Ethiopia ranks 65th out of 196 nations in terms of GDP in 2020, with a total of $96,611 million dollars. Ethiopia’s GDP increased by $4,003 million in absolute terms in 2019. Ethiopia’s GDP per capita in 2020 was $840, down $14 from the previous year’s $826.
What is Ethiopia’s GDP forecast for 2021?
According to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts, Ethiopia’s GDP is predicted to reach 110.00 USD billion by the end of 2021. According to our econometric models, Ethiopia’s GDP will trend around 112.00 USD billion in 2022 and 115.00 USD billion in 2023 in the long run.
What is Ethiopia’s Gross Domestic Product?
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a key indicator of a country’s economic strength. Ethiopia’s gross domestic product is expected to be approximately 96.61 billion dollars in 2020.
What was the 2019 GDP figure?
From 1960 to 2020, GDP in the United States averaged 7680.13 USD Billion, with a top of 21433.22 USD Billion in 2019 and a low of 543.30 USD Billion in 1960.
What is Ethiopia’s GDP and GNP?
Ethiopia’s GDP was $102.67 billion in 2020, up 8.1 percent from 2019. Ethiopia’s GDP in 2019 was $94.97 billion dollars, up 9.34% from 2018. Ethiopia’s GDP in 2018 was $86.86 billion, up 10.82 percent from 2017.
Is Ethiopia a poor or wealthy country?
Ethiopia’s strategic location as a launching pad in the Horn of Africa, near to the Middle East and its markets, provides it strategic superiority. Ethiopia is a landlocked country that shares borders with Eritrea, Somalia, Kenya, South Sudan, and Sudan, and has relied on Djibouti’s main port for international trade for the past two decades. With the recent Eritrean peace accord, Ethiopia is expected to regain access to the Eritrean ports of Assab and Massawa as well.
Ethiopia is Africa’s second most populous country after Nigeria, with 115 million inhabitants (2020), and the region’s fastest-growing economy, with 6.1 percent growth in FY2019/20. It is, nevertheless, one of the poorest, with a gross national income per capita of $890. By 2025, Ethiopia wants to be classified as a lower-middle-income country.
Ethiopia has been one of the world’s fastest growing countries over the past 15 years (at an average of 10 percent per year). Capital accumulation, particularly through public infrastructure projects, was a major driver of growth, among other things. Due to COVID-19, Ethiopia’s real GDP growth slowed in FY2019/20 and even more in FY20220/21, with growth in industry and services falling to single digits. Agriculture, which employs more than 70% of the population, was unaffected by the COVID-19 epidemic, and its contribution to growth improved marginally in FY2019/20 compared to the previous year.
Between 2010 and 2020, persistent strong economic growth led in positive trends in poverty reduction in both urban and rural areas. The percentage of the people living in poverty has reduced from 30% in 2011 to 24% in 2016, and human development indicators have improved over time. Despite this, many flaws remain. Inequality is on the rise, owing to the growing discrepancy between urban and rural areas. The bottom 10% of the population has not grown in terms of consumption (as of 2005), notably in rural areas, and inequality is on the rise. Furthermore, COVID-19 has exacerbated existing flaws.
The government has unveiled a new 10-year development plan that will run from 2020/21 through 2029/30 and is based on the 2019 Home-Grown Economic Reform Agenda. The plan intends to maintain the phenomenal growth achieved during the preceding decade’s Growth and Transformation Plans while easing the transition to a more private-sector-driven economy.
Ethiopia’s key problems include maintaining positive economic growth and accelerating poverty reduction, both of which necessitate significant progress in job creation and stronger governance to guarantee that growth is equitable across the country. The government spends a large portion of its budget on anti-poverty initiatives and investments. Large-scale donor financing will continue to play an important role in funding pro-poor activities in the near future. The following are some of the most significant challenges:
- Ethiopia, like the rest of the world, has been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic’s catastrophic social and economic consequences. While exports and foreign direct investment have recovered in 2020/21, and jobs have recovered, there are likely to be some long-term scars. Urban employment has not entirely recovered, some people and businesses continue to report income losses, and poverty levels are projected to have risen.
- The battle, which began in November 2020, is expected to have an impact on agriculture productivity and food security in the country’s north, as well as stymie economic recovery.
- Ethiopia’s Human Development Index is 0.38, implying that a kid born today in Ethiopia will be 38 percent as productive as if he or she had access to a complete education and good health. This is lower than the Sub-Saharan Africa average, but slightly higher than the low-income country average. Learning poverty affects 90% of children under the age of five, and 37% of children under the age of five are stunted.
