The United States is a mature market economy with the biggest nominal GDP and net wealth in the world. After China, it has the second-largest purchasing power parity (PPP) economy. In 2021, it had the ninth highest nominal per capita GDP and the fifteenth highest PPP per capita GDP in the world. The United States possesses the world’s most technologically advanced and innovative economy. Its companies are on the cutting edge of technological advancements, particularly in artificial intelligence, computers, pharmaceuticals, and medical, aerospace, and military technology. The United States dollar is the most widely used currency in international transactions and the world’s most important reserve currency, supported by its economy, military, petrodollar system, and enormous U.S. treasury market. It is the official money of certain countries and the de facto currency of others. China, the European Union, Canada, Mexico, India, Japan, South Korea, the United Kingdom, and Taiwan are the top trading partners of the United States. The United States is the world’s top importer and exporter. It has free trade agreements in place or in the works with a number of nations, including the USMCA, Australia, South Korea, Switzerland, Israel, and others.
Natural resources, a well-developed infrastructure, and high productivity drive the economy of the country. With a total estimated value of Int$45 billion, it is the seventh most valuable country in terms of natural resources.
What is the GDP of the United States in 2020?
The rise in exports was mostly due to a rise in goods (led by industrial supplies and materials). Nonresidential fixed investment increased as a result of increases in all components, headed by equipment. Spending on services (headed by health care) accounted for more than half of the growth in PCE; spending on products fell (led by food and beverages). The rise in residential fixed investment was mostly due to new single-family house construction. The rise in private inventory investment was principally driven by increases in manufacturing and wholesale trade, which were partially offset by a drop in retail commerce.
In the fourth quarter, current dollar GDP climbed by 6.0 percent on an annual basis, or $309.2 billion, to $21.48 trillion. GDP climbed by 38.3 percent, or $1.65 trillion, in the third quarter (tables 1 and 3). The Key Source and Data Assumptions file on BEA’s website has more information on the source data that underpins the estimates.
In the fourth quarter, the price index for gross domestic purchases grew 1.7 percent, compared to 3.3 percent in the third quarter (table 4). The PCE price index rose 1.5 percent in the fourth quarter, compared to 3.7 percent in the previous quarter. The PCE price index climbed 1.4 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 3.4 percent overall.
In the fourth quarter, current-dollar personal income fell $339.7 billion, compared to $541.5 billion in the third quarter. Personal current transfer receipts (notably, government social benefits related to the winding down of CARES Act pandemic relief programs) and proprietors’ income, which were partly offset by increases in compensation and personal income receipts on assets, more than offset the decrease in personal income (table 8).
In the fourth quarter, disposable personal income fell $372.5 billion, or 8.1 percent, compared to $638.9 billion, or 13.2 percent, in the third quarter. Real disposable personal income fell by 9.5 percent, compared to 16.3 percent in the previous quarter.
In the fourth quarter, personal savings totaled $2.33 trillion, compared to $2.83 trillion in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the personal saving rate (savings as a proportion of disposable personal income) was 13.4 percent, down from 16.0 percent in the third quarter. “Effects of Selected Federal Pandemic Response Programs on Personal Income” provides more details on the elements that influence quarterly personal income and savings.
In 2020, real GDP fell 3.5 percent (from the 2019 annual level to the 2020 annual level), compared to a 2.2 percent growth in 2019. (table 1).
PCE, exports, private inventory investment, nonresidential fixed investment, and state and local government decreased real GDP in 2020, partially offset by increases in federal government spending and residential fixed investment. Imports are down (table 2).
A drop in services more than compensated for the decrease in PCE in 2020. (led by food services and accommodations, health care, and recreation services). The drop in exports was due to a drop in both services (driven by travel) and goods (mainly non-automotive capital goods). Private inventory investment fell as a result of broad losses in retail trade (mostly auto dealers) and wholesale trade (mainly durable goods industries). Structures (dominated by mining exploration, shafts, and wells) and equipment (headed by transportation equipment) decreased in nonresidential fixed investment, which was partly offset by an increase in intellectual property products (more than accounted for by software). The drop in state and local government spending corresponded to a drop in consumer spending (led by compensation).
