“While cash isn’t a growth asset, it will typically stay up with inflation in nominal terms if inflation is accompanied by rising short-term interest rates,” she continues.
CFP and founder of Dare to Dream Financial Planning Anna N’Jie-Konte agrees. With the epidemic demonstrating how volatile the economy can be, N’Jie-Konte advises maintaining some money in a high-yield savings account, money market account, or CD at all times.
“Having too much wealth is an underappreciated risk to one’s financial well-being,” she adds. N’Jie-Konte advises single-income households to lay up six to nine months of cash, and two-income households to set aside six months of cash.
Lassus recommends that you keep your short-term CDs until we have a better idea of what longer-term inflation might look like.
What is the best course of action during an inflationary period?
Consider inflation as an opportunity to reassess your entire portfolio, as it occurs with or without our permission. Even though inflation had recently risen, interest rates remained near-record lows as of August 2021.
One of the most effective strategies to battle inflation is to make sure you’re properly diversified and fully invested on a regular basis. Long-term, money invested in stocks tends to beat inflation, whereas real estate, commodities, TIPS, and I-bonds can only provide more diversification. If interest rates begin to climb, cash on the sidelines would lose value, while long-term bonds will be impacted.
In general, inflationary periods (whether temporary or permanent) provide an opportunity to review your financial condition and make adjustments for the future.
How do you safeguard yourself in an inflationary environment?
If you use at least one of these investment strategies, you will be able to offset the impact of inflation. If you stick to the first two, you’ll be fine as inflation starts to rise. Follow three, and let your imagination run wild!
Buy Physical Gold and Silver
You may totally protect yourself against inflation by investing your dollars in tangible assets such as gold or silver. The price of these precious metals tends to rise as the value of the dollar decreases.
Furthermore, silver differs from gold in that it is in limited supply and is employed by major corporations all over the world. Silver is still used where gold is hoarded, and its value will only rise as the silver supply decreases over time. Having a mix of each of these precious metals on hand is an excellent method to guard against growing inflation. To avoid being duped, make sure you have the metals on hand and buy them from a reputable merchant.
Invest In Other Currency
If the value of the US dollar falls, the value of other currencies rises (at least relatively). The Euro is 1.5 times the worth of the dollar, according to my calculations, but don’t take my word for it. If you choose to invest in other currencies, make sure you understand what you’re doing because it may be incredibly risky if you don’t.
However, if you play the market correctly, you can still come out on top by diversifying your currency holdings in your investing portfolio. Again, make sure you have physical currency on hand, as market-based “derivatives” of paper currency can be manipulated, putting you at greater danger than if you had it physically.
Invest in Positive Cashflow Producing Real Estate
If you’re going to put your money into real estate outside of your own home, make sure the properties you buy will generate a positive cash flow on a regular basis. If you’re not sure what that implies, make sure that the renter’s monthly rent covers all of the property’s maintenance costs. Also, save some money aside for yourself because this is a form of passive income.
The beauty of owning cash flow real estate is that you not only make money on a monthly basis, but you also have the potential for asset appreciation. You also get to generate phantom income by deducting the depreciation of the property’s structure over time. Whatever you do, avoid investing in a property that will generate a negative cash flow from day one…this property will eat you alive, even if its value rises. I would strongly encourage you to seek expert guidance from your advisers and mentors before investing in real estate.
Start a Business
You begin to construct an asset by beginning a business, which increases or decreases in value as inflation rises or falls. The rate of inflation has no direct impact on the value of your firm, but it does have an impact on the prices you may charge for the goods and services you give to the market.
You may mitigate the effects of inflation by managing your business cash flow each month and using the additional cash flow to invest in real estate and physical precious metals. Working, on the other hand, provides you very little, if any, influence over your earnings.
Find The Highest Interest Bearing Saving’s and Checking Accounts
Even if inflation becomes extremely high, we will all need to keep some cash on hand at all times. Keep your money in the highest-paying savings/checking accounts (here’s a list of the finest Online Savings Accounts) or treasury inflation-protection securities to put yourself in the best possible position (TIPS).
