MANILA, Philippines The Philippine economy grew by 7.7% in the fourth quarter of 2021, as loosening mobility restrictions boosted consumer spending and corporate activity, bringing full-year growth to 5.6 percent and raising hopes for a quick recovery this year.
“This year’s growth was far quicker than most analyst predictions, putting the country among the fastest-growing in the area. “Despite the impact of Typhoon Odette, this is a strong indication that we are on pace to speedy recovery,” Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick Chua said in a press briefing Thursday, reading a joint statement from the government’s economic managers.
Chua cited Bloomberg data to claim that Singapore’s GDP grew by 7.5 percent last year, Vietnam’s by 2.6 percent, while the rest of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) estimated growth ranged from 1% to 4%.
The full-year GDP growth of 5.6 percent in 2021 surpasses the Development Budget Coordination Committee’s target of 5.0 to 5.5 percent.
“We believe that by 2022, we will have not only recovered to pre-pandemic levels, but will also have achieved upper-middle income country status. Throughout the Duterte administration, we have implemented a number of game-changing changes, and we will not slow down in the coming months. “We will continue to undertake structural changes that will strengthen our growth prospects and make the country more robust to future crises,” he said.
He credited Congress with adopting the Retail Trade Liberalization Act and the Foreign Investments Act revisions.
Chua emphasized the importance of completing the economic liberalization reforms by completing the bicameral conference approval and passage of the Amendments to the Public Service Act before Congress adjourns in February.
“This significant legislation will allow foreign investment in important areas such as telecommunications and transportation, as long as the essential protections are in place. This would result in more meaningful job opportunities, increased innovation, reduced pricing, and higher quality goods and services for all Filipinos,” he added.
Despite the impact of Typhoon Odette, which lowered full-year growth by an estimated 0.05 percentage point, Chua, chief of the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA), claimed the 7.7% GDP was accomplished in the last three months of last year.
“Right now, we’re working on the Post-Disaster Needs Assessment and several regional recovery plans, which we expect to finish by the end of the month so that we can speed up the recovery of these afflicted areas,” he said.
Economic managers are hopeful of surpassing pre-pandemic levels this year, according to Chua, citing last year’s robust economic performance.
“At the end of 2021, we’ll be pretty close to the pre-pandemic level. If you look at nominal levels, they are nearly identical; we are only a few hundred billion (pesos) short, so we will surpass it in 2022,” he added.
Meanwhile, Dennis Mapa, the Philippine Statistics Authority’s (PSA) chief and National Statistician, stated the country’s nominal GDP for full-year 2021 was estimated at PHP19.387 trillion, up from PHP19.518 trillion in pre-pandemic 2019.
Despite the fact that the risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) increased at the start of 2022 as a result of the highly transmissible Omicron variant, Chua said the country has experienced fewer severe cases and deaths than the total number of cases due to an accelerated vaccination program and improvements in the healthcare system.
“So, in the next weeks, I believe there will be an opportunity for us to drop the alert level. “As long as we go back to Alert Level 2 or lower by the end of this quarter, we’ll be on target for full-year growth,” he said.
According to the NEDA, moving the National Capital Region (NCR) Plus area from Alert Level 3 to Alert Level 2 is estimated to increase gross value added by PHP3 billion.
“This year, the biggest threat(s) is/are any unknown viral variants. Aside from that, there aren’t any surprises. “Inflation (oil and food) are two other threats that we are aware of and managing,” Chua said.
He added the country’s current policies are addressing the potential inflation risk posed by global food price increases, including greater support for the rice sector through the rice competitiveness development fund.
“As you are aware, all tariffs collected are used to help the rice industry boost productivity, and as you can see from today’s report, the rice sector grew strongly even during this period. “We’re working on a law to boost the productivity of the cattle, poultry, and dairy industries so that producers may improve their production while consumers benefit from cheaper pricing,” he continued.
According to Chua, the industry and services sectors expanded by 8.2 percent and 5.3 percent, respectively, for the whole year 2021, reflecting a substantial return from the previous year’s contractions.
He said the agriculture sector, on the other hand, had a minor drop of 0.3 percent as a result of ongoing issues such as African swine disease and severe typhoons.
Chua said that private consumption increased by 4.2 percent in 2018, a sharp contrast to the -7.9% growth in 2020.