The increase in federal spending was due to an increase in non-defense consumer spending (led by an increase in purchases of intermediate services that supported the processing and administration of Paycheck Protection Program loan applications by banks on behalf of the federal government). Increases in upgrades, as well as brokers’ commissions and other ownership transfer costs, accounted for the majority of the increase in residential fixed investment.
In 2020, current-dollar GDP fell 2.3 percent, or $500.6 billion, to $20.93 trillion, compared to a 4.0 percent, or $821.3 billion, growth in 2019. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2020, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 1.2 percent, compared to 1.6 percent in 2019. (table 4). In 2020, the PCE price index climbed 1.2 percent, compared to 1.5 percent in 2019. The PCE price index grew 1.4 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.7 percent overall.
Real GDP fell 2.5 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020, according to data (table 6). In comparison, in 2019 there was a 2.3 percent gain.
The price index for gross domestic purchases grew 1.3 percent in 2020, as assessed from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. In comparison, in 2019 there was a 1.4 percent gain. The PCE price index climbed by 1.2 percent, compared to a 1.5 percent increase in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 1.4 percent excluding food and energy, compared to 1.6 percent overall.
A Technical Note that is issued with the news release on BEA’s website contains information on the source data and important assumptions utilized for unavailable source data in the advance estimate. For each release, a thorough Key Source Data and Assumptions file is also available. See the “Additional Information” section below for more information on GDP updates.
What kind of economy does the United States have?
- The United States has a mixed economy, including elements of both capitalism and socialism.
- When it comes to capital utilization, a mixed economy celebrates economic freedom, but it also allows for government involvement for the greater good.
- With restrictions and licensing requirements, the US government regulates a portion of the economy, including education, courts, highways, hospital care, and postal service.
- In a mixed economy, the government’s involvement can also include financial measures such as monetary and fiscal policy.
What is the GDP forecast for 2021?
In addition to updated fourth-quarter projections, today’s announcement includes revised third-quarter 2021 wages and salaries, personal taxes, and government social insurance contributions, all based on new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program. Wages and wages climbed by $306.8 billion in the third quarter, up $27.7 billion from the previous estimate. With the addition of this new statistics, real gross domestic income is now anticipated to have climbed 6.4 percent in the third quarter, a 0.6 percentage point gain over the prior estimate.
GDP for 2021
In 2021, real GDP climbed by 5.7 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate (from the 2020 annual level to the 2021 annual level), compared to a 3.4 percent fall in 2020. (table 1). In 2021, all major components of real GDP increased, led by PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, residential fixed investment, and private inventory investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
PCE increased as both products and services increased in value. “Other” nondurable items (including games and toys as well as medications), apparel and footwear, and recreational goods and automobiles were the major contributors within goods. Food services and accommodations, as well as health care, were the most significant contributors to services. Increases in equipment (dominated by information processing equipment) and intellectual property items (driven by software as well as research and development) partially offset a reduction in structures in nonresidential fixed investment (widespread across most categories). The rise in exports was due to an increase in products (mostly non-automotive capital goods), which was somewhat offset by a drop in services (led by travel as well as royalties and license fees). The increase in residential fixed investment was primarily due to the development of new single-family homes. An increase in wholesale commerce led to an increase in private inventory investment (mainly in durable goods industries).
In 2021, current-dollar GDP climbed by 10.1 percent (revised), or $2.10 trillion, to $23.00 trillion, compared to 2.2 percent, or $478.9 billion, in 2020. (tables 1 and 3).
In 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous forecast, compared to 1.2 percent in 2020. (table 4). Similarly, the PCE price index grew 3.9 percent, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to a 1.2 percent gain. With food and energy prices excluded, the PCE price index grew 3.3 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
Real GDP grew 5.6 (revised) percent from the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (table 6), compared to a fall of 2.3 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020.
From the fourth quarter of 2020 to the fourth quarter of 2021, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed 5.6 percent (revised), compared to 1.4 percent from the fourth quarter of 2019 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The PCE price index grew 5.5 percent, unchanged from the previous estimate, versus a 1.2 percent increase. The PCE price index grew 4.6 percent excluding food and energy, which was unchanged from the previous estimate, compared to 1.4 percent.
What is the formula for calculating GDP?
GDP is thus defined as GDP = Consumption + Investment + Government Spending + Net Exports, or GDP = C + I + G + NX, where consumption (C) refers to private-consumption expenditures by households and nonprofit organizations, investment (I) refers to business expenditures, and net exports (NX) refers to net exports.