As inflation rises, these vehicles will be safer for your money than others that don’t earn interest or more speculative investments. No matter what the rate of inflation is, having cash on hand is essential. Just make sure you’re getting the best interest rate available, regardless of where you keep your money.
These are the best recommendations I can make to assist you weather any “inflation storm” that we are certain to face. If you have any other recommendations for readers, please leave them in the comments!
What industries benefit from inflation?
Inflationary times tend to favor five sectors, according to Hartford Funds strategist Sean Markowicz: utilities, real estate investment trusts, energy, consumer staples, and healthcare.
Do banks fare well in times of inflation?
Inflation in the United States continues to rise, with the price index for American consumer spending (PCE index), the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, rising at a rate of 4.2 percent in the year ended July, its highest level in over 30 years. Furthermore, core prices rose 3.6 percent, excluding volatile goods like food and energy. The figures come as a result of rising demand for products and services, which has outpaced supply systems’ ability to keep up following the Covid-19 lockdowns. Although the Fed is optimistic that inflation will fall, noting that it would likely lower its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases this year, the figure is still significantly above the Fed’s target of 2% inflation.
However, we believe that inflation will continue to be slightly higher than historical levels for some years. Personal savings, for example, have increased as a result of the epidemic, and the continuance of low interest rates over the next two years could result in higher prices for goods and services. Companies in the banking, insurance, consumer staples, and energy sectors are among the companies in our Inflation Stocks category that could stay steady or even benefit from high inflation. Compared to the S&P 500, which is up roughly 18% year to date, the theme has returned around 15%. Exxon Mobil has been the best performer in our topic, with a year-to-date gain of 28 percent. Chubb’s stock has also performed well this year, with a gain of roughly 20% thus far. Procter & Gamble, on the other hand, has been the worst performer, with its stock climbing only roughly 4% year to date.
Inflation in the United States surged to its highest level since 2008 in June, as the economy continues to recover from the Covid-19-related lockdowns. According to the Labor Department, the consumer price index increased by 5.4 percent year over year, while the core price index, which excludes food and energy, increased by 4.5 percent. Prices have risen as a result of increased demand for products and services, which has outpaced enterprises’ ability to meet it. Although supply-side bottlenecks should be resolved in the coming quarters, variables such as large stimulus spending, a jump in the US personal savings rate, and a continuance of the low-interest rate environment over the next two years could suggest inflation will remain high in the near future.
So, how should equities investors respond to the current inflationary climate? Companies in the banking, insurance, consumer staples, and energy sectors are among the companies in our Inflation Stocks category that could stay steady or even benefit from high inflation. Year-to-date, the theme has returned nearly 16%, roughly in line with the S&P 500. It has, however, underperformed since the end of 2019, remaining about flat in comparison to the S&P 500, which is up around 35%. Exxon Mobil, the world’s largest oil and gas company, has been the best performer in our topic, with a year-to-date gain of about 43%. Procter & Gamble, on the other hand, has underperformed, with its price holding approximately flat.
Inflation in the United States has been rising as a result of plentiful liquidity, skyrocketing demand following the Covid-19 lockdowns, and supply-side limitations. The Federal Reserve increased its inflation projections for 2021 on Wednesday, forecasting a 3.4 percent increase in personal consumption expenditures – its preferred inflation gauge – this year, a full percentage point more than its March projection of 2.4 percent. The central bank made no adjustments to its ambitious bond-buying program and said interest rates will remain near zero percent through 2023, while signaling two rate hikes.
