There’s no need to panic in the face of a slowing economy, but you should keep a close eye on your spending and avoid taking excessive risks. There are numerous positive steps you can take to improve your circumstances and recession-proof your life even if you are in the midst of a severe economic downturn. Adopting a realistic budget, setting up an emergency fund, and producing additional streams of income are just a few of them.
What will thrive in a downturn?
- While some industries are more vulnerable to economic fluctuations, others tend to do well during downturns.
- However, no organization or industry is immune to a recession or economic downturn.
- During the COVID-19 epidemic, the consumer goods and alcoholic beverage sectors functioned admirably.
- During recessions and other calamities, such as a pandemic, consumer basics such as toothpaste, soap, and shampoo have consistent demand.
- Because their fundamental products are cheaper, discount businesses do exceptionally well during recessions.
Before a recession, what should you do with your money?
During a recession, you might be tempted to sell all of your investments, but experts advise against doing so. When the rest of the economy is fragile, there are usually a few sectors that continue to grow and provide investors with consistent returns.
Consider investing in the healthcare, utilities, and consumer goods sectors if you wish to protect yourself in part with equities during a recession. Regardless of the health of the economy, people will continue to spend money on medical care, household items, electricity, and food. As a result, during busts, these stocks tend to fare well (and underperform during booms).
Is it beneficial to have cash during a downturn?
- You have a sizable emergency fund. Always try to save enough money to cover three to six months’ worth of living expenditures, with the latter end of that range being preferable. If you happen to be there and have any spare cash, feel free to invest it. If not, make sure to set aside money for an emergency fund first.
- You intend to leave your portfolio alone for at least seven years. It’s not for the faint of heart to invest during a downturn. You might think you’re getting a good deal when you buy, only to see your portfolio value drop a few days later. Taking a long-term strategy to investing is the greatest way to avoid losses and come out ahead during a recession. Allow at least seven years for your money to grow.
- You’re not going to monitor your portfolio on a regular basis. When the economy is terrible and the stock market is volatile, you may feel compelled to check your brokerage account every day to see how your portfolio is doing. But you can’t do that if you’re planning to invest during a recession. The more you monitor your investments, the more likely you are to become concerned. When you’re panicked, you’re more likely to make hasty decisions, such as dumping underperforming investments, which forces you to lock in losses.
Investing during a recession can be a terrific idea but only if you’re in a solid enough financial situation and have the correct attitude and approach. You should never put your short-term financial security at risk for the sake of long-term prosperity. It’s important to remember that if you’re in a financial bind, there’s no guilt in passing up opportunities. Instead, concentrate on paying your bills and maintaining your physical and mental well-being. You can always increase your investments later in life, if your career is more stable, your earnings are consistent, and your mind is at ease in general.
What is the maximum length of a recession?
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) keeps track of the average length of US recessions. According to NBER data, the average recession lasted 11 months from 1945 to 2009. This is a step forward from previous eras: The average recession lasted 21.6 months from 1854 to 1919. The United States has had four recessions in the last 30 years:
- The Covid-19 Recession is a period of economic downturn. The most recent recession in the United States started in February 2020 and lasted only two months, making it the shortest in history.
- The Great Recession of 2008-2009 (December 2007 to June 2009). As previously stated, a real estate bubble contributed to the Great Recession. Although the Great Recession was not as bad as the Great Depression, its length and severity gave it the same moniker. The Great Recession lasted almost twice as long as other US recessions, lasting 18 months.
- The Dot Com Bubble Burst (March 2001 to November 2001). The United States was dealing with a number of big economic issues at the turn of the 2000, including the impact from the tech bubble burst and accounting scandals at businesses like Enron, all of which were topped off by the 9/11 terrorist attacks. These issues combined to cause a temporary recession, from which the economy soon recovered.
- The Recession After the Gulf War (July 1990 to March 1991). The United States experienced a brief, eight-month recession at the start of the 1990s, which was triggered in part by rising oil prices during the First Gulf War.
Is a recession the ideal time to buy a house?
Buying a home during a recession will, on average, earn you a better deal. As the number of foreclosures and owners forced to sell to stay afloat rises, more homes become available on the market, resulting in reduced housing prices.
Because this recession is unlike any other, every buyer will be in a unique position to deal with a significant financial crisis. If you work in the hospitality industry, for example, your present financial condition is very different from someone who was able to easily transition to working from home.
Only you can decide whether buying a home during a recession is feasible for your family, but there are a few things to think about.
What is the best investment for a million dollars?
When you have a lot of money to invest, there are a lot of effective options for diversifying your portfolio. Here are the top ten methods to invest $1 million today, according to popular belief (in no particular order):
Stock Market
Even without the help of a Betterment robo-advisor, investors who purchased shares in the S&P 500 four years ago have experienced gains of over 80%. The stock market, like any other market, may be extremely volatile. Over a four-year period, shares of the S&P 500 purchased in 2016 and sold when the market bottomed out in March 2020 yielded a total return of just 3%.
Bonds
Many financial advisors feel that a classic balanced portfolio should contain 60% stocks and 40% bonds. While individual equities like Amazon can give growth (more on that later), owning bonds is primarily about capital preservation, particularly in today’s low interest rate climate. Bonds come in a variety of shapes and sizes, including corporate, municipal, and treasury bonds.
Bonds pay interest and have a full face value at maturity, but their price can fluctuate due to interest rate changes. Bonds are frequently considered of as safe and secure investments, but they can lose value if you sell them for less than you bought for them or if the issuer fails on the payments.
Rental Properties
Some investors believe that buying rental properties is one of the finest possibilities if you have $1 million to invest and want diversification as well as excellent risk-adjusted returns. You can produce income and grow your investment money in real estate in three ways:
- Deducting operations and business expenses, as well as depreciation expense, can help you lower your taxable net income.