In 2021, what would India’s GDP be?
In its second advance estimates of national accounts released on Monday, the National Statistical Office (NSO) forecasted the country’s growth for 2021-22 at 8.9%, slightly lower than the 9.2% estimated in its first advance estimates released in January.
Furthermore, the National Statistics Office (NSO) reduced its estimates of GDP contraction for the coronavirus pandemic-affected last fiscal year (2020-21) to 6.6 percent. The previous projection was for a 7.3% decrease.
In April-June 2020, the Indian economy contracted 23.8 percent, and in July-September 2020, it contracted 6.6 percent.
“While an adverse base was expected to flatten growth in Q3 FY2022, the NSO’s initial estimates are far below our expectations (6.2 percent for GDP), with a marginal increase in manufacturing and a contraction in construction that is surprising given the heavy rains in the southern states,” said Aditi Nayar, Chief Economist at ICRA.
“GDP at constant (2011-12) prices is estimated at Rs 38.22 trillion in Q3 of 2021-22, up from Rs 36.26 trillion in Q3 of 2020-21, indicating an increase of 5.4 percent,” according to an official release.
According to the announcement, real GDP (GDP) or Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at constant (2011-12) prices is expected to reach Rs 147.72 trillion in 2021-22, up from Rs 135.58 trillion in the first updated estimate announced on January 31, 2022.
GDP growth is expected to be 8.9% in 2021-22, compared to a decline of 6.6 percent in 2020-21.
In terms of value, GDP in October-December 2021-22 was Rs 38,22,159 crore, up from Rs 36,22,220 crore in the same period of 2020-21.
According to NSO data, the manufacturing sector’s Gross Value Added (GVA) growth remained nearly steady at 0.2 percent in the third quarter of 2021-22, compared to 8.4 percent a year ago.
GVA growth in the farm sector was weak in the third quarter, at 2.6 percent, compared to 4.1 percent a year before.
GVA in the construction sector decreased by 2.8%, compared to 6.6% rise a year ago.
The electricity, gas, water supply, and other utility services segment grew by 3.7 percent in the third quarter of current fiscal year, compared to 1.5 percent growth the previous year.
Similarly, trade, hotel, transportation, communication, and broadcasting services expanded by 6.1 percent, compared to a decline of 10.1 percent a year ago.
In Q3 FY22, financial, real estate, and professional services growth was 4.6 percent, compared to 10.3 percent in Q3 FY21.
During the quarter under examination, public administration, defense, and other services expanded by 16.8%, compared to a decrease of 2.9 percent a year earlier.
Meanwhile, China’s economy grew by 4% between October and December of 2021.
“India’s GDP growth for Q3FY22 was a touch lower than our forecast of 5.7 percent, as the manufacturing sector grew slowly and the construction industry experienced unanticipated de-growth.” We have, however, decisively emerged from the pandemic recession, with all sectors of the economy showing signs of recovery.
“Going ahead, unlock trade will help growth in Q4FY22, as most governments have eliminated pandemic-related limitations, but weak rural demand and geopolitical shock from the Russia-Ukraine conflict may impair global growth and supply chains.” The impending pass-through of higher oil and gas costs could affect domestic demand mood, according to Elara Capital economist Garima Kapoor.
“Strong growth in the services sector and a pick-up in private final consumption expenditure drove India’s real GDP growth to 5.4 percent in Q3.” While agriculture’s growth slowed in Q3, the construction sector’s growth became negative.
“On the plus side, actual expenditure levels in both the private and public sectors are greater than they were before the pandemic.
“Given the encouraging trends in government revenues and spending until January 2022, as well as the upward revision in the nominal GDP growth rate for FY22, the fiscal deficit to GDP ratio for FY22 may come out better than what the (federal) budget projected,” said Rupa Rege Nitsure, group chief economist, L&T Financial Holdings.
“The growth number is pretty disappointing,” Sujan Hajra, chief economist of Mumbai-based Anand Rathi Securities, said, citing weaker rural consumer demand and investments as reasons.
After crude prices soared beyond $100 a barrel, India, which imports virtually all of its oil, might face a wider trade imbalance, a weaker rupee, and greater inflation, with a knock to GDP considered as the main concern.
“We believe the fiscal and monetary policy accommodation will remain, given the geopolitical volatility and crude oil prices,” Hajra added.
