Reuters, 2 December – In November, high-yield bond funds in the United States suffered their largest withdrawals in eight months, owing to the possibility of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates sooner than expected, as well as, to some extent, fears about the Omicron coronavirus variety.
Why are the yields on junk bonds so low?
Strong balance sheets and a changing economy have strengthened the market, resulting in record low yields on junk bonds. Fixed income dealers believe the market is moving because of strong fundamentals and a desire for any form of yield. The volume of low-grade issuance is on track to break prior records.
Junk Bond Pros
- Junk bonds have a higher profit potential than regular bonds. Junk bonds have higher yields than investment-grade bonds due to the heightened risk.
- If an issuer’s performance improves, bonds may gain value. When a corporation is actively paying down debt and improving its performance, the bond’s value might rise as the rating of the issuing company rises.
- Individual stocks are less dependable. Individual stocks may be riskier than investment-grade bonds, although they may not be as risky as individual stocks. When a firm goes bankrupt, bondholders are paid first, followed by investors.
Junk Bond Cons
- The default rate on junk bonds is greater. Junk bonds, on the other hand, have a larger risk of default than investment-grade bonds. In 2020, the default rate for junk bonds was 5.5 percent, according to S&P Global Ratings. Investment-grade bonds, on the other hand, have a default rate of 0.00 percent.
- Liquidity issues. Liquidity concerns with high-yield bonds might make it difficult to sell them for cash when you need it.
- When credit ratings are reduced, the value of junk bonds can plummet. Junk bonds may lose their value. If a company’s credit rating falls much further, the bond’s value will plummet.
Junk Bond Examples
Junk bonds are often associated with smaller enterprises or companies in financial distress. They are, however, frequently issued by well-known companies with long histories, as well as new companies with no track record. Coinbase and Crocs are two recent examples.
Coinbase
Coinbase is a cryptocurrency exchange that saw a surge in demand in 2020 and 2021 as more people purchased cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Dogecoin. In April 2021, Coinbase became public, and in September, it saw a surge in demand for a large junk bond sale. Coinbase’s initial bond offering was for $1.5 billion in seven- and ten-year notes, but demand was so high that it was increased to $2 billion.
Following the announcement of the sale, Moody’s assigned Coinbase a Ba2 junk rating, citing a “uncertain regulatory environment and strong competition” for the non-investment grade rating. While Coinbase has a leading crypto franchise, its profits are virtually completely reliant on highly risky cryptocurrency trading, according to Moody’s.
Crocs
Crocs, the company known for its comfortable but obnoxious clogs, said in August 2021 that it will issue $350 million in junk bonds to support stock buybacks. Crocs is rated Ba3 by Moody’s, only behind Coinbase’s Ba2 speculative-grade rating.
Crocs has a well-known brand, a dominant position in the clog market, and reasonable liquidity, according to Moody’s. However, the company’s restricted product focus (clogs) and the high degree of competition in the footwear sector are cited as factors for it not receiving a higher ranking. Furthermore, it went back to a time before it straightened up its operations, when profits were inconsistent.
Why are bonds falling in value?
- Bonds are generally advertised as being less risky than stocks, which they are for the most part, but that doesn’t mean you can’t lose money if you purchase them.
- When interest rates rise, the issuer experiences a negative credit event, or market liquidity dries up, bond prices fall.
- Bond gains can also be eroded by inflation, taxes, and regulatory changes.
- Bond mutual funds can help diversify a portfolio, but they have their own set of risks, costs, and issues.
What is the typical yield on trash bonds?
The bond-rating scales from the two major rating agencies are depicted in the graph below. Junk bond yields have historically been 4 percent to 6 percent higher than comparable US Treasury bonds. Because the United States has never defaulted on a debt, it is often regarded as the gold standard for investment-grade bonds.
What makes bonds more secure than stocks?
Bond issuers guarantee a fixed rate of interest to investors. Before purchasing a bond, investors must first determine the interest rate that the issuer will pay. Changes in market interest rates have a direct impact on the value of a bond. The value of a bond drops as interest rates rise. Although the face value of a bond decreases with time, the interest rate paid to investors remains constant. Bonds are safer than equities because of their fixed interest rate payments. Stockholders, on the other hand, are not guaranteed a return on their investment. A bond with a $1,000 face value and a 6.0 percent yield, for example, pays $60 in annual interest. This sum is paid regardless of how the bond’s value changes.
Are garbage bonds a better investment than stocks?
- High-yield bonds provide stronger long-term returns than investment-grade bonds, as well as superior bankruptcy protection and portfolio diversity than equities.
- Unfortunately, the high-profile demise of “Junk Bond King” Michael Milken tarnished high-yield bonds’ reputation as an asset class.
- High-yield bonds have a larger risk of default and volatility than investment-grade bonds, as well as more interest rate risk than equities.
- In the high-risk debt category, emerging market debt and convertible bonds are the main alternatives to high-yield bonds.
- High-yield mutual funds and ETFs are the greatest alternatives for the average person to invest in trash bonds.
What went wrong with bonds in 2008?
When the subprime mortgage crisis broke, many of the so-called “The “toxic assets” that contributed to the crisis were actually high-yield corporate bonds. The problem here stems from the fact that these subprime or high-yield assets were sold as AAA-rated bonds rather than junk bonds “Bonds with a “junk status” When the financial crisis came, junk bond yields dropped in value, causing their rates to rise. During this time, the yield-to-maturity (YTM) for high-yield or speculative-grade bonds increased by almost 20%, resulting in an all-time high for junk bond defaults, with the average market rate reaching 13.4 percent by Q3 of 2009.
Is it a good idea to hold bonds?
Bonds are still significant today because they generate consistent income and protect portfolios from risky assets falling in value. If you rely on your portfolio to fund your expenditures, the bond element of your portfolio should keep you safe. You can also sell bonds to take advantage of decreasing risky asset prices.