According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis’ “first” estimate, real gross domestic product (GDP) expanded at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2018 (table 1). Real GDP climbed by 3.4 percent in the third quarter.
Because of the partial government shutdown, the “advance” estimate for the fourth quarter and annual GDP for 2018 was originally slated for January 30th, and the “second” estimate was originally scheduled for February 28th. For more information, see the Technical Note.
The Bureau stressed that the fourth-quarter preliminary estimate provided today is based on incomplete or subject to revision by the source agency (see “Source Data for the Initial Estimate” on page 3). On March 28, 2019, updated fourth-quarter forecasts will be provided, based on more full data.
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE), nonresidential fixed investment, exports, private inventory investment, and federal government spending all contributed to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter. Negative contributions from household fixed investment and state and local government spending partially offset these gains. Imports, which are deducted from GDP calculations, increased (table 2).
The fourth-quarter slowdown in real GDP growth was due to decreases in private inventory investment, PCE, and federal government spending, as well as a decrease in state and local government spending. An increase in exports and a speeding up of nonresidential fixed investment partially compensated these developments. Imports grew at a slower pace in the fourth quarter than in the third.
In the fourth quarter, current dollar GDP climbed by 4.6 percent, or $233.2 billion, to $20.89 trillion. GDP in current dollars climbed by 4.9 percent, or $246.3 billion, in the third quarter (table 1 and table 3).
In the fourth quarter, the price index for gross domestic purchases grew 1.6 percent, compared to 1.8 percent in the third quarter (table 4). The PCE price index climbed by 1.5 percent, compared to a 1.6 percent increase in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 1.7 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.6 percent overall.
In the fourth quarter, current-dollar personal income climbed by $225.1 billion, compared to $190.6 billion in the third quarter. The increase in personal income was due to an increase in farm proprietor income as well as increases in personal dividend and interest income. Employee compensation has slowed.
In the fourth quarter, disposable personal income climbed by $218.7 billion, or 5.7 percent, compared to $160.9 billion, or 4.2 percent, in the third quarter. The growth in real disposable personal income was 4.2 percent, compared to a 2.6 percent gain in the previous year.
In the fourth quarter, personal savings totaled $1.06 trillion, up from $996.0 billion in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the personal saving rate (savings as a proportion of disposable personal income) was 6.7 percent, up from 6.4 percent in the third quarter.
Based on newly available tabulations from the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program, the percent change in real GDI for the third quarter of 2018 was updated from 4.3 percent to 4.6 percent.
In 2018, real GDP increased by 2.9 percent (from the 2017 annual level to the 2018 annual level), compared to a 2.2 percent gain in 2017. (table 1).
PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, federal government spending, private inventory investment, and state and local government expenditure all contributed to the increase in real GDP in 2018, which was partially offset by a minor negative contribution from residential fixed investment. Imports, which are deducted from GDP calculations, increased (table 2).
The increase in real GDP between 2017 and 2018 was primarily due to increases in nonresidential fixed investment, private inventory investment, federal government spending, exports, and PCE, as well as an increase in state and local government spending, which was partially offset by a decline in residential investment.
GDP in current dollars climbed 5.2 percent, or $1.02 trillion, to $20.50 trillion in 2018, compared to 4.2 percent, or $778.2 billion, in 2017. (table 1 and table 3).
In 2018, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 2.2 percent, compared to 1.9 percent in 2017. (table 4). The PCE price index grew 2.0 percent, compared to 1.8 percent in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 1.9 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.6 percent overall (table 4).
Real GDP increased by 3.1 percent in 2018 (measured from the fourth quarter of 2017 to the fourth quarter of 2018), compared to 2.5 percent in 2017. During 2018, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 2.1 percent, compared to 1.9 percent in 2017.
A Technical Note that is issued with the news release on BEA’s Web site contains information on the source data and important assumptions utilized for unavailable source data in the initial estimate. Each version comes with a thorough “Key Source Data and Assumptions” file. See the “Additional Information” section below for more information on GDP updates.
What was the GDP growth in 2019?
Positive contributions from PCE, exports, residential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending offset negative contributions from private inventory investment and nonresidential fixed investment in the fourth quarter, resulting in an increase in real GDP. Imports, which are deducted from GDP calculations, declined (table 2).
The fourth quarter’s real GDP growth was the same as the third. A drop in imports and an increase in government spending were offset in the fourth quarter by a bigger drop in private inventory investment and a slowdown in PCE.
In the fourth quarter, real gross domestic income (GDI) climbed by 2.6 percent, compared to 1.2 percent in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, the average of real GDP and real GDI, a supplemental measure of U.S. economic activity that weights GDP and GDI equally, grew 2.4 percent, compared to 1.7 percent in the third quarter (table 1).
In the fourth quarter, current dollar GDP climbed by 3.5 percent, or $186.6 billion, to $21.73 trillion. Current-dollar GDP increased by 3.8 percent, or $202.2 billion, in the third quarter (tables 1 and 3).
In the fourth quarter, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 1.4 percent, the same as in the third quarter (table 4). The PCE price index climbed by 1.4 percent, compared to a 1.5 percent increase in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 1.3 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to a 2.1 percent increase overall.
The “Key Underlying Data and Assumptions” file on BEA’s website has more detail on the source data that underpins the estimates.
The fourth-quarter real GDP growth rate was unchanged from the second estimate in the third estimate. The PCE, residential investment, and state and local government spending have all been increased. Downward revisions to federal government spending and nonresidential fixed investment, as well as an upward revision to imports, offset these upward revisions. See the Technical Note for further information. See the “Additional Information” section below for more information on GDP updates.