So, how should stock investors respond to the current inflationary climate and the possibility of increased interest rates? Stocks in the banking, insurance, consumer staples, and energy sectors might stay constant or possibly gain from increasing inflation rates, according to our Inflation Stocks theme. The theme has outpaced the market, with a year-to-date return of almost 17% vs just over 13% for the S&P 500. It has, however, underperformed since the end of 2019, remaining about flat in comparison to the S&P 500, which is up almost 31%. Exxon Mobil, the world’s largest oil and gas company, has been the best performer in our subject, climbing 56 percent year to far. Procter & Gamble, on the other hand, has lagged the market this year, with its shares down approximately 5%.
Inflation has been rising, owing to central banks’ expansionary monetary policies, pent-up demand for commodities following the Coivd-19 lockdowns, company inventory replenishment or build-up, and major supply-side constraints. Now it appears that inflation is here to stay, with the 10-Year Breakeven Inflation rate, which represents predicted inflation rates over the next ten years, hovering around 2.4 percent, its highest level since 2013.
So, how should equities investors respond to the current inflationary climate? Stocks To Play Rising Inflation is a subject that contains stocks that could stay stable or possibly gain from higher inflation rates. The theme has outpaced the market, with a year-to-date return of almost 18% vs just over 12% for the S&P 500. However, it has underperformed since the end of 2019, returning only roughly 1% compared to 30% for the S&P 500. The theme consists primarily of stocks in the banking, insurance, consumer staples, and energy sectors, all of which are expected to gain from greater inflation in the long run. Metals, building materials, and electronics manufacturing have been eliminated because they performed exceptionally well during the initial reopening but appear to be nearing their peak. Here’s some more information on the stocks and sectors that make up our theme.
Banking Stocks: Banks profit from the net interest spread, which is the difference between the interest rates on deposits and the interest rates on loans they make. Higher inflation now often leads to higher interest rates, which can help banks increase their net interest revenue and earnings. Banks, on the other hand, will benefit from increased credit card spending by customers. Citigroup and U.S. Bank are two banks in our subject that have a stronger exposure to retail banking. Citigroup’s stock is up 26% year to date, while U.S. Bancorp is up 28%.
Insurance stocks: Underwriting surplus cash is often invested to create interest revenue by insurance companies. Inflationary pressures, which result in increased interest rates, can now aid boost their profits. Companies like The Travelers Companies and Chubb, who rely on investment income more than their peers in the insurance industry, should profit. This year, Travelers stock has increased by around 12%, while Chubb has increased by 8%.
Consumer staples: Consumer equities should be able to withstand increasing inflation. Because these enterprises deal with critical products, demand remains consistent, and they can pass on greater costs to customers. Our theme includes tobacco behemoth Altria Group, which is up 21% this year, food and beverage behemoth PepsiCo, which is almost flat, and consumer goods behemoth Procter & Gamble, which is down around 1%.
Oil and Gas: During periods of rising consumer prices, energy equities have performed admirably. While growing economies are good for oil demand and pricing, huge oil corporations have a lot of operating leverage, which allows them to make more money as revenue climbs. Exxon Mobil, which has gained a stunning 43 percent this year, and Chevron, which has risen roughly 23 percent, are two of our theme’s picks.
Heavy equipment manufacturers, electrical systems suppliers, automation solutions providers, and semiconductor fabrication equipment players are among the companies in our Capex Cycle Stocks category that stand to benefit from increased capital investment by businesses and the government.
What if you’d rather have a more well-balanced portfolio? Since the end of 2016, this high-quality portfolio has regularly outperformed the market.
How can I plan for inflation in 2022?
During inflationary periods, stocks are often a safe refuge. This is because stocks have typically produced total returns that have outperformed inflation. And certain stocks outperform others when it comes to combating inflation. Many recommended lists for 2022 include small-cap, dividend growth, consumer products, financial, energy, and emerging markets stocks. Industries that are recovering from the pandemic, such as tourism, leisure, and hospitality, are also receiving a thumbs up.
Another tried-and-true inflation hedge is real estate. For the year 2022, residential real estate is considered as a safe haven. Building supplies and home construction are likewise being advocated as inflation-busters. REITs, or publicly traded organizations that own real estate or mortgages, provide a means to invest in real estate without actually purchasing properties.