According to Nomura, a 10% increase in oil prices would shave 0.2 percentage points off India’s GDP growth while adding 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points to retail inflation.
Widening sanctions against Russia are likely to have a ripple impact on India, according to Sakshi Gupta, senior economist at HDFC Bank.
“We see a 20-30 basis point downside risk to our base predictions,” she said. For the time being, HDFC expects the GDP to rise 8.2% in the coming fiscal year.
What is the complete form of GDP?
The total monetary or market worth of all finished goods and services produced inside a country’s borders in a certain time period is known as GDP. It serves as a comprehensive scorecard of a country’s economic health because it is a wide measure of entire domestic production.
Is a high GDP beneficial?
GDP is significant because it provides information on the size and performance of an economy. The pace of increase in real GDP is frequently used as a gauge of the economy’s overall health. An increase in real GDP is viewed as a sign that the economy is performing well in general.
What are the three methods for calculating GDP?
The value added approach, the income approach (how much is earned as revenue on resources utilized to make items), and the expenditures approach can all be used to calculate GDP (how much is spent on stuff).
What is an example of GDP?
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a metric that measures the worth of a country’s economic activities. GDP is the sum of the market values, or prices, of all final goods and services produced in an economy during a given time period. Within this seemingly basic concept, however, there are three key distinctions:
- GDP is a metric that measures the value of a country’s output in local currency.
- GDP attempts to capture all final commodities and services generated within a country, ensuring that the final monetary value of everything produced in that country is represented in the GDP.
- GDP is determined over a set time period, usually a year or quarter of a year.
Computing GDP
Let’s look at how to calculate GDP now that we know what it is. GDP is the monetary value of all the goods and services generated in an economy, as we all know. Consider Country B, which exclusively produces bananas and backrubs. In the first year, they produce 5 bananas for $1 each and 5 backrubs worth $6 each. This year’s GDP is (quantity of bananas X price of bananas) + (quantity of backrubs X price of backrubs), or (5 X $1) + (5 X $6) = $35 for the country. The equation grows longer as more commodities and services are created. For every good and service produced within the country, GDP = (quantity of A X price of A) + (quantity of B X price of B) + (quantity of whatever X price of whatever).
To compute GDP in the real world, the market values of many products and services must be calculated.
While GDP’s total output is essential, the breakdown of that output into the economy’s big structures is often just as important.
In general, macroeconomists utilize a set of categories to break down an economy into its key components; in this case, GDP is equal to the total of consumer spending, investment, government purchases, and net exports, as represented by the equation:
- The sum of household expenditures on durable commodities, nondurable items, and services is known as consumer spending, or C. Clothing, food, and health care are just a few examples.
- The sum of spending on capital equipment, inventories, and structures is referred to as investment (I).
- Machinery, unsold items, and homes are just a few examples.
- G stands for government spending, which is the total amount of money spent on products and services by all government agencies.
- Naval ships and government employee wages are two examples.
- Net exports, or NX, is the difference between foreigners’ spending on local goods and domestic residents’ expenditure on foreign goods.
- Net exports, to put it another way, is the difference between exports and imports.
GDP vs. GNP
GDP is just one technique to measure an economy’s overall output. Another technique is to calculate the Gross National Product, or GNP. As previously stated, GDP is the total value of all products and services generated in a country. GNP narrows the definition slightly: it is the total value of all goods and services generated by permanent residents of a country, regardless of where they are located. The important distinction between GDP and GNP is based on how production is counted by foreigners in a country vs nationals outside of that country. Output by foreigners within a country is counted in the GDP of that country, whereas production by nationals outside of that country is not. Production by foreigners within a country is not considered for GNP, while production by nationals from outside the country is. GNP, on the other hand, is the value of goods and services produced by citizens of a country, whereas GDP is the value of goods and services produced by a country’s citizens.
For example, in Country B (shown in ), nationals produce bananas while foreigners produce backrubs.
Figure 1 shows that Country B’s GDP in year one is (5 X $1) + (5 X $6) = $35.
Because the $30 from backrubs is added to the GNP of the immigrants’ home country, the GNP of country B is (5 X $1) = $5.
The distinction between GDP and GNP is theoretically significant, although it is rarely relevant in practice.
GDP and GNP are usually quite close together because the majority of production within a country is done by its own citizens.