In 2019, real GDP increased by 2.3 percent (from the previous year’s annual level to the current year’s annual level), compared to 2.9 percent in 2018. (table 1).
PCE, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government expenditure, state and local government spending, and private inventory investment all contributed to the increase in real GDP in 2019, which was partially offset by a negative contribution from residential fixed investment. Imports have risen (table 2).
The slowdown in real GDP in 2019 compared to 2018 was mostly due to slower nonresidential fixed investment, exports, and PCE, which were partially offset by faster state and local government spending and federal government spending. Imports grew at a slower pace in 2019 than in 2018.
GDP in current dollars climbed 4.1 percent, or $847.5 billion, to $21.43 trillion in 2019, compared to 5.4 percent, or $1,060.8 billion, in 2018. (table 1 and table 3).
In 2019, real GDP increased by 1.9 percent, compared to 2.5 percent in 2018. (table 1).
In 2019, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 1.5 percent, compared to 2.4 percent in 2018. (table 4). The PCE price index climbed by 1.4 percent, compared to a 2.1 percent increase in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 1.6 percent excluding food and energy expenses, compared to 1.9 percent overall (table 4).
Real GDP increased by 2.3 percent from the fourth quarter of 2018 to the fourth quarter of 2019. This is compared to a 2.5 percent gain in 2018. Real GDI grew 2.0 percent in 2019, as measured from the fourth quarter of 2018 to the fourth quarter of 2019. This is compared to a 2.3 percent gain in 2018. (table 6).
From the fourth quarter of 2018 to the fourth quarter of 2019, the price index for gross domestic purchases climbed by 1.4 percent. This is compared to a 2.2 percent gain in 2018. The PCE price index climbed by 1.4 percent, compared to 1.9 percent in the previous quarter. The PCE price index grew 1.6 percent excluding food and energy, compared to 1.9 percent overall (table 6).
In the fourth quarter, profits from current production (business profits adjusted for inventory valuation and capital consumption) climbed $53.0 billion, compared to a decrease of $4.7 billion in the third quarter (table 10).
Domestic financial corporation profits grew $0.7 billion in the fourth quarter, compared to a $4.7 billion loss in the third quarter. Domestic nonfinancial firms’ profits grew $53.7 billion, compared to a $5.5 billion fall in financial corporations’ profits. Profits in the rest of the globe fell $1.4 billion, compared to a $5.5 billion increase in the United States. Receipts climbed by $3.4 billion in the fourth quarter, while payments increased by $4.8 billion.
Profits from current production remained constant in 2019, after increasing by $68.7 billion in 2018. Domestic financial businesses saw a $7.1 billion gain in profits, compared to an increase of $11.1 billion. Domestic nonfinancial firms’ profits fell $36.4 billion, compared to a $10.0 billion increase in financial corporations’ profits. Profits in the rest of the world climbed by $29.3 billion, compared to a $47.6 billion increase in the United States.
What was the 2018-2019 GDP growth rate?
The government lowered the economic growth forecast for 2019-20 to 4% from 4.2 percent previously predicted, owing to decline in secondary sectors such as manufacturing and construction. In revised national account figures, the National Statistical Office stated, “Real GDP or GDP at constant (2011-12) prices for the years 2019-20 and 2018-19 stands at Rs 145.69 trillion and Rs 140.03 trillion, respectively, showing a rise of 4.0 percent in 2019-20 and 6.5 percent in 2018-19.”
In 2020, what was the yearly GDP growth rate?
In comparison to 2020, the United States’ real gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 5.7 percent in 2021. This annual growth rate is higher than the decade’s average.
What was the 2017 GDP?
The US economy is growing at a rate of 2.3 percent. As can be seen in the ranking of GDP of the 196 nations that we publish, the United States is the world’s leading economy in terms of GDP, with a total of $19,479,600 million in 2017.
What was the 2016 GDP?
In 2016, current-dollar GDP climbed 2.9 percent, or $529.0 billion, to $18,565.6 billion, compared to a 3.7 percent, or $643.5 billion, increase in 2015. (table 1 and table 3).
In 2018, which country has the world’s fastest expanding economy?
Guyana is the world’s fastest expanding economy, with a forecast growth rate of 16.3 percent over the four-year period 2018-2021. Guyana’s economy is anticipated to increase by 33.5 percent and 22.9 percent in 2020 and 2021, respectively, with a GDP of $3.63 billion (2018 Rank: 160), a growth rate of 4.1 percent in 2018 and 4.6 percent in 2019.
What is the rate of GDP growth?
From 1947 to 2021, the GDP Growth Rate in the United States averaged 3.20 percent, with a peak of 33.80 percent in the third quarter of 2020 and a low of -31.20 percent in the second quarter of 2020.
What is the GDP deflator’s current value in 2018?
For 2018, the GDP deflator is ($1,320/$980) 100 = 134.69. Inflation for the year 2018 is (134.69 – 100)/100 = 34.69 percent. The GDP deflator is based on all items produced in the United States.
What is the 2019-20 GDP?
11. In the year 2020-21, Real GDP or Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at Constant (2011-12) Prices is now expected to reach a level of 135.13 lakh crore, compared to 145.69 lakh crore in the First Revised Estimate of GDP for the year 2019-20, announced on 29th January 2021.
What was the state of India’s economy in 2018?
In 2018, India’s GDP was $2.7 trillion, while the UK and France each had $2.8 trillion. In 2017, India’s GDP was $2.65 trillion, the United Kingdom’s was $2.64 trillion, and France’s was $2.5 trillion, propelling Asia’s third-biggest economy to the fifth largest at the moment.