Commodity investments could be one of the most effective inflation hedges. Agriculture products and raw resources can be exchanged like securities. Gold, oil, natural gas, grain, meat, and coffee are just a few of the commodities that traders buy and sell. Using futures contracts and exchange-traded funds, investors can allocate a portion of their portfolios towards commodities.
During inflationary periods, bonds are often unpopular investments since the return does not keep pace with the loss of purchasing power. Treasury inflation-protected securities are a common exception (TIPS). As the CPI rises, the value of these government-backed bonds rises, removing the danger of inflation.
TIPS prices rose dramatically in tandem with inflation expectations in 2021. To put it another way, these inflation hedges are no longer as appealing as they were a year ago. Savings bonds, which the US Treasury offers directly to investors, are attracting some inflation-avoiders.
Is gold a good inflation hedge?
- Gold is sometimes touted as a hedge against inflation, as its value rises when the dollar’s purchase power diminishes.
- Government bonds, on the other hand, are more secure and have been demonstrated to pay greater rates as inflation rises, and Treasury TIPS include built-in inflation protection.
- For most investors, ETFs that invest in gold while also holding Treasuries may be the best option.
How can I keep my investments safe from UK inflation?
Talib Sheikh, Multi-Head Asset’s of Strategy, explains why high inflation is harmful for investors and what they can do to protect their money’s purchasing power.
Inflation in the United Kingdom is at historic highs, and the Bank of England expects it to rise even more this spring. According to the most recent numbers, prices rose by 5.4 percent from December 2020 to December 2021, the highest increase in at least 30 years. This is exacerbated by record low interest rates, making the situation even more difficult for savers. Savings rates were frequently higher than inflation in the 1980s and 1990s, therefore cash savers made money in real terms. With interest rates sitting just near zero, savers are losing almost the whole inflation rate. To find something similar, you’ll have to travel back nearly 50 years. At current levels, even “safe” lower-risk investments like investment grade credit and government bonds are diminishing investors’ real spending power.
The real question is how long this will go on. ‘Transitory’, short-term bottlenecks connected with re-opening have received a lot of attention. Because we were in a post-pandemic phase of very low inflation this time last year, inflation appears to be high. It began to rise in spring 2021, thus the data will start to look less scary starting this spring.
Inflation in the United Kingdom, on the other hand, is expected to remain structurally higher than in the post-GFC period. The epidemic appears to have had long-term consequences on employment, bringing retirement and lifestyle changes forward, in addition to the loss of EU nationals following Brexit, which has resulted in higher salaries. For the foreseeable future, the Brexit transition will impose frictional costs on UK businesses. Furthermore, fiscal spending is expected to continue high: austerity in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis is no longer fashionable.
These factors contribute to the market’s forecast of a stunning 4% inflation rate for the UK over the next ten years. What about the savings rates on the other side of the equation? The ten-year interest rate in the United Kingdom has risen, although it is still only 1.5 percent. Andrew Bailey mentions raising interest rates to combat inflation, but he can only go so far. Over the last 10 years, UK homeowners have failed to lower debt levels, implying that the housing market remains a significant element of the UK economy. As a result, the UK is unable to accept interest rates that are significantly higher.
As a result, the problem of inflation eroding cash savings and low-risk investments isn’t going away anytime soon. At 4% inflation, a 100,000 cash investment earning 1% interest (which already assumes two more Bank of England rate hikes) loses a fifth of its real value in just ten years.
Investing is one strategy for people to protect themselves against inflation. While traditional assets such as high-quality credit offer low returns, equities, high-yield debt, emerging markets, and alternatives can provide significantly higher returns while also exposing investors to greater risk.
