How To Track ETF Performance?

  • A physical ETF aims to track an index by purchasing the index’s underlying assets at the same weight as the index, in order to reflect the index’s rise and fall (full replication). Sampling occurs when an ETF provider only invests in a subset of the assets available.
  • Alternatively, an ETF provider could enter into an agreement with an investment bank to deliver the return of a specific index in exchange for a fee. A synthetic (or swap-based) ETF is what this is termed.

How can I keep track of ETF prices?

  • During trading hours, the ETF market price is the price at which shares in the ETF can be purchased or sold on the exchanges.
  • At the end of each trading day, the net asset value (NAV) of an ETF indicates the value of each share’s fraction of the fund’s underlying assets and cash.
  • The NAV is calculated by multiplying the total value of all assets in the fund, including assets and cash, by the number of outstanding shares in the ETF, then dividing by the total value.

How can I determine whether I have an ETF tracking error?

The standard deviation of the gap between an investment’s returns and its benchmark is known as tracking error. Tracking error is determined as follows given a sequence of returns for an investment or portfolio and its benchmark: Standard Deviation of Tracking Error = (P – B)

On an ETF, how do you keep track of the NAV?

An ETF’s net asset value (NAV) is calculated using the most recent closing prices of the fund’s assets and the total cash in the fund on a given day. The NAV of an ETF is computed by adding the fund’s assets, including any securities and cash, subtracting any liabilities, and dividing the result by the number of outstanding shares.

These data elements, including the fund’s holdings, are updated on a daily basis. An ETF’s openness is typically highlighted as a major benefit. Mutual funds and closed-end funds are not required to report their portfolio holdings on a daily basis. A mutual fund’s NAV is updated regularly, but its holdings are only revealed once a quarter. A closed-end fund has a daily or weekly NAV and normally reveals its assets every quarter. You can see the assets and liabilities of an ETF at any moment. This transparency aids in the prevention of style drift in these items.

Do all ETFs follow the same index?

Index ETFs, like other exchange traded products, provide quick diversification in a tax-efficient and low-cost investment. A broad-based index ETF also has fewer drawbacks than a strategy-specific fund, such as lower volatility, tighter bid-ask spreads (allowing orders to be filled quickly and effectively), and favorable cost structures.

Of course, no investment is risk-free. Index ETFs do not always properly reflect the underlying asset and can fluctuate by up to a percentage point at any given time. Before making an investment, investors should think about asset fees, liquidity, and tracking error, among other things.

Is it possible to short an ETF?

ETFs (short for exchange-traded funds) are traded on exchanges like stocks, and as such, they can be sold short. Short selling is the act of selling securities that you do not own but have borrowed from a brokerage. The majority of short sellers do it for two reasons:

  • They anticipate a drop in the stock price. Short-sellers seek to benefit by selling shares at a high price today and using the cash to purchase back the borrowed shares at a reduced price later.
  • They’re looking to offset or hedge a holding in another security. If you sold a put option, for example, a counter-position would be to short sell the underlying security.

ETFs have a number of advantages for the average investor, including ease of entry. Due to the lack of uptick rules in these instruments, investors can choose to short the shares even if the market is in a decline. Rather than waiting for a stock to trade above its last executed price (or an uptick), the investor can short sell the shares at the next available bid and begin the short position instantly. This is critical for investors looking for a rapid entry point to profit on the market’s downward trend. If there was a lot of negative pressure on normal stocks, the investor would be unable to enter the position.

What makes ETF tracking unique?

Some may look back at last year’s results, but performance isn’t the answer—markets fluctuate regardless of how well an ETF performs.

The most straightforward response is “Keeping track of the differences.” The tracking difference indicator is used by investors to determine whether they are getting what they paid for. As a result, it’s one of the most crucial ETF numbers to think about.

The great majority of ETFs are designed to track an index, which means they strive to match the results of a specific index. The tracking difference is the difference between the performance of an ETF and an index.

Because of a variety of circumstances, the ETF is unable to fully replicate its index. However, ETF returns do not necessarily follow the index; tracking differences might be slight or big, positive or negative.

A comparable but distinct measure is tracking error. Variability, not performance, is the focus of mistake tracking. The standard deviation is how mathematicians quantify variability. The annualized standard deviation of daily return variations between the fund’s total return performance and the total return performance of its underlying index is known as tracking error.

In layman’s words, tracking error examines the volatility in the performance gap between the fund and its benchmark index.

The total cost ratio (TER) of an ETF is the single most accurate predictor of future tracking differences. If an ETF charges 1% to track an index, then, all other things being equal, ETF returns should trail index returns by exactly 1%. That is why TER is so essential, and ETF issuers are always fighting for the lowest charge.

While TER is the strongest predictor of future tracking differences, it isn’t the only aspect to consider.

