpaid loans in exchange for a cash payment of approximately US$12 billion.
Nigeria would have the highest average GDP growth in the world between 2010 and 2050, according to a Citigroup analysis issued in February 2011. Nigeria is one of only two African countries among the 11 Global Growth Generators.
Is Nigeria a wealthy nation?
Finance, transportation, infrastructure, tourism, and an abundance of crude oil are all major contributors to the country’s large GDP.
According to OPEC, the country exports roughly 1.6 million barrels of crude oil per day, making it Africa’s largest crude oil exporter. Petroleum exports account for 10% of the country’s overall GDP and over 80% of the export sector’s earnings.
Nigeria has a variety of raw commodities and natural resources, in addition to petroleum, which contribute to the region’s prosperity. Coal, limestone, zinc, lead, tin, natural gas, niobium, and iron ore are among them. There is also enough fertile area for agriculture, which accounts for approximately 20% of GDP and produces cocoa and rubber. Nigeria’s enormous population has helped the country become Africa’s largest consumer store, and its digitally savvy citizens have contributed to the country’s rapidly rising IT sector.
Nigeria’s GDP expanded at a pace of 7% per year between 2000 and 2014, according to the World Bank, making it one of the fastest-growing economies in Africa. Due to political unrest, socioeconomic issues, and oil and production shocks, this has slowed to 2% in recent years. The government has placed a major emphasis on safeguarding its natural resources, attempting to reduce its dependency on oil refineries and processing units.
Nigeria, with its vibrant cultural legacy, diverse ethnicities, natural beauty, and vast population, remains Africa’s wealthiest country and the continent’s top producer in terms of GDP output.
What is the current GDP?
Retail and wholesale trade industries led the increase in private inventory investment. The largest contributor to retail was inventory investment by automobile dealers. Increases in both products and services contributed to the increase in exports. Consumer products, industrial supplies and materials, and foods, feeds, and beverages were the biggest contributions to the growth in goods exports. Travel was the driving force behind the increase in service exports. The rise in PCE was primarily due to an increase in services, with health care, recreation, and transportation accounting for the majority of the increase. The increase in nonresidential fixed investment was mostly due to a rise in intellectual property items, which was partially offset by a drop in structures.
The reduction in federal spending was mostly due to lower defense spending on intermediate goods and services. State and local government spending fell as a result of lower consumption (driven by state and local government employee remuneration, particularly education) and gross investment (led by new educational structures). The rise in imports was mostly due to a rise in goods (led by non-food and non-automotive consumer goods, as well as capital goods).
After gaining 2.3 percent in the third quarter, real GDP increased by 6.9% in the fourth quarter. The fourth-quarter increase in real GDP was primarily due to an increase in exports, as well as increases in private inventory investment and PCE, as well as smaller decreases in residential fixed investment and federal government spending, which were partially offset by a decrease in state and local government spending. Imports have increased.
In the fourth quarter, current dollar GDP climbed 14.3% on an annual basis, or $790.1 billion, to $23.99 trillion. GDP climbed by 8.4%, or $461.3 billion, in the third quarter (table 1 and table 3).
In the fourth quarter, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 6.9%, compared to 5.6 percent in the third quarter (table 4). The PCE price index climbed by 6.5 percent, compared to a 5.3 percent gain in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 4.9 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 4.6 percent overall.
Personal Income
In the fourth quarter, current-dollar personal income climbed by $106.3 billion, compared to $127.9 billion in the third quarter. Increases in compensation (driven by private earnings and salaries), personal income receipts on assets, and rental income partially offset a decline in personal current transfer receipts (particularly, government social assistance) (table 8). Following the end of pandemic-related unemployment programs, the fall in government social benefits was more than offset by a decrease in unemployment insurance.
In the fourth quarter, disposable personal income grew $14.1 billion, or 0.3 percent, compared to $36.7 billion, or 0.8 percent, in the third quarter. Real disposable personal income fell 5.8%, compared to a 4.3 percent drop in the previous quarter.
In the fourth quarter, personal savings totaled $1.34 trillion, compared to $1.72 trillion in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the personal saving rate (savings as a percentage of disposable personal income) was 7.4 percent, down from 9.5 percent in the third quarter.
In 2021, real GDP climbed 5.7 percent (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major subcomponents of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP expanded by 10.0 percent, or $2.10 trillion, to $22.99 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in the previous quarter. The PCE price index climbed 3.3 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Real GDP rose 5.5 percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a 2.3 percent fall from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases grew 5.5 percent, compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index climbed by 5.5 percent, compared to 1.2 percent for the year. The PCE price index increased 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Source Data for the Advance Estimate
A Technical Note that is issued with the news release on BEA’s website contains information on the source data and major assumptions utilized in the advance estimate. Each version comes with a thorough “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file. Refer to the “Additional Details” section below for information on GDP updates.
In 2021, which country will have the greatest GDP?
What are the world’s largest economies? According to the International Monetary Fund, the following countries have the greatest nominal GDP in the world:
Is a high GDP beneficial?
GDP is significant because it provides information on the size and performance of an economy. The pace of increase in real GDP is frequently used as a gauge of the economy’s overall health. An increase in real GDP is viewed as a sign that the economy is performing well in general.
What causes Nigeria’s poor GDP?
Due to COVID-19-related disruptions, including as reduced oil prices and remittances, increased risk aversion in global capital markets, and mobility limitations, Nigeria’s economy is likely to enter its severe recession since the 1980s in 2020. Nigeria’s gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to contract by about 4% in 2020, grow modestly by 1.1 percent in 2021, and then gradually recover towards the estimated population growth rate of 2.6 percent in our baseline scenario, which assumes further macroeconomic reforms and a gradual recovery in oil prices. Per-capita earnings would continue to decline if economic growth remained below population growth, and better full-time jobs would be much difficult to come by. The impact of the COVID-19 problem on Nigeria’s economy is summarized here.