Investors in the United Kingdom who do nothing risk seeing their rainy-day accounts, retirement savings, and vacation funds decimated at the fastest rate in history by inflation. There are, however, other options for investors who want to be protected from inflation. When it comes to achieving the highest potential returns, investing in a multi-asset fund provides flexibility and a broader toolkit. This is accomplished by investing in higher-yielding, higher-risk asset classes while using diversification and active management to manage risk. As a result, even if the threat of inflation has never been higher, it is still conceivable to expand and protect capital in real terms, but it will require a different approach than in the past.
How can you protect yourself against hyperinflation?
The constant mention of inflation on the news is a little concerning. Is there any way to defend oneself on a daily basis from it?
A: It seems that whenever people talk about inflation, some people want to start accumulating gold, fill every container they own with gasoline, and bury their money under their mattresses. But, don’t worry, you can plan for inflation and deal with the consequences without becoming worried.
Regardless of inflation, you still have power over your money. If you live on a documented, monthly budget, you’ll be able to ensure that your money is going to the proper places while also identifying areas where you may minimize costs. If you see that the cost of essentials like food and petrol is increasing in your location, you’ll need to alter your budget accordingly. You’ll know exactly what you’re dealing with, and you’ll be able to avoid any unpleasant surprises.
Look for particular ways to cut your grocery expenditure or save money on petrol if you’re truly feeling the squeeze and want to save even more. Perhaps it’s time to switch to generic brands or organize a work carpool. If you find good bargains on canned food and other items that you can stock your pantry with things you’ll actually use go ahead and stock up. Before you go to the food shop, be sure you’ve budgeted for it. You’ll want to know exactly how much you’re going to spend ahead of time so you don’t get caught up in impulse purchases.
Whether you like it or not, inflation is a reality. If you plan on retiring someday, the cost of a loaf of bread, a tank of gas, or even a cup of coffee will almost certainly have increased. The greatest approach to protect yourself from inflation, which is unavoidable, is to invest your money as soon as possible. But keep in mind that if you have debts other than your mortgage and don’t have a three- to six-month emergency fund, you must address those issues first!
What steps should you take to prepare for hyperinflation?
Sure, it took some getting used to at first, but with some careful planning and efficient scheduling, we’ve settled in nicely. Of course, we’re both retired, so it works for us, but it might not for dual-income families or families with multiple activities for their children.
Stock Up On Food and Water
I propose storing non-perishable food for any eventuality, not just hyperinflation, as a prepper. Stock up on non-perishable groceries, bottled water, and meat to help save money in the future. If you’re not sure what to buy, have a look at my suggestions below:
Stock Up on Household Items
During hyperinflation, not only will food prices rise, but so will the prices of ordinary household commodities like dish soap, laundry detergent, and hygiene products. Make a list of the Essential Items Every Family Requires and begin stocking up before prices rise.
Become More Self Sufficient
Food and water may become more difficult to obtain, especially if hyperinflation occurs. When you have mouths to feed, that’s a difficult pill to swallow. Consider employing a section of your property as a food source if possible.
To be self-sufficient, you don’t need a lot of land or to live in the country. To assist offer more food and financial security, you can do modest things like establish a garden, rear meat rabbits, or keep a few natural treatments on hand.
Stock Medicine and First Aid Supplies
You don’t want to overlook Tylenol, cough syrup, allergy medicine, or vitamins. Here are 35 OTC Medications You Should Keep in Your Medicine Cabinet. In addition to over-the-counter drugs, you should have a good first-aid kit on hand.
Bandages and Neosporin are insufficient! For various injuries, you’ll need a range of supplies. Check out my First Aid Kit Checklist if you’re not sure what you’ll need.
Consider a Side Job
You never know when you might lose your job, and losing your employment amid hyperinflation would be disastrous. Even if your employment is somewhat safe, you should consider adding another source of income to ensure that you have enough money flowing in as costs rise.
Having a secondary source of income is always a smart idea, and it could save you from the worst-case scenario. Consider freelance work, babysitting, pet sitting, or joining TaskRabbit as a handyman.