Can The Passive Tailwind Keep Blowing For ETFs?

The majority of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are index-tracking vehicles that are passively managed. However, only approximately 2% of the $3.9 billion ETF industry’s funds are actively managed, providing many of the benefits of mutual funds with the ease of ETFs. Investing in active ETFs is a terrific way to include active management ideas into your portfolio, but be wary of high expense ratios.

Are all ETFs passive?

However, passive investment fuels what is arguably the most vibrant and active sector of the financial world: exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

What is a passive investment, exactly? At its most basic level, it’s an investment that eliminates human hunches from the decision-making process when it comes to what to acquire and when to own it.

Investors pool their money and provide it to a manager, who chooses assets based on his or her study, intuition, and experience. A ruleset defines an index in a “passive” fund, and that index determines what’s in the fund.

ETFs are mostly passive, but not all. Similarly, while active management is frequently associated with mutual funds, passive mutual funds do exist.

So, what does it mean to be invested in a passive manner? In a nutshell, passive investing entails owning the market rather than attempting to outperform it.

In proportion to its magnitude, owning the market just means owning a small piece of everything. A good example is a tracker fund that tracks the MSCI World Index. The fund makes no attempt to predict which stocks will outperform others. Rather, it invests in all equities, with higher investments in larger companies and lower stakes in smaller companies.

Why wouldn’t you want to outperform rather than follow the market? Traditional passive investors feel that consistently beating the market is impossible or, at best, extremely implausible.

Active managers, on the other hand, believe they can outperform the market by picking good stocks and avoiding bad ones.

On the surface, the active argument’s flaw is obvious: there’s no way all active fund managers can beat the market because they’re all the market. In an ideal world, half of these managers would underperform the market while the other half would outperform it.

The issue is that all of these executives want to be compensated. Furthermore, in order to outperform, they incur high transaction fees while buying and selling equities. After fees and expenses, research show that the vast majority of investors outperform the market over time.

That difficulty is solved by passive investment. Index funds are both inexpensive to administer and to own. These “passive funds” outperform most active managers over time by capturing the market’s return at the lowest possible cost.

While we’re focusing on equities indexes in this article, passive investing may be used in any market and asset class, from corporate high-yield bonds to agricultural commodities.

The vast array of markets that passive funds can access hints at perhaps the most difficult decision that all investors, whether passive or active, must make: how much money to put in certain asset classes. Many think that the most important decision is allocation, and that it has a greater impact on risk and return in a portfolio than security selection. Passive investing allows investors to concentrate on this important component without the distraction — and cost — of picking particular stocks within an asset class.

Passive tools are used by some of today’s most aggressive macro-oriented investors to make active asset allocation decisions.

In short, passive investing is anything but passive (or uninteresting or lazy). Many of the most essential decisions, such as asset allocation and picking the right passive vehicle for the job at hand, are still to be made.

While the evidence shows that active managers struggle to outperform the market after costs, there are areas of the market where active investing can be justified. Fixed income, for example, is known for being a notoriously opaque and illiquid market. There is no central exchange for trading fixed-income instruments, unlike equities, and many fixed-income securities do not trade as often as stocks. Fixed-income instruments do not have a central pricing mechanism as a result. The further you get away from national debt, the more prominent this gets. There is substantially less price unanimity until you get into municipals, junk bonds, senior loans, or adjustable rate assets.

As a result, the assumption that stronger managers and analysis might yield outperformance in these markets has some merit. Furthermore, value weighting is a neutral weighting mechanism in fixed income, in which the bonds with the highest outstanding face value obtain the highest index weighting. This means that the largest borrowers are given the most weight. Active managers can avoid this problem by selecting higher-quality credits using their own own fundamental analysis.

These are, however, the exception rather than the rule. True outperformance is transitory, not long-lasting, according to history. Managers who outperform one year are usually underperformers the following year. Passive investing is a cost-effective and efficient way to capture the market.

Is there a chance of ETF bubbles?

Passive investing, according to one of the most well-known figures in recent memory, is causing a big bubble in our current economy. Michael Burry, a UCLA graduate who forecast the housing market’s collapse before the 2008 financial crisis, is suggesting once again that the ETF market is a bubble. 4 Burry’s major point is that passive investment and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) might overvalue established companies while leaving smaller ones behind. 4

Steven Bregman, president of Horizon Kinetics and an investor, agrees with Burry that there is a rising ETF bubble. He claims that we are in the midst of the world’s largest financial bubble, which encompasses practically all financial assets. 5 He supports this claim by claiming that the average investor is unaware of ETFs and that such systems are not beneficial to individual investors. In fact, according to Bregman, investing in ETFs over time can add risk to your portfolio without you even realizing it. Finding cheap equities that ETFs do not fuel to enhance your portfolio is a preferable alternative to pouring money into ETFs.5

Burry and Bregman, among many others, feel that the current passive investing trend is unsustainable and will lead to another financial meltdown. However, there are a few things that must happen before this bubble bursts.

Why is an ETF managed passively?

By limiting purchasing and selling, passive ETFs maximize profits. In addition, passive ETFs are more transparent than actively managed ETFs. Each day, passive ETF providers provide fund weightings, allowing investors to spot any duplicate positions and limit strategy drift.

Is it possible to actively trade ETFs?

While ETFs are designed to track an index, they might also be created to track the top picks of a prominent investment manager, replicate any current mutual fund, or pursue a specific financial goal. These ETFs can provide investors/traders with an investment that strives to generate above-average returns, regardless of how they are traded.

ETFs that are actively managed have the potential to benefit both mutual fund investors and fund managers. If an ETF is designed to mimic a specific mutual fund, the intraday trading capability will encourage frequent traders to use the ETF rather than the fund, reducing cash flow in and out of the mutual fund, making the portfolio easier to manage and more cost-effective, and increasing the mutual fund’s value for its investors.

ETFs: Can They Fail?

Many ETFs do not have enough assets to meet these charges, and as a result, ETFs close on a regular basis. In reality, a large number of ETFs are currently in jeopardy of being shut down. There’s no need to fear, though: ETF investors often don’t lose their money when an ETF closes.

Why are ETFs so bad?

While ETFs have a lot of advantages, their low cost and wide range of investing possibilities might cause investors to make poor judgments. Furthermore, not all ETFs are created equal. Investors may be surprised by management fees, execution charges, and tracking disparities.

What determines whether an ETF is active or passive?

An index fund or an ETF are both examples of passively managed funds. In addition, the summary overview of a fund will state whether it is an index fund or an exchange-traded fund (ETF). If it doesn’t, it’s safe to think it’s being actively managed. For example, Vanguard’s REIT ETF (VNQ) declares that it is an ETF and that it invests in REITs.

The goal is to closely replicate the MSCI US Investable Market Real Estate 25/50 Index’s performance.

There are some slight variations between ETFs and index funds when it comes to investing. The most significant difference is that ETFs trade on the stock exchange throughout the trading day, whereas index fund transactions, like other mutual funds, take place at the conclusion of the trading day. Many online brokers offer commission-free ETF trading for a variety of ETFs, and the expense ratios of index funds and ETFs offered by the same provider are quite comparable, if not identical. Some index funds have high minimum opening deposits, making their ETF equivalents more accessible.

Simply look through the company’s list of ETFs or index funds to see which are on the list to discover if your funds are actively or passively managed. Vanguard has the lowest management expense ratios (and why not go with the cheapest if you’re going with a passively managed fund that tracks an index?). Here are a couple of places to begin:

Unfortunately, actively managed funds still account for a big portion of invested assets (at the price of investor performance), but you now have the knowledge to help alter that!