- Ethiopia has been dealing with the largest locust invasion in decades since 2020. This might jeopardize Ethiopia’s development progress and jeopardize millions of Ethiopians’ food security and livelihoods.
- A nascent private sector whose ability to grow and create jobs has been hampered by business climate and competitiveness concerns.
- The growing workforce (roughly 2 million per year) puts strain on the labor market’s absorption capacity, necessitating job improvement while also providing enough new jobs.
In Ethiopia, which region is the wealthiest?
The Amhara Highlands, according to Ethiopia’s government website, get 80% of the country’s total annual rainfall and are the country’s most fertile and climatically favorable region. The Blue Nile originates at Bahir Dar, in the Amhara Region’s Lake Tana. When the Blue Nile’s flow reaches its peak (during the rainy season from June to September), it supplies roughly two-thirds of the Nile’s water. Until the Aswan High Dam was completed in Egypt in 1970, the Blue Nile, along with the Atbara River to its north (which also flows out of the Ethiopian Highlands), caused annual Nile floods that contributed to the Nile Valley’s fertility, allowing the rise of ancient Egyptian civilization and, in turn, the development of Egyptian mythology.
What is the current GDP?
Retail and wholesale trade industries led the increase in private inventory investment. The largest contributor to retail was inventory investment by automobile dealers. Increases in both products and services contributed to the increase in exports. Consumer products, industrial supplies and materials, and foods, feeds, and beverages were the biggest contributions to the growth in goods exports. Travel was the driving force behind the increase in service exports. The rise in PCE was mostly due to an increase in services, with health care, recreation, and transportation accounting for the majority of the increase. The increase in nonresidential fixed investment was mostly due to a rise in intellectual property items, which was partially offset by a drop in structures.
The reduction in federal spending was mostly due to lower defense spending on intermediate goods and services. State and local government spending fell as a result of lower consumption (driven by state and local government employee remuneration, particularly education) and gross investment (led by new educational structures). The rise in imports was mostly due to a rise in goods (led by non-food and non-automotive consumer goods, as well as capital goods).
After gaining 2.3 percent in the third quarter, real GDP increased by 6.9% in the fourth quarter. The fourth-quarter increase in real GDP was primarily due to an increase in exports, as well as increases in private inventory investment and PCE, as well as smaller decreases in residential fixed investment and federal government spending, which were partially offset by a decrease in state and local government spending. Imports have increased.
In the fourth quarter, current dollar GDP climbed 14.3% on an annual basis, or $790.1 billion, to $23.99 trillion. GDP climbed by 8.4%, or $461.3 billion, in the third quarter (table 1 and table 3).
In the fourth quarter, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 6.9%, compared to 5.6 percent in the third quarter (table 4). The PCE price index climbed by 6.5 percent, compared to a 5.3 percent gain in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 4.9 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 4.6 percent overall.
Personal Income
In the fourth quarter, current-dollar personal income climbed by $106.3 billion, compared to $127.9 billion in the third quarter. Increases in compensation (driven by private earnings and salaries), personal income receipts on assets, and rental income partially offset a decline in personal current transfer receipts (particularly, government social assistance) (table 8). Following the end of pandemic-related unemployment programs, the fall in government social benefits was more than offset by a decrease in unemployment insurance.
In the fourth quarter, disposable personal income grew $14.1 billion, or 0.3 percent, compared to $36.7 billion, or 0.8 percent, in the third quarter. Real disposable personal income fell 5.8%, compared to a 4.3 percent drop in the previous quarter.
In the fourth quarter, personal savings totaled $1.34 trillion, compared to $1.72 trillion in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the personal saving rate (savings as a percentage of disposable personal income) was 7.4 percent, down from 9.5 percent in the third quarter.