Macroeconomists use GDP as a measure of a country’s total output in general.
Growth Rate of GDP
GDP is a great way to compare the economy at two different times in time. This comparison can then be used to calculate a country’s overall output growth rate.
Subtract 1 from the amount obtained by dividing the GDP for the first year by the GDP for the second year to arrive at the GDP growth rate.
This technique of calculating total output growth has an obvious flaw: both increases in the price of products produced and increases in the quantity of goods produced result in increases in GDP.
As a result, determining whether the volume of output is changing or the price of output is changing from the GDP growth rate is challenging.
Because of this constraint, an increase in GDP does not always suggest that an economy is increasing.
For example, if Country B produced 5 bananas value $1 each and 5 backrubs of $6 each in a year, the GDP would be $35.
If the price of bananas rises to $2 next year and the quantity produced remains constant, Country B’s GDP will be $40.
While the market value of Country B’s goods and services increased, the quantity of goods and services produced remained unchanged.
Because fluctuations in GDP are not always related to economic growth, this factor can make comparing GDP from one year to the next problematic.
Real GDP vs. Nominal GDP
Macroeconomists devised two types of GDP, nominal GDP and real GDP, to deal with the uncertainty inherent in GDP growth rates.
- The total worth of all produced goods and services at current prices is known as nominal GDP. This is the GDP that was discussed in the previous parts. When comparing sheer output with time rather than the value of output, nominal GDP is more informative than real GDP.
- The total worth of all produced goods and services at constant prices is known as real GDP.
- The prices used to calculate real GDP are derived from a certain base year.
- It is possible to compare economic growth from one year to the next in terms of production of goods and services rather than the market value of these products and services by leaving prices constant in the computation of real GDP.
- In this way, real GDP removes the effects of price fluctuations from year-to-year output comparisons.
Choosing a base year is the first step in computing real GDP. Use the GDP equation with year 3 numbers and year 1 prices to calculate real GDP in year 3 using year 1 as the base year. Real GDP equals (10 X $1) + (9 X $6) = $64 in this situation. The nominal GDP in year three is (10 X $2) + (9 X $6) = $74 in comparison. Because the price of bananas climbed from year one to year three, nominal GDP grew faster than actual GDP during this period.
GDP Deflator
Nominal GDP and real GDP convey various aspects of the shift when comparing GDP between years. Nominal GDP takes into account both quantity and price changes. Real GDP, on the other hand, just measures changes in quantity and is unaffected by price fluctuations. Because of this distinction, a third relevant statistic can be calculated once nominal and real GDP have been computed. The GDP deflator is the nominal GDP to real GDP ratio minus one for a particular year. The GDP deflator, in effect, shows how much of the change in GDP from a base year is due to changes in the price level.
Let’s say we want to calculate the GDP deflator for Country B in year 3 using as the base year.
To calculate the GDP deflator, we must first calculate both nominal and real GDP in year 3.
By rearranging the elements in the GDP deflator equation, nominal GDP may be calculated by multiplying real GDP and the GDP deflator.
This equation displays the distinct information provided by each of these output measures.
Changes in quantity are captured by real GDP.
Changes in the price level are captured by the GDP deflator.
Nominal GDP takes into account both price and quantity changes.
You can break down a change in GDP into its component changes in price level and change in quantities produced using nominal GDP, real GDP, and the GDP deflator.
GDP Per Capita
When describing the size and growth of a country’s economy, GDP is the single most helpful number. However, it’s crucial to think about how GDP relates to living standards. After all, a country’s economy is less essential to its residents than the level of living it delivers.
GDP per capita, calculated by dividing GDP by the population size, represents the average amount of GDP received by each individual, and hence serves as an excellent indicator of an economy’s level of life.
The value of GDP per capita is the income of a representative individual because GDP equals national income.
This figure is directly proportional to one’s standard of living.
In general, the higher a country’s GDP per capita, the higher its level of living.
Because of the differences in population between countries, GDP per capita is a more relevant indicator for measuring level of living than GDP.
If a country has a high GDP but a large population, each citizen may have a low income and so live in deplorable circumstances.
A country, on the other hand, may have a moderate GDP but a small population, resulting in a high individual income.
By comparing standard of living among countries using GDP per capita, the problem of GDP division among a country’s residents is avoided.