“As a result of the eased quarantine rules and the faster vaccination program, consumer confidence is returning,” he stated.
According to Chua, investments grew by 19 percent in 2019, up from -34.4 percent in 2020, boosted by a 37.4 percent increase in public construction as the government pushed ahead with the implementation of the plan “Build, Build, Build” is a program to improve infrastructure. (PNA)
What is the Philippines’ current GDP and GNP in 2021?
- In December 2021, the Philippines’ Gross National Product (GNP) was estimated to be 117.397 USD billion.
- This is an increase from the previous figure of 95.239 USD billion in September 2021.
- Philippines Gross National Product (GNP) data is updated quarterly, with 164 observations from Mar 1981 to Dec 2021, averaging 23.953 USD bn.
- The data ranged from a peak of 117.397 USD billion in December 2021 to a low of 6.715 USD billion in September 1985.
- CEIC Statistics reports Philippines Gross National Product (GNP) data, which is still operational in CEIC.
- The CEIC converts quarterly GNP into US dollars. In local currency, the Philippine Statistics Authority offers Gross National Product. For currency conversions, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas uses the average market exchange rate. Prior to Q1 2000, the Gross National Product was calculated using outdated data classification.
What is the current GDP for the year 2021?
In addition to updated fourth-quarter projections, today’s announcement includes revised third-quarter 2021 wages and salaries, personal taxes, and government social insurance contributions, all based on new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program. Wages and wages climbed by $306.8 billion in the third quarter, up $27.7 billion from the previous estimate. With the addition of this new statistics, real gross domestic income is now anticipated to have climbed 6.4 percent in the third quarter, a 0.6 percentage point gain over the prior estimate.
GDP for 2021
In 2021, real GDP climbed by 5.7 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major components of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
PCE increased as both products and services increased in value. “Other” nondurable items (including games and toys as well as medications), apparel and footwear, and recreational goods and automobiles were the major contributors within goods. Food services and accommodations, as well as health care, were the most significant contributors to services. Increases in equipment (dominated by information processing equipment) and intellectual property items (driven by software as well as research and development) partially offset a reduction in structures in nonresidential fixed investment (widespread across most categories). The rise in exports was due to an increase in products (mostly non-automotive capital goods), which was somewhat offset by a drop in services (led by travel as well as royalties and license fees). The increase in residential fixed investment was primarily due to the development of new single-family homes. An increase in wholesale commerce led to an increase in private inventory investment (mainly in durable goods industries).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP climbed by 10.1 percent (revised), or $2.10 trillion, to $23.00 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous forecast, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to a 1.2 percent gain. With food and energy prices excluded, the PCE price index grew 3.3 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
Real GDP grew 5.6 (revised) percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a fall of 2.3 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 5.6 percent (revised), compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index grew 5.5 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, versus a 1.2 percent increase. The PCE price index grew 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
What will the Philippines’ GDP be in 2022?
According to our econometric models, the Philippines GDP is expected to trend at 379.00 USD Billion in 2022.
In the Philippines, how is GDP calculated?
Both exports and imports are factored into the GDP calculation. Thus, a country’s GDP is equal to the sum of consumer spending (C), business investment (I), and government spending (G), as well as net exports (X M), which are total exports minus total imports.
In 2021, which country will have the greatest GDP?
What are the world’s largest economies? According to the International Monetary Fund, the following countries have the greatest nominal GDP in the world:
Why did the GDP rise in 2021?
Retail and wholesale trade industries led the increase in private inventory investment. The largest contributor to retail was inventory investment by automobile dealers. Increases in both products and services contributed to the increase in exports. Consumer products, industrial supplies and materials, and foods, feeds, and beverages were the biggest contributions to the growth in goods exports. Travel was the driving force behind the increase in service exports. The rise in PCE was mostly due to an increase in services, with health care, recreation, and transportation accounting for the majority of the increase. The increase in nonresidential fixed investment was mostly due to a rise in intellectual property items, which was partially offset by a drop in structures.
The reduction in federal spending was mostly due to lower defense spending on intermediate goods and services. State and local government spending fell as a result of lower consumption (driven by state and local government employee remuneration, particularly education) and gross investment (led by new educational structures). The rise in imports was mostly due to a rise in goods (led by non-food and non-automotive consumer goods, as well as capital goods).