You can invest in a variety of asset classifications, including residential, commercial, industrial, and land. Remote real estate investing is also possible with today’s technology, and it’s a wonderful alternative for investors who live in high-cost-of-living places like New York or San Francisco.
When you invest in real estate remotely, you may identify low-cost property in locations with greater yields while leaving the day-to-day minutiae of property management to your local real estate team.
Because real estate may be leveraged or financed, your one million dollar investment might theoretically go further and create better profits while spreading out the risks.
Instead of spending $1 million on a tiny apartment complex in one market, you might invest in a far bigger portfolio of single-family homes in a number of high-growth markets across the country.
ETFs
Vanguard, for example, offers a wide range of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). They’re a wonderful way to get exposure to stocks and bonds without having to make specific investments.
ETFs invest in stocks, bonds, or index funds based on prominent indices such as the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, or Russell 3000. You can also invest in certain industry sectors such as technology, health care, precious metals, foreign corporations, and real estate by purchasing shares of an ETF.
Before you add an ETF to your investment portfolio, keep in mind that exchange-traded funds are designed to mirror, rather than outperform, the performance of the market segment in which they invest.
Buy a Business
Purchasing stock or ETF shares is one option to invest in a company. However, many investors with a million dollars to invest choose to bypass the public exchange and invest directly in a company. Buying a business can be one of the most beneficial ways to invest your money if done right.
There are two primary methods for investing in a company. You can either acquire or start your own firm, or you can become a partner in an existing one. Starting your own company might be risky, but it can also pay you handsomely. Investing in an existing firm is less risky because the company has a track record, but you must have complete faith and confidence in your business partners.
In either case, buying and investing in the right firm can outperform traditional assets like CDs, annuities, bonds, and stocks for a one-million-dollar investment.
CDs and Money Market Accounts
Certificates of deposit (CDs) and money market accounts are two of the safest ways to generate a return while keeping your money accessible.
CD and money market account annual percentage yields (APY) are nearly equal to inflation, which means you won’t make any money on your savings.
On the plus side, they’re similar to having a savings account and can be an excellent method to protect your money while keeping it liquid.
Fixed Rate Annuities
Fixed-rate annuities are a type of insurance contract that offers to pay a guaranteed interest rate on the payments made to the account. They are sold by insurance companies.
They are not connected to the performance of other investments and are meant to provide a predictable fixed-income stream when payments commence.
Fixed annuities may be recommended by your financial advisor as a crucial allocation component of your retirement portfolio, but you’ll wind up paying an insurance company a premium for the risk reduction. Yields are higher than those offered by a US Treasury bond or CD.
However, the rates on A-rated or better fixed annuities are roughly equal to the rate of inflation, which indicates that investing in a fixed rate annuity is effectively breaking even.
Private Lending
Online platforms make private or peer-to-peer (P2P) lending extremely simple, while the risk is substantially higher than traditional real estate transactions. However, depending on your risk profile, the potential rewards from private lending may be enough to balance the risk if you invest small amounts and don’t devote too much of your personal resources to private and P2P lending.
Consumers can get private short-term loans for debt consolidation or home improvements, while small businesses can get private short-term loans to expand their firm, buy equipment, or buy real estate.
Yields can be significantly greater than those of traditional equities and bonds, making them a viable alternative to these traditional investments. Private loans, on the other hand, are less liquid because your money is typically locked up for several years.
Unless the loan is secured by an asset such as real estate, you also risk losing your money if the borrower defaults. That’s why discussing the amount of money you plan to set aside for personal lending with your CFP or financial advisor is a good idea.
Crowdfunding
Crowdfunding is when a big number of people pool their money to fund a new business initiative, such as video game development, electric automobiles, television programs, or real estate ventures. One of the most appealing aspects of crowdfunding is that you can invest tiny amounts of your one million dollars in various industries and asset classes.
Real estate crowdfunding platforms, for example, allow you to participate in high-quality assets like apartment buildings and new residential subdivisions, as well as debt investments through developer loans.
Accredited investors are frequently excluded from the most lucrative crowdfunding investments. The good news is that if you have $1 million to contribute, you’ll most certainly qualify as a high net worth accredited investor, allowing you access to crowdfund investments that others don’t.
Keep in mind, too, that many crowdfunding deals promise a large return in exchange for a high level of risk. There’s no way of knowing when or even if a new development project will begin construction. Crowdfund investments may also be illiquid, meaning you won’t be able to buy and sell them like you would stocks, bonds, or even traditional real estate.
Additionally, during times of economic turmoil, crowdfunding businesses reserve the right to limit or freeze withdrawals, so you may not be able to receive your money back when you need it most.
REIT
Compared to crowdfunds, real estate investment trusts (REITs) are a safer and more secure alternative to invest in real estate.
REITs are funds that own and operate income-producing real estate such as office buildings, retail shopping centers, apartment buildings, and single-family homes. REITs are publicly traded on major stock exchanges and are set up as funds that own and operate income-producing real estate such as office buildings, retail shopping centers, apartment buildings, and single-family homes. You can also focus on specialty asset types like mobile phone tower sites, data centers, and self-storage facilities with some REITs.
Because 75 percent of a REIT’s capital must be invested in real estate and 90 percent of net income must be returned to shareholders as dividends, buying shares of a REIT could be the next best thing to owning real estate directly.
REITs, on the other hand, do not have the same advantages as directly owning real estate, such as the ability to deduct investment business expenses from taxable net income. Furthermore, because real estate investment trusts are stocks, they may have a stronger link to overall stock market volatility than direct property ownership. As a result, if the stock market falls, REIT share prices may fall as well.