GDP for 2021
In 2021, real GDP climbed 5.7 percent (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major subcomponents of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
PCE increased as both products and services increased in value. “Other” nondurable items (including games and toys as well as medications), apparel and footwear, and recreational goods and automobiles were the major contributors within goods. Food services and accommodations, as well as health care, were the most significant contributors to services. Increases in equipment (dominated by information processing equipment) and intellectual property items (driven by software as well as research and development) partially offset a reduction in structures in nonresidential fixed investment (widespread across most categories). The rise in exports was due to an increase in products (mostly non-automotive capital goods), which was somewhat offset by a drop in services (led by travel as well as royalties and license fees). The increase in residential fixed investment was primarily due to the development of new single-family homes. An increase in wholesale commerce led to an increase in private inventory investment (mainly in durable goods industries).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP expanded by 10.0 percent, or $2.10 trillion, to $22.99 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in the previous quarter. The PCE price index climbed 3.3 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Real GDP rose 5.5 percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a 2.3 percent fall from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases grew 5.5 percent, compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index climbed by 5.5 percent, compared to 1.2 percent for the year. The PCE price index increased 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Source Data for the Advance Estimate
A Technical Note that is issued with the news release on BEA’s website contains information on the source data and major assumptions utilized in the advance estimate. Each version comes with a thorough “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file. Refer to the “Additional Details” section below for information on GDP updates.
What will the GDP be in 2020?
The fourth quarter saw a 6.7 percent growth in real gross output, which is a measure of an industry’s sales or receipts, which includes sales to final users in the economy (GDP) and sales to other industries (intermediate inputs). Government remained constant, but private goods-producing businesses grew by 7.2 percent and private services-producing sectors grew by 7.8 percent (table 16). Durable goods manufacturing, professional, scientific, and technical services, and health care and social support were among the 22 industry categories that contributed to the growth in real gross production. Educational services, utilities, and housing and food services were among the industries that saw significant declines in gross output.
In 2020, real GDP fell 3.5 percent (from the 2019 annual level to the 2020 annual level), compared to a 2.2 percent growth in 2019. (table 1).
PCE, exports, private inventory investment, nonresidential fixed investment, and state and local government decreased real GDP in 2020, partially offset by increases in federal government spending and residential fixed investment. Imports are down (table 2).
A drop in services more than compensated for the decrease in PCE in 2020. (led by food services and accommodations, health care, and recreation services). The drop in exports was due to a drop in both services (driven by travel) and goods (mainly non-automotive capital goods). Private inventory investment fell as a result of broad losses in retail trade (mostly auto dealers) and wholesale trade (mainly durable goods industries). Structures (dominated by mining exploration, shafts, and wells) and equipment (headed by transportation equipment) decreased in nonresidential fixed investment, which was partly offset by an increase in intellectual property products (more than accounted for by software). The drop in state and local government spending corresponded to a drop in consumer spending (led by compensation).
In 2020, the increase in federal government spending reflected an increase in nondefense consumer spending (led by an increase in purchases of intermediate services that supported the processing and administration of Paycheck Protection Program loan applications by banks on behalf of the federal government). Increases in upgrades, as well as brokers’ commissions and other ownership transfer costs, accounted for the majority of the increase in residential fixed investment.
In 2020, current-dollar GDP fell 2.3 percent, or $496.6 billion, to $20.94 trillion, compared to a 4.0 percent growth, or $821.3 billion, in 2019. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2020, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 1.2 percent, compared to 1.6 percent in 2019. (table 4). In 2020, the PCE price index climbed 1.2 percent, compared to 1.5 percent in 2019. The PCE price index grew 1.4 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.7 percent overall.
Real GDP fell by 2.4 percent in 2020, when measured from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. (table 6). In comparison, in 2019 there was a 2.3 percent gain.
The price index for gross domestic purchases grew 1.2 percent in 2020, as assessed from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. In comparison, in 2019 there was a 1.4 percent gain. The PCE price index climbed by 1.2 percent, compared to a 1.5 percent increase in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 1.4 percent excluding food and energy, compared to 1.6 percent overall.
In 2020, real GDI fell 3.5 percent, compared to a rise of 1.8 percent in 2019. (table 1). In 2020, the average of real GDP and real GDI fell 3.5 percent, compared to a 2.0 percent growth in 2019.
Profits from current output fell $130.2 billion in 2020, compared to a $7.6 billion increase in 2019. (table 10). Domestic financial businesses’ profits fell by $0.5 billion, compared to an increase of $38.0 billion. Domestic nonfinancial firms’ profits fell $55.7 billion, compared to a $23.3 billion drop in the previous year. Profits in the rest of the world fell $74.0 billion, compared to a $7.1 billion drop in the United States. Receipts fell $117.8 billion in 2020, while payments fell $43.8 billion.
Private goods-producing industries fell 2.7 percent in 2020, private services-producing industries down 3.9 percent, and government fell 2.1 percent (table 12). In total, 16 of the 22 industry groupings contributed to the real GDP decline in 2020. (table 13).