After gaining 2.3 percent in the third quarter, real GDP increased by 6.9% in the fourth quarter. The fourth-quarter increase in real GDP was primarily due to an increase in exports, as well as increases in private inventory investment and PCE, as well as smaller decreases in residential fixed investment and federal government spending, which were partially offset by a decrease in state and local government spending. Imports have increased.
In the fourth quarter, current dollar GDP climbed 14.3% on an annual basis, or $790.1 billion, to $23.99 trillion. GDP increased by 8.4%, or $461.3 billion, in the third quarter (table 1 and table 3).
In the fourth quarter, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 6.9%, compared to 5.6 percent in the third quarter (table 4). The PCE price index climbed by 6.5 percent, compared to a 5.3 percent gain in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 4.9 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 4.6 percent overall.
Personal Income
In the fourth quarter, current-dollar personal income climbed by $106.3 billion, compared to $127.9 billion in the third quarter. Increases in compensation (driven by private earnings and salaries), personal income receipts on assets, and rental income partially offset a decline in personal current transfer receipts (particularly, government social assistance) (table 8). Following the end of pandemic-related unemployment programs, the fall in government social benefits was more than offset by a decrease in unemployment insurance.
In the fourth quarter, disposable personal income grew $14.1 billion, or 0.3 percent, compared to $36.7 billion, or 0.8 percent, in the third quarter. Real disposable personal income fell 5.8%, compared to a 4.3 percent drop in the previous quarter.
In the fourth quarter, personal savings totaled $1.34 trillion, compared to $1.72 trillion in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the personal saving rate (savings as a percentage of disposable personal income) was 7.4 percent, down from 9.5 percent in the third quarter.
In 2021, real GDP climbed 5.7 percent (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major subcomponents of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP expanded by 10.0 percent, or $2.10 trillion, to $22.99 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in the previous quarter. The PCE price index climbed 3.3 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Real GDP rose 5.5 percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a 2.3 percent fall from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases grew 5.5 percent, compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index climbed by 5.5 percent, compared to 1.2 percent for the year. The PCE price index increased 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, compared to 1.4 percent overall.
Source Data for the Advance Estimate
A Technical Note that is issued with the news release on BEA’s website contains information on the source data and major assumptions utilized in the advance estimate. Each version comes with a thorough “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file. Refer to the “Additional Details” section below for information on GDP updates.
In 2021, what was China’s GDP?
According to GDP statistics from 2021, China’s most productive provinces and cities are listed below. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, China’s GDP in 2021 was RMB 114.4 trillion (US$17.7 trillion), up around RMB 13 trillion (US$3 trillion) from 2020, or 8.1 percent year-on-year growth (NBS).
Where does the Philippines stand in terms of GDP?
According to the International Monetary Fund, the Philippines’ economy is the world’s 32nd largest by nominal GDP in 2021, the 12th largest in Asia, and the third largest in ASEAN after Indonesia and Thailand. The Philippines is one of the world’s fastest-growing emerging markets, and it is Southeast Asia’s third-largest economy by nominal GDP, after Thailand and Indonesia.
The Philippines is mainly thought of as a recently industrialized country with an economy that is transitioning from agriculture to services and manufacturing. GDP by purchasing power parity was predicted to be $1.47 trillion in 2021, ranking it 18th in the world.
Semiconductors and electronic items, transportation equipment, textiles, copper products, petroleum products, coconut oil, and fruits are among the country’s main exports. Japan, China, the United States, Singapore, South Korea, the Netherlands, Hong Kong, Germany, Taiwan, and Thailand are among its key commercial partners. The Philippines, along with Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Thailand, has been designated as one of the Tiger Cub Economies. Its economy is currently one of Asia’s fastest growing. However, important issues persist, most notably the enormous income and growth gaps across the country’s many regions and socioeconomic levels, as well as the need to reduce corruption and invest in the infrastructure required for future growth.
By 2050, the Philippines’ economy is expected to be the fourth largest in Asia and the 19th largest in the world. The Philippines’ economy is expected to grow to be the 25th largest in the world by 2035.
Is a higher or lower GDP preferable?
Gross domestic product (GDP) has traditionally been used by economists to gauge economic success. If GDP is increasing, the economy is doing well and the country is progressing. On the other side, if GDP declines, the economy may be in jeopardy, and the country may be losing ground.