When an index’s components are rebalanced, a new company is added, or a company is removed, the ETFs that track the index must alter their holdings to reflect the current condition of the index. As a result, the ETF must purchase and sell its underlying equities, incurring trading costs in the process. These expenses must be covered by the fund’s assets, which increases the tracking disparity.

ETFs that monitor indexes with a large number of stocks, illiquid securities, or that rebalance frequently by design (such as an equal-weighted index) will have higher transaction and rebalancing costs, resulting in a larger tracking gap.

Keeping every company in an index is sometimes impractical or impossible. Thousands of securities are included in some indexes (particularly bond indexes), some of which may be difficult to obtain at a reasonable price. Some ETFs choose to hold a representative sample rather than suffer the transaction and rebalancing fees involved with purchasing and selling every security within their index.

The smallest securities have miniscule weights and have no impact on performance in indexes with thousands of securities. ETF managers may choose to omit some of those minor securities to save money.

Dividend payouts from underlying equities are received by some ETFs and distributed to ETF shareholders. ETFs, on the other hand, do not distribute dividends in real time (as index providers’ paper portfolios do), but rather at regular intervals.

The ETF will have the following characteristics: “The time between when the ETF receives a dividend and when it distributes those dividends to shareholders is known as “cash drag.” Those dividends can be temporarily reinvested by investment managers, but those reinvestments come at a cost. The ETF will have somewhat different returns than the fully invested index if it keeps a portion of its portfolio in cash or engages in reinvestment operations. This is known as tracking difference.

The changes in an index’s components are instantaneous when it rebalances or reconstitutes them. In order to realign itself with the index, an ETF tracking the index must go out and transact. Prices fluctuate throughout the time it takes to buy and sell the required securities, causing a tracking gap between the index and the ETF.

Some exchange-traded funds (ETFs) lend the assets in their portfolio to willing borrowers (often short-sellers). This generates additional revenue for the ETF in addition to the index’s coverage. In brief, revenue from securities lending can assist the ETF lower its costs and enhance its tracking difference.

The amount of money made by securities lending is determined by the current capital-market lending rates for those specific securities. Securities that have been heavily shorted often attract higher premiums and can provide large securities-lending revenue, whilst others may be very small.

Finally, a variety of behind-the-scenes factors influence how well an ETF tracks the performance of its underlying index. As investors, the best tool we have for measuring how all of these elements interact and, ultimately, how effectively the ETF delivers on its promise is tracking difference. Look for tracking discrepancies that are minimal — or even positive — and that are relatively constant over time.

What causes an inaccuracy in ETF tracking?

There are two reasons for tracking errors. The first is due to the trade cost, while the second is due to the index being replicated incorrectly. The tracking error of an ETF is the difference between the fund’s performance and that of its index. The reason for this is due to the ETF’s total expenditure ratio (a kind of trading cost).

If a fund’s expenditure ratio is too high, it can have a significant negative impact on its performance. However, fund managers can reduce the negative impact of this effect if they do a good job managing dividends and interest payments, portfolio rebalancing, or securities lending.

Because illiquid stocks frequently have a greater bid-ask spread, they can also cause tracking mistake. Volatility is another aspect that might affect an index’s tracking inaccuracy.

When an index is rebalanced and repopulated with a fresh mix of securities, tracking error from erroneous copying an index creeps in, but the fund’s basket of securities is yet to be adjusted to reflect that.

Aside from the expense ratio, which has already been mentioned, there are a number of other factors that might create tracking error in ETFs:

Discounts and Premiums to Net Asset Value: When an investor bids the ETF’s market price below or above the NAV, discounts and premiums to Net Asset Value may occur.

Optimisation: When lightly traded equities are included in the benchmark index, it is impossible for an ETF provider to purchase them without inflating their price unnecessarily. As a result, it uses a sample of the more liquid equities as a proxy for the benchmark index.

Cash Drag: ETFs, unlike indexes, contain cash holdings. The delay between receiving the money and reinvesting it can lead to variations.

Changes in Indexes: When indexes change or are updated, ETFs must follow suit. ETFs incur transaction fees when updating, which may or may not be the same as the index.

ETFs are recognized to be more tax efficient than mutual funds when it comes to capital gains distribution. However, ETFs have a tendency to distribute capital gains that are taxable to unitholders. On an after-tax basis, these distributions provide performance disparities from the index.

Currency Hedging: Due to the currency hedging cost, international exchange traded funds with currency hedging may not track a certain benchmark index. Hedging costs can be affected by interest rate differentials and market volatility.

Is a high or low tracking error acceptable?

The consistency of excess returns is measured by tracking error. Error tracking can also help you figure out how “active” a manager’s plan is. The lesser the tracking error, the closer the manager is to hitting the target. The greater the tracking error, the further the manager